{"id":8854,"date":"2018-07-22T23:02:25","date_gmt":"2018-07-23T06:02:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8854"},"modified":"2018-07-22T23:02:25","modified_gmt":"2018-07-23T06:02:25","slug":"technical-incerto-dawkins-haass-friedman-zakaria-alexander-bogomolny-gmos-ron-paul-soccer-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2018\/07\/technical-incerto-dawkins-haass-friedman-zakaria-alexander-bogomolny-gmos-ron-paul-soccer-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"TECHNICAL INCERTO, Dawkins, Haass, Friedman, Zakaria, Alexander Bogomolny, GMOs, Ron Paul, Soccer | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018930735225491458\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8855\" src=\"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebPartying20180716.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebPartying20180716.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebPartying20180716-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">So the TECHNICAL INCERTO is online:<\/p>\n<p>VOL1- The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rq4X7opxSY\">https:\/\/t.co\/rq4X7opxSY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>VOL2- Convexity, Risk, and Fragility (in progress)<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/zl8LfP2LfJ\">https:\/\/t.co\/zl8LfP2LfJ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ee2wQ07MVV\">pic.twitter.com\/ee2wQ07MVV<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019945258732412928?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 19, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@nntaleb<\/a> talks with the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLikevillePod?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@TheLikevillePod<\/a> about why scale matters, why localism is better than globalism, why journalists get on his nerves, how intellectual-yet-idiots get us into trouble, and much else.<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/UaV0HiXbU0\">https:\/\/t.co\/UaV0HiXbU0<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2EBrLwHsAI\">pic.twitter.com\/2EBrLwHsAI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Likeville Podcast (@TheLikevillePod) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLikevillePod\/status\/1016741598602899456?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 10, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Nassim Nicholas Taleb (<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@nntaleb<\/a>) joins us on the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BNPodcast?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BNPodcast<\/a> to discuss his latest book SKIN IN THE GAME and his unique point of view on how we make our way in a fundamentally uncertain world: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VLqITypy5A\">https:\/\/t.co\/VLqITypy5A<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ptpH03snzK\">pic.twitter.com\/ptpH03snzK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Barnes &amp; Noble (@BNBuzz) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BNBuzz\/status\/1014192049191518210?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 3, 2018<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>@financequant \u201cI believe that we should read only those books that wound and stab us. If a book we are reading does not rouse us with a blow to the head, then why read it? A book must be the axe for the frozen sea inside us.\u201d&#8211;Franz Kafka <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/financequant\/status\/1020424032892727296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:43 PM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@NebojsaMalic You BOMBED Montenegro in 1999 as commander of NATO, you nitwit. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GeneralClark\/status\/1019605472205295616 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GeneralClark\/status\/1019605472205295616 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NebojsaMalic\/status\/1020363567109992448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:43 AM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This time on &#8230;.phenomenology! The cartoonist is good but doesn&#8217;t get that weightlifters are NOT thin in the waist. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1020291741994430466 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1020291741994430466 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020306740930383878\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) Since I am typesetting, we have aesthetic questions. Is the format I use for my own books OK? Or fixing the Maestro&#8217;s own original fonts? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/hslpj8xcqtszmvv\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%202.pdf?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/hslpj8xcqtszmvv\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%202.pdf?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0 Please let me know. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020282417205186560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:20 AM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) (Ppple involved: @MarcosCarreira @gcfr20 @mikeandallie @octonion @SvetlanaBogom13 ) My feeling is: we do not need to complete many tutorial appendices since these are standard: pple find them on the web just as they did to solve pblms. (for instance I don&#8217;t use one for mine) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020281996575150081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:19 AM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1) BOGOMOLNY FRIDAY SYMPOSIUM Alex left us 13 days ago. I have the PDF of the @CutTheKnotMath&#8217;s book Probability Riddles; working on completing it posthumously. Need comments on these sections (pics). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/wcme0ib93t4bozn\/Probability_Riddles.pdf?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/wcme0ib93t4bozn\/Probability_Riddles.pdf?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0 @republicofmath @ProbFact @octonion @erugli<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/S40ItFJMxi&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/S40ItFJMxi <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020274711312437248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:50 AM &#8211; 20 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yarmouk is where the Byzantines lost the battle to the Arabs 13C ago. The new Byzantium has some work to do. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/leithfadel\/status\/1020142300180213760 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/leithfadel\/status\/1020142300180213760 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020152269264867333\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:43 PM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He came to talk population genetics\/probability. I took him to the gym instead and forced him to deadlift. He had never done it before. He is very confused about the visit. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pzalloua\/status\/1020068134886232065 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pzalloua\/status\/1020068134886232065 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020078604384985088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:51 PM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Never ever criticize anyone (say a politician) for doing something that you would be silent about if someone else did it. You would be insulting your audience, insulting truth, insulting the medium you are using, insulting ethics. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020014927472463872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:38 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am not involved&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/roguishwisdom\/status\/1020001246248341504 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/roguishwisdom\/status\/1020001246248341504 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1020006261457346561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:03 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes the seeds of skin in the game in 2002: never read anything on doing by nondoers. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mc_macro\/status\/1019973430601322498 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mc_macro\/status\/1019973430601322498 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019993011248386048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:10 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So the TECHNICAL INCERTO is online: VOL1- The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/bq2lhmoo9v686ap\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%201.pdf?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/bq2lhmoo9v686ap\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%201.pdf?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0 VOL2- Convexity, Risk, and Fragility (in progress) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/hslpj8xcqtszmvv\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%202.pdf?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/hslpj8xcqtszmvv\/Technical%20Incerto%20Vol%202.pdf?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ee2wQ07MVV&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/ee2wQ07MVV <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019945258732412928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Congrats to @BakhtadzeMamuka for becoming Prime Minister of Georgia, and indeed, let Georgia, the root of Europe and the Mediterranean (i.e. Western Eurasia), become part of modern-day Europe via cultural and economic integration. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/eucopresident\/status\/1019916527959707648 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/eucopresident\/status\/1019916527959707648 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019926723394244612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:47 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My point is: That highly unrigorous science journalist @RichardDawkins can say &#8220;Listen I would like to preserve my culture&#8221; without insulting other people&#8217;s aesthetics. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019923685795299329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:35 AM &#8211; 19 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Note: This is not for my benefit but a public service warning &#8211;since I will never set foot there. (Nor was I financially hurt since I was the guest at a business dinner.) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019765867612200961\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:08 PM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I spent my childhood in the Christian neighborhood in Beirut listening to both the bells (older churches than Dawkins&#8217;) and the muezzin in the distance. It taught me that tolerance is when you get that: The Other likes the aesthetics of his rituals as much as you do yours. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardDawkins\/status\/1018933359978909696 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardDawkins\/status\/1018933359978909696 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019762470767005696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:54 PM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Is it against NYC law to refuse to serve tap water? (Some pple have a rule to never drink nonlocal water) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019739269399826433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:22 PM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nusr-Et in NY. Never ever again. They don\u2019t even serve local tap water. Overrrrrrrrrrpriced.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/oBCmFEiQbV\"> pic.twitter.com\/oBCmFEiQbV<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019723751691341825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:21 PM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@JeanMessiha En Alg\u00e9rie, des femmes bravent l\u2019obscurantisme avec la modernit\u00e9 du bikini ; en France, des femmes bravent la modernit\u00e9 avec l\u2019obscurantisme du burkini&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/observalgerie.com\/actualite-algerie\/societe\/ces-algeriennes-qui-simposent-en-bikini\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/observalgerie.com\/actualite-algerie\/societe\/ces-algeriennes-qui-simposent-en-bikini\/ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/JeanMessiha\/status\/1019655965162000384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:51 AM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is hilarious. Every time someone (of the type to live with their mother at age 52) tells me that &#8220;Trump is dumb&#8221;&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Viatcheslavsos3\/status\/1019631566522322944 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Viatcheslavsos3\/status\/1019631566522322944 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019652929408692226\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:39 AM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@DaxThoughts Nothing makes me (1) feel worse about myself (2) want to learn a ton of information NOW, Than reading @nntaleb&#8217;s papers It&#8217;s an extremely humbling process. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DaxThoughts\/status\/1019541928570998784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:18 AM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And they are still not getting why this \u201cevidence\u201d is pseudoscience. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/07\/16\/health\/psychology-studies-stanford-prison.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/07\/16\/health\/psychology-studies-stanford-prison.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019540421633019904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:12 AM &#8211; 18 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The thread explains why most of the papers with &#8220;empirical evidence&#8221; using &#8220;correlations&#8221; and &#8220;p-values&#8221; are BS. Actually, in some fields, almost all papers are BS but you need to look deep into the statistics. The p-value hacking paper: <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1603.07532.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1603.07532.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019229442609221632 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019229442609221632 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019296605034438664\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:03 PM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@CeddChad Courtesans and Fishcakes opened my eyes to Med culture and how we Northerners are so different. Yours has been the only reference I have ever seen to it. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CeddChad\/status\/1019289365179174912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:34 AM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Journos thrive on wars and tensions (like the press magnate in the Bond movie who fomented wars to sell papers) (Asymmetric payoff: they don&#8217;t bear the costs, particularly if harm is in foreign countries) Regular citizens don&#8217;t care about geopolitics. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019282139576184833\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:06 AM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And prosperity is best achieved by preventing bureaucrats from interfering with things they will never understand. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019263002556723202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:50 AM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A reminder that the job of the government is to deliver Peace and Prosperity. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019260950833180672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:42 AM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@marcus_minus Esp\u00e8ce de charlatan incomp\u00e9tent&#8230; je vous invite \u00e0 lire @nntaleb avant de dire de tels conneries. Et dire que nous avons des cancres comme vs pour parler de transhumanisme, d\u2019OGM et d\u2019investissement d\u2019avenir. #charlatan <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/marcus_minus\/status\/1019220249676320768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM &#8211; 17 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Based on the reactions, the definition of a \u201cdictator with divergent values\u201d is someone who does not buy weapons from U.S. based arms manufacturers. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1019055733311143936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:06 PM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@daniel_bilar Pre-asymptotics &amp; fat tails: Operational &amp; heuristic metrics to compare n-summed independent vars under all distributions w finite first moment by @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/FatTails.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/FatTails.html <\/a>\u00a0 [&#8220;how much data one needs to make meaningful statements&#8221;, &#8216;speed&#8217; of the law of large numbers]<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/cZ3SroVpec&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/cZ3SroVpec <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/daniel_bilar\/status\/1019018671207927808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:39 PM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@EHSANI22 This is getting ridiculous. What a day. Share values ? I didn\u2019t see you complaining when he sword danced in #Saudi <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/newshour\/status\/1018990464676970496 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/newshour\/status\/1018990464676970496 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/EHSANI22\/status\/1018993491060383745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:59 PM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It took 5 volumes to get the main point: &#8220;The main thread is that while there is inordinate uncertainty about what is going on, there is great certainty about what one should do about it.&#8221;<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/XodgKD7QrV\"> pic.twitter.com\/XodgKD7QrV<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018961910815916032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:53 PM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb One is allowed to reveal the low IQ of these pseudo-experts s.a. @RichardHaass, @tomfriedman or @FareedZakaria is because, while clueless abt complex interactions &amp; basic properties, they feel empowered to lecture others on what to do. They shd driving Ubers not more. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018933611293216768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:01 PM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually excellent partying as preliminary preparation to the theorezing.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/mdR0oQNFPC\"> pic.twitter.com\/mdR0oQNFPC<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018930735225491458\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:49 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The main problem that plague GMO idiots is that they don&#8217;t get that 1) interractions in an environment are not predictable 2) that they NEED to be predicted (no organism is isolated) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/freud_fjell\/status\/1018919146044747776 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/freud_fjell\/status\/1018919146044747776 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018920139012571137\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:07 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Surprised? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/statnews\/status\/1018873225206525952 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/statnews\/status\/1018873225206525952 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018908916950986753\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:23 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Promoting the ideas of Jane Jacobs (and her books) on organic urbanism \u2014with Minister @HardeepSPuri in charge of building tens of millions of homes in the next 5 years.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/gV6YwcvhHs\"> pic.twitter.com\/gV6YwcvhHs<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018887434229223425\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:57 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To have a real \u201cdeep state\u201d you need the intelligence of a Professor Moriarty or the craftiness of a Colbert. Not a collection of hand-to-mouth bureaucrats. Gabish? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018860501592428544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:10 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb One lesson from recent militarism: 1- There may exist ~a &#8220;deep state&#8221;, but it isn&#8217;t organized, rather a spontaneous league of useful idiots 2- The most representative is that *low-IQ BS Vendor*, @RichardHaass, so you can see it&#8217;s composed of real losers <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardHaass\/status\/1018245342989516805 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/RichardHaass\/status\/1018245342989516805 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018846764667990022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:16 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Like Saudi Arabia. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bopinion\/status\/1018815528704593920 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/bopinion\/status\/1018815528704593920 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018827801061978112\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:00 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends; now the question is whether to use Roman or &#8220;Arabic&#8221; (Indian) numerals.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ncLcWlJYWi\"> pic.twitter.com\/ncLcWlJYWi<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018823193728094208\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:42 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@Jaffer22915438 One last tweet before I do something more useful. Flashback to when right wingnuts called Reagan a &#8220;Useful Idiot&#8221; for meeting with Soviet Union&#8230;today, Democrats assuming posture: <a href=\"http:\/\/articles.latimes.com\/1987-12-05\/news\/mn-6395_1_president-reagan \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/articles.latimes.com\/1987-12-05\/news\/mn-6395_1_president-reagan <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1018817390753218561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:19 AM &#8211; 16 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Needs to be random. Like IRS audits. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stianchrister\/status\/1018585629230170113 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/stianchrister\/status\/1018585629230170113 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018585816250056704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:59 PM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1) Make sure your income does not depend on your reputation. 2) Find 4-5 perpetrators and hound them for the rest of their life. Particularly 4 years later when they expect it the least. 3) Let others see what you are doing to the few smearers. Example <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/SmithBSVendor.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/SmithBSVendor.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Once_there_was_\/status\/1018547404931362817 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Once_there_was_\/status\/1018547404931362817 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018584325137289216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:53 PM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In the past, the weapons industry would have right wing warmongers shill for them &amp; perpetuate states of bellicosity. They got smarter. They now enlist shills who managed to label themselves on the &#8220;left&#8221;. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018583133107744770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) And no, @elonmusk\/@Tesla are not fully antifragile: they depends on shareholders, which is the reason smear campaigns are active. They are directed at the shareholders. But they can show evidence of smear campaign (there is) using my Tesla\/NonTesla test. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018509262085996545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:55 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) The principle in Fooled by Randomness is that we react to 1st order; we are manipulated into seeing events separated from statistical context. For instance: my discipline every time I hear Trump did smthing cruel (e.g. children) to check if NonTrump did same. (Obama did). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018508372193234944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:51 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1) Thread: @ElonMusk, victim of a smear campaign. + @Tesla car catches fire. Nobody reports on &gt;150K yearly nonTesla cars fires? + Musk took public $, not great (returned). How about OTHER companies that got pub. $$? + Musk &#8220;is a billionaire&#8221;. How abt other billionaires? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/web\/status\/1018503499091464192 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/web\/status\/1018503499091464192 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018507162220363779\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb cc:@HardeepSPuri <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jimmy_Rosen\/status\/1018495695815434241 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jimmy_Rosen\/status\/1018495695815434241 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018499367320346624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:15 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@Jimmy_Rosen 6) Diplomats and politicians with no SITG cause more trouble than they solve with things like Israel\/Palestine and Syria. Taleb thinks that people with SITG care more about having good food, drink, and weather at their family parties than geopolitics or grand principles: no SITG <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jimmy_Rosen\/status\/1018495700152315905\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@Jimmy_Rosen 1) Recently finished @nntaleb\u2019s Skin in the Game. Like others (@naval) who have had their worldviews shifted by Taleb\u2019s writings on probability, randomness, and society in general, SITG changed how I think about numerous parts of the economy and society. Some takeaways: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jimmy_Rosen\/status\/1018495691218440194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 14 problems coming from the misunderstanding of fat tails by professional statisticians\/quants\/economists etc.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/rIFZf89r9i\"> pic.twitter.com\/rIFZf89r9i<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018485545176100864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:20 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb One of the last pictures of Maestro, birdwatching (courtesy: his niece).<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/3ym2Jm3QlH\"> pic.twitter.com\/3ym2Jm3QlH<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018485060293550080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:18 AM &#8211; 15 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Today was the first saturday in years without a Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath math riddle. He left us a week ago. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018332813777567744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:13 PM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Today was the first saturday in years without a Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath math riddle. He left us a week ago. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018332813777567744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:13 PM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SUMMARY OF THE BOOK A statistician: Of course we understand fat tails. The author: No you don&#8217;t.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/YqbSvulpfd\"> pic.twitter.com\/YqbSvulpfd<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018249293759696899\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:42 PM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb INTERGENERATIONAL TRANSMISSION OF INTERDICTS A passage in The Black Swan about how grandmother elephants have authority&#8230; A senator is literally an aged person&#8230;<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/B7nnQDzK0M\"> pic.twitter.com\/B7nnQDzK0M<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018186866519166976\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:34 AM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I have been blocking pple who nitpick aphorisms as if they were literal scientific claims; some call them &#8220;gross generalization&#8221;; some even complain that there is no backup&#8230; Since I&#8217;ve been doing it, the quality of my feed\/discussions improved considerably. #ViaNegativa <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1018178698242117639 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1018178698242117639 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018183981727182849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:22 AM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So for the nomenclatura, ageism is not bigotry (check w\/intellectual fraudster @NickCohen4). Aside from selective bigoteering, they haven&#8217;t yet discovered that respect for the elder if shared by practically every civilization (Meds, Semites, Chinese,&#8230;) for #LindyEffect <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlanDersh\/status\/1017842202263916549 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlanDersh\/status\/1017842202263916549 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1018138664621273090\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@SamuelGWalters This problem dedicated to the Memory of our friend Alexander Bogomolny. @CutTheKnotMath @nntaleb @SvetlanaBogom13 #math<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/pFepfWfNDb\"> pic.twitter.com\/pFepfWfNDb<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/SamuelGWalters\/status\/1018043364652900352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:03 AM &#8211; 14 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb What identity activists &amp; the Stalinist pol police are doing to us is making us see someone as &#8220;person from race\/gender\/orientation (X,Y,Z)&#8221; instead of just seeing &#8220;Joe&#8221;, &#8220;Wang&#8221;or &#8220;Cun\u00e9gonde&#8221;. Nothing short of alienation. #AbstractUniversalism is the arch-enemy of humanism. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017857125895335939\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM &#8211; 13 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@Mehdi_IR_DC It\u2019s so funny to see \u201cprogressive\u201d ppl being offended by Trump \u201cdisrespecting\u201d the Queen; the very person who believes she is superior than the rest cuz of her blood. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Mehdi_IR_DC\/status\/1017834375952683009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:13 AM &#8211; 13 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Philology du jour: The &#8220;Black&#8221; Kazars the &#8220;Northern&#8221; Kazars? Avoid confusion. For discussion: @peterfrankopan @GhassanDahhan <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017815603778867201 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017815603778867201 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017819663106035712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:14 AM &#8211; 13 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Question: Is there a reason I did not lose followers? Is the process still going? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017765613798875138\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:40 AM &#8211; 13 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For Christmas, a formal edition of the INCERTO (gold leaf etc.). Now 5 volumes. Now working on the (so far) 2 volumes of the TECHNICAL INCERTO.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/KFUzHPl0Qa\"> pic.twitter.com\/KFUzHPl0Qa<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017396000657428481\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:11 AM &#8211; 12 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb While the business of historians is faithful description of the past, @peterfrankopan specializes in faithful descriptions of the future. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/peterfrankopan\/status\/1017106103811919872 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/peterfrankopan\/status\/1017106103811919872 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017147574988558336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:44 PM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@RonPaul *Special Announcement* Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) To Speak At Ron Paul Institute Conference 2018!!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/PQmzJRmj6e\"> pic.twitter.com\/PQmzJRmj6e<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RonPaul\/status\/1017120394787086336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:56 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@SS_strength &#8220;My understanding of this concept has improved, thanks to my friend Nassim Nicholas Taleb, so I thought I&#8217;d share it with you.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/startingstrength.com\/article\/the-phenomenology-of-barbell-training \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/startingstrength.com\/article\/the-phenomenology-of-barbell-training <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/SS_strength\/status\/1017099392430608384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:32 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Oh my Baal! Chased my Monsanto! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1017074409838927880 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1017074409838927880 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017095581032964096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:17 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@black_swan_man Page 5&#8230; #blackswanman #theblackswanman #antifragile #gmo #glyphosate #sustainableagriculture #grassfed<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/eaQL6sx4Yg\"> pic.twitter.com\/eaQL6sx4Yg<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1017074409838927880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:53 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It takes five years to learn how to make money; and twenty-five to learn how to not lose it. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1017027063650414593\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:45 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@mikeandallie (2\/4) It is memorable not just for being a good problem but also for illustrating the amazing interaction between Bogomolny and Nassim Taleb. Taleb&#8217;s approach always got to the heart of the puzzle quickly and showed me how to share seemingly very advanced problems with kids.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/csAYIcSXFF\"> pic.twitter.com\/csAYIcSXFF<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mikeandallie\/status\/1017010033853435911\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:37 AM &#8211; 11 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@ClintEhrlich 1st time one reads @nntaleb: Geez, this guy is a dick. So f-ing arrogant! 2nd time: Ok, he&#8217;s right. But why does he have to be so rude about it? 3rd time: Taleb is a true gentleman. He makes all the right enemies. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/anandk_00\/status\/1016694279824031744 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/anandk_00\/status\/1016694279824031744 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ClintEhrlich\/status\/1016840101194657794\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:22 PM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Something abt Maestro Bogomolny&#8217;s @CutTheKnotMath mathematical purity I can now reveal. He had a hearing pblm (0% in ear, ~ in oth.) not remediable using aids. He left academia as he couldn&#8217;t communicate. He did math for math, not as a career. He wanted his site to make no $. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016809875006001152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:22 PM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@Steveonomics My favorite LinkedIn comment regarding @SouthwestAir banning peanuts. @nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/bYx2vQvdGj\"> pic.twitter.com\/bYx2vQvdGj<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Steveonomics\/status\/1016797169334943744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:31 PM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Whole Book in PRogress <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/x15o6padci0bwgi\/Collected.pdf?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/x15o6padci0bwgi\/Collected.pdf?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016794748399640576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:22 PM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LIMIT DISTRIBUTIONS, a Tutorial (Chapter in the Technical INCERTO)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/gyJAQ1g6un\"> pic.twitter.com\/gyJAQ1g6un<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016792964939616264\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:15 PM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@TheLikevillePod @nntaleb talks with the @TheLikevillePod about why scale matters, why localism is better than globalism, why journalists get on his nerves, how intellectual-yet-idiots get us into trouble, and much else. <a href=\"https:\/\/overcast.fm\/+MApFBBGos \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/overcast.fm\/+MApFBBGos <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/2EBrLwHsAI&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/2EBrLwHsAI <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheLikevillePod\/status\/1016741598602899456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:51 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Excellent response. Doers and Risk Takers &gt;&gt;&gt;Tawkers. Period. #SkinintheGame <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/elonmusk\/status\/1016731812159254529 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/elonmusk\/status\/1016731812159254529 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016740565478727680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:46 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Russian, competitor is \u043a\u043e\u043d\u043a\u0443\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0442 (as in French &#8220;concurrent&#8221;, Italian &#8220;concorrente&#8221; cc: @mathieuhelie ), a co-runner. There is no implication of antagonism. You need a &#8220;concurrent&#8221; because you do not engage in a race against yourself. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016705051853811712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:25 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@anandk_00 1st time one reads Taleb: it sounds true. 2nd time: one starts being aware of the concepts in operation in ones life, and in general, the world. 3rd time: one wonders how did he\/she not get the beauty in the 1st reading itself. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/anandk_00\/status\/1016694279824031744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:43 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb AN ENEMY is someone in a zero-sum game, the representation bureaucrats, geopoliticians, journos &amp; low-IQ pol &#8220;scientists&#8221; have of the world. A COMPETITOR is someone who helps the system stay non-zero sum &amp; prevents monopolies. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1016675211729670146 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1016675211729670146 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016679673340858368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:44 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@ThomasSowell &#8220;There is much discussion of the haves and the have-nots, but very little discussion of the doers and the do-nots, those who contribute and those who merely take.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ThomasSowell\/status\/1016668347407261697\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:59 AM &#8211; 10 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@SamuelGWalters @CutTheKnotMath Alexander, I know that you are up there in heaven and I hear there is a wifi connection set up there. So you should be able to tweet your #Math problems to us. We&#8217;re getting desperate down here. @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/SamuelGWalters\/status\/1016460247219630080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 PM &#8211; 9 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@diomavro I can honestly say I&#8217;ve learned more about probability and recursion from Alexander than the accumulation of all my university classes. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1015928573411119104 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1015928573411119104 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/diomavro\/status\/1016302434770214912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:45 AM &#8211; 9 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@GWeynerowski @Likeville hits it out of the park again. This is another fascinating, entertaining conversation led by @john_f_hamer that will make you see the world anew. And as for you, @nntaleb, quit blowing my mind! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLikevillePod\/status\/1016100679583174657 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheLikevillePod\/status\/1016100679583174657 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GWeynerowski\/status\/1016108640158277632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:55 PM &#8211; 8 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If someone wants a ride w\/me, pls mention. I am leaving from Westchester. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016069081768787968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:18 PM &#8211; 8 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb From the family: All meet at Floral Park Cemetery at 10:00 a.m. tomorrow 7\/9\/2018, 104 Deans Rhode Hall Road, Monmouth Junction, NJ 08852. Tel 732-297-2336. Then &#8221; everyone is welcome in our house afterwards [&#8230;], East Brunswick, NJ&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1016068301791821829\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:15 PM &#8211; 8 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 6) The Anachronistic Fallacy, 2 You cannot flow today\u2019s rules of morality backward in time &amp; judge people THEN based on rules developed later. Morality comes from customs (mores). No law should be retroactive, something the bigoteers don\u2019t get. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1013828722783383553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:56 AM &#8211; 2 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Had the fellow applied this formidable cunning &amp; astuteness to business he would have been montrously successful. <a href=\"https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2KFCcOh \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2KFCcOh <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1013812384354525185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:51 AM &#8211; 2 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Soccer is fundamentally a high variance game. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mehdi_IR_DC\/status\/1013792319550705665 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mehdi_IR_DC\/status\/1013792319550705665 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1013793488159330304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:36 AM &#8211; 2 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 5) THE ANACHRONISTIC FALLACY Injustice was done in the past with invasions, etc. But justice cannot operate without STATUTES of LIMITATIONS: we can&#8217;t invoke the Pilgrims, w\/o going back to Bronze Age migrations. Arguments abt who did what &gt;100 y ago are necessarily invalid. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1013762308546420736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:32 AM &#8211; 2 Jul 2018<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4) Immigration requires sacrifice and skin in the game.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/djbetZXJBP\"> pic.twitter.com\/djbetZXJBP<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1013758003009421312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM &#8211; 2 Jul 2018<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So the TECHNICAL INCERTO is online: VOL1- The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tailshttps:\/\/t.co\/rq4X7opxSY VOL2- Convexity, Risk, and Fragility (in progress)https:\/\/t.co\/zl8LfP2LfJ pic.twitter.com\/ee2wQ07MVV &mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) July 19, 2018 @nntaleb talks with the @TheLikevillePod about why scale matters, why localism is better than globalism, why journalists get on his nerves, how intellectual-yet-idiots get us into [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1584,756,317,791,1632,468,964,1624,1633],"class_list":["post-8854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-alexander-bogomolny","tag-dawkins","tag-friedman","tag-gmos","tag-haass","tag-ron-paul","tag-soccer","tag-technical-incerto","tag-zakaria"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8854"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8854\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8856,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8854\/revisions\/8856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}