{"id":8731,"date":"2017-11-15T22:57:18","date_gmt":"2017-11-16T06:57:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8731"},"modified":"2017-11-15T23:02:12","modified_gmt":"2017-11-16T07:02:12","slug":"ottomans-gmos-saudi-barbaria-macron-brazil-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2017\/11\/ottomans-gmos-saudi-barbaria-macron-brazil-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Ottomans, GMOs, Saudi Barbaria, Macron, Brazil | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>@nntaleb RWRI 7 now open: Feb 5-9 2018 <a href=\"http:\/\/realworldrisk.com\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/realworldrisk.com\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Listening to Robert Fry @financequant lecturing on chaotic systems.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/xeaR9Oanj6\">\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/xeaR9Oanj6 <\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930840947633553408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> Permalink<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/xeaR9Oanj6\"> 8:52 AM &#8211; 15 Nov 2017<\/a><\/p>\n<p>@dhavalpanchal Enterpreunership : Leprechaun\u2019s &#8211; playful mischief over purpose. Don\u2019t get imprisioned by ur biz plan. Inspired from #rwri session by @nntaleb. Errors &amp; jumps to conclusions all mine.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/YOjfJVlftj\"> pic.twitter.com\/YOjfJVlftj<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/dhavalpanchal\/status\/930814173684039682\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:06 AM &#8211; 15 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@silver_plasmon1 I read Antifragile by Taleb (@nntaleb) 4 times until now. First time I read as a text book to get wisdom to survive. Second time as a memorial statement for Fat Tony. Third time as Das Kapital of Marx with correct mathematics. Fourth time as ethics to know good way to die. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/silver_plasmon1\/status\/930787220788715520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:19 AM &#8211; 15 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: &#8220;I will return in a couple of days&#8221; in Lebanese means &#8220;I don&#8217;t think I can come back any time soon&#8221;. Bhal Yawmeyn != in 2 days.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TribuneWorld\/status\/930499644504920064 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TribuneWorld\/status\/930499644504920064 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930502209745321984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:26 AM &#8211; 14 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ok I need to mend with my Iberic friends: NOTHING is close to the Serrano, etc. Thanks Cesar at the RWRI seminar for the gift<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/4GvoAsdNBI\"> pic.twitter.com\/4GvoAsdNBI<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930422939589148673\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:11 AM &#8211; 14 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which explains why in Levantine left is Shmel from Phoenician\/Aramaic not Yassar. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930047217162997760\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:18 AM &#8211; 13 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: Yamina (right) in Heb\/Aram same root as \u201cYemen\u201d = South; Smola\/Shmola(left) same as \u201cBledel Shem\u201d= North; \u201cShami\u201c =Northerner <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930045529928724480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:11 AM &#8211; 13 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PATERNITY TEST: These Leb Arabists fed on fabricated theories of migrations from Arabia are in shock, like someone who went through paternity test &amp; realizes his father isn&#8217;t his father. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/930029688646455299\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:08 AM &#8211; 13 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@GreenRupertRead Why are NGOs sceptical of genome editing? <a href=\"http:\/\/embor.embopress.org\/content\/early\/2017\/10\/30\/embr.201744385 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/embor.embopress.org\/content\/early\/2017\/10\/30\/embr.201744385 <\/a>\u00a0 &gt; Useful information&#8230; Do share! @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GreenRupertRead\/status\/930013162757386240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:03 AM &#8211; 13 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@MaxBlumenthal No, you effectively called for the network to be destroyed, then demanded the cast of @RedactedTonight quit and take up work for Teen Vogue, which is guest edited this month by Hillary Clinton. What a joke. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenafriedman\/status\/928986700684161025 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenafriedman\/status\/928986700684161025 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenafriedman\/status\/929106195381719040 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenafriedman\/status\/929106195381719040 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MaxBlumenthal\/status\/929921613230952449\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:59 PM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In fact people like me (Rum millet for Greek Orthodox) were saved by the Ottomans who unlike Arabs allowed Christians a Byzantine or other identity.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/luciansusanu\/status\/929859845716619264 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/luciansusanu\/status\/929859845716619264 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929861903370858497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:02 PM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Geographically, it\u2019s part of the region&#8221;: Why do all Arab nationalists bullshit? Athens is MUCH closer than Riyadh. And there is a desert+mountain separating. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929845046563737600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:55 PM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb People you block feel compelled to read what you post. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929768963298480128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:52 AM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Some hope: Collapse of Saudi Barbaria, the most fragile place on the planet. With some compliments about yours truly. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/b2e15d16-c62f-11e7-b2bb-322b2cb39656 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/b2e15d16-c62f-11e7-b2bb-322b2cb39656 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"&lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/uZYLxOPNYk&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/uZYLxOPNYk <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929705816638345216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Solution <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/4fw33s7ojjvfgmf\/GordianNov12.tex?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/4fw33s7ojjvfgmf\/GordianNov12.tex?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"&lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/WihxwsIM0H&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/WihxwsIM0H <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929674538203406337\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:37 AM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@spartanwarriors Objects of precision and aesthetic appeal&#8230;.a close-up of the Corinthian columns of the Temple of Bacchus, ca. 150 AD in the #Roman Heliopolis (Baalbek, Lebanon) &#8211; Photograph: Philip Maaskant<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/imw37brXaj\"> pic.twitter.com\/imw37brXaj<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/spartanwarriors\/status\/929674400848318464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:37 AM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@AlbertoAtreides What are the main applications of @nntaleb&#8217;s ideas to Law and Legal Theory in general? Note that he has explicitly shown us that he&#8217;s had influence from Contract Theory Scholastics like Olivi. Curious. It&#8217;s something to think upon.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/2GPLFZwn9J\"> pic.twitter.com\/2GPLFZwn9J<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AlbertoAtreides\/status\/929657302340292608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:29 AM &#8211; 12 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@GreenRupertRead Brits! Please act on this: Crucial moment here for defending the @PrecPrinciple and stopping GMOs:<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gmfreeze\/status\/929353070454112256 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/gmfreeze\/status\/929353070454112256 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GreenRupertRead\/status\/929478297259560962\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:37 PM &#8211; 11 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Gigantic Squid Ink plate.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/OSKjASCenm\"> pic.twitter.com\/OSKjASCenm<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929432432507539457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:35 AM &#8211; 11 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@SamiBarakat1916 Kamal salibi is full of shit and is a pan Arabist funded idiot. Science proves all those shit Arabist theories are wrong <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/SamiBarakat1916\/status\/929404101644967937\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:42 AM &#8211; 11 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And gene flow from the Arabian Peninsula is small.<a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/something-nordic-supremacists-will-not-like-44d99e8a4188 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/something-nordic-supremacists-will-not-like-44d99e8a4188 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929317304415997952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM &#8211; 11 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Being part of the Ottoman Empire (500 y) was being part of East Med (&#8220;Near East&#8221;) on top of 3000 y of Greco-Phoenician-Byzantine. Leb airline was &#8220;Trans Mediterranean Airlines&#8221;, successor &#8220;Middle East Airlines&#8221; when Arabs started having $$. Arabization is recent. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929317044415320064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:57 AM &#8211; 11 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Good News: The resentment of Saudi Barbaria in Lebanon, across all communities, is helping the country come back to the Eastern Mediterranean &amp; its Phoenician\/Greco-Roman heritage, away from the Middle East. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929127526701690885\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:23 PM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@beachvetlbc How about freeing this study from a $42 paywall, #Monsanto, so we can share all the information&amp; limitations u don&#8217;t want people to read ? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/beachvetlbc\/status\/929054794081173505\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:34 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@Learn_lebanese Matal tene \u0447an l&#8217;farq b\u0113\u1ef9n l&#8217;le\u011fa l&#8217;lebn\u0113niy\u00e9 wel le\u011fa l&#8217;\u0447arabiy\u00e9. #lebaneseVsArabic<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Qr0MX6GcAH\"> pic.twitter.com\/Qr0MX6GcAH<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Learn_lebanese\/status\/929033722053234690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:11 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) For those who don&#8217;t get it &#8220;good neighbor&#8221; here doesn&#8217;t refer to exchange of holiday gifts, only absence of &#8220;tit for tat&#8221; &amp; tacit understanding of dynamics. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929022460644773888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:26 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) these game theoretic situations of coordination w\/speaking (Axelrod) are common in the animal kingdom. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929019894104027137\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:16 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Leb Shiites &amp; Israel seem to have unspoken non-agression &#8220;good-neighbor&#8221; pact unblemished for &gt;11 y. No real territorial claims\/sources of dispute. Don&#8217;t expect the Israelis to go to war for low-IQ-yet-Napoleonic Saudi w\/no skin in the game. Gabish? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929016812590784517\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:04 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The problem with such systems is that the longer you wait to fix it, the worse the collapse. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/929004378983411712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:14 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@CutTheKnotMath Problem 4117 from Crux Mathematicorum #FigureThat #math #algebra<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/w1p6Lq4Dcp\"> pic.twitter.com\/w1p6Lq4Dcp<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CutTheKnotMath\/status\/929003715582885888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:12 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@CutTheKnotMath A Followup on Lewis Carroll&#8217;s Pillow Problem #FigureThat #math #probability<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/pSbNOm7v3W\"> pic.twitter.com\/pSbNOm7v3W<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CutTheKnotMath\/status\/928980786920947712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:40 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@normonics Insulting anyone anonymously will surely only deepen your personal problems<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/928977937134694401 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/928977937134694401 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/928979295988600833\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:34 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The minority rule caused @GadSaad&#8217;s article on the minority rule to be hidden from sight.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GadSaad\/status\/928838052734173186 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GadSaad\/status\/928838052734173186 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928967156011855872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:46 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Added entries to the glossary<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ez2YYDpip9\"> pic.twitter.com\/ez2YYDpip9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928960257715527680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:19 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And remember to NEVER humiliate a bedouin in public.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/iwbHyEiZZB\"> pic.twitter.com\/iwbHyEiZZB<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928948290468671488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:31 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Saudi Arabia: with so much accumulated fragility, any reform, no matter if positive or negative, will accelerate collapse. Change is v. bad.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidboxenhorn\/status\/928900942354944000 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidboxenhorn\/status\/928900942354944000 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928943584304336896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:13 AM &#8211; 10 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Will Macron be hikacked and forced to resign? Unless he builds Wahabi centers, of course.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/afp\/status\/928724713416912896 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/afp\/status\/928724713416912896 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928756472128958464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:49 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Adding: monoculture (intellektshual) ( at the gym have nothing other than twitter to remember) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928753030283104256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:35 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Adding: scalability <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928752520297635840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:33 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Adding: merchandizing of virtue. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928750897479462913\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:27 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Last minute addition: The Glossary. Any comments?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/cSmS7adKrt\"> pic.twitter.com\/cSmS7adKrt<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928741479929040898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:49 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Empty Spaces: a collection of tweets in a continued discussion on dart throwing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cut-the-knot.org\/m\/Probability\/ProbabilityQuizDuJour2.shtml \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.cut-the-knot.org\/m\/Probability\/ProbabilityQuizDuJour2.shtml <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CutTheKnotMath\/status\/928728520263684096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:58 PM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Looking for first name and city of residence of TakingHayekSeriously @FriedrichHayek <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928705331294818304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:26 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Publishers put quotes by hotshots on back of books. I hate it. Told them I would get GENUINE quotes from REAL users e.g. &#8220;Joe from Denver&#8221;. Collecting quotes from readers (and re-readers) of Incerto &amp; drafts of SITG. Please add to this thread.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/YNXMr9uDND\"> pic.twitter.com\/YNXMr9uDND<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928702729580613633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:15 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nor for us Meds: Bread, olive oil, tapenade\/hummus, garlic\/herbs, and wine.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GKCdaily\/status\/928322305889046528 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GKCdaily\/status\/928322305889046528 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928698016168636416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:57 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Robert Fisk: Hariri was hijacked by Saudi Arabia. #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbaria<a href=\"http:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/lebanon-prime-minister-saad-hariri-resignation-not-all-seems-quits-resigns-surprise-saudi-arabia-a8045636.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/lebanon-prime-minister-saad-hariri-resignation-not-all-seems-quits-resigns-surprise-saudi-arabia-a8045636.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928680149964541952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:46 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbaria <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928645965438967816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:30 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My characterization of the Clown Prince of Saudi Barbaria: a low-IQ brat. You can&#8217;t be both. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928638364814888960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Real mathematics is NOT about solving particular probability riddles. It is about the MOST general solution to a given problem.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928592386699202565 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928592386699202565 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928632053435977729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:35 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@abdota \u201cPeace: Neither Ink nor Blood\u201d\u200a\u2014\u200a@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac#---405-628 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac#&#8212;405-628 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"&lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Fy5ahrHyMs&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/Fy5ahrHyMs <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/abdota\/status\/928588586932428801\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:42 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (revision) I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the PROCRUSTEAN BED of 140 ch. limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928573182927425536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:41 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the 140 character limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms\/dp\/0812982401\/ref=la_B000APVZ7W_1_5?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1482101294&amp;sr=1-5 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms\/dp\/0812982401\/ref=la_B000APVZ7W_1_5?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1482101294&amp;sr=1-5 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928569935961436160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:28 AM &#8211; 9 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Q: What are you trying to do with Skin in the Game (&amp; the Incerto)? A: Separating the fake from the true in anything: business, scholarship, academia, history, weightlifting, speeches, literature, war, mathematics of probability, politics, food&#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928379279825625088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Resolved. Thanks all! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928375247975407616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:34 PM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Clustering. A collection of excerpts from a discussion that followed @nntaleb&#8217;s tweet <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/926038923276627968 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/926038923276627968 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cut-the-knot.org\/m\/Probability\/ProbabilityQuizDuJour1.shtml \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.cut-the-knot.org\/m\/Probability\/ProbabilityQuizDuJour1.shtml <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"&lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7EauvdZZyL&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/7EauvdZZyL <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CutTheKnotMath\/status\/928335248282222594\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:55 AM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Correction. The \u201canti-corruption\u201d crown prince RECENTLY bought a $500 million yacht. My problem isn&#8217;t so much the use of corruption to grab power. It&#8217;s the war mongering. The fellow is destroying Yemen. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928329627738787842\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:33 AM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@Nigel_Farage #NeverForget<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/izfS3N5Wfb\"> pic.twitter.com\/izfS3N5Wfb<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Nigel_Farage\/status\/928314106502877190\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:31 AM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Technical friends: Which browser should I use for that? Thanks<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavorVirkes\/status\/924043928223051776 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavorVirkes\/status\/924043928223051776 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928256673390751744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:43 AM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The \u201canti-corruption\u201d crown prince owns a $500 million yacht. Did he buy it with his government salary? Who is being fooled? Who?<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/amalsaad_lb\/status\/928218755309756416 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/amalsaad_lb\/status\/928218755309756416 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928241978185338881\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:45 AM &#8211; 8 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@CutTheKnotMath You throw 16 darts uniformly randomly on 2D map with 16 squares. What is the probability of getting at least half the squares empty?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/55AS8c3qrM\"> pic.twitter.com\/55AS8c3qrM<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CutTheKnotMath\/status\/928055812769054725\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:25 PM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK, OK, not as good. But OK. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928016803745423365\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb T Shirt I got in Brazil x nao e f(x) ( x is not f(x) )<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/uYWmJKGRPB\"> pic.twitter.com\/uYWmJKGRPB<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/928016472500207617\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:49 PM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ok Ok almost as good. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927919836704907269\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:25 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Brazilian version of Jamon Iberico tastes even better.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/6OaXWhEi9Z\"> pic.twitter.com\/6OaXWhEi9Z<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927913173088223232\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:58 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Antifragile in Brazil!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/g1RsXgjYEh\"> pic.twitter.com\/g1RsXgjYEh<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927880937211179008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:50 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Is (war obsessed) Saudi Arabia socially, culturally, and intellectually one of the most BACKWARD nations on Planet Earth? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927831056719507456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:32 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Note that Monte Carlo methods for the problem converge very slowly. Combinatorial issues. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927822478369591297\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:58 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A country that &#8220;confiscates&#8221;&#8230; Not very comforting investors in an IPO. Anyone thinking of &#8220;investing&#8221; in Saudi Barbaria is an imbecile.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/927663761594486784 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/927663761594486784 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927817503685869568\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:38 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can someone explain why S. Barbaria w\/GDP= 20K p capita (only oil), Yuge Youth unemployment, unskilled, Yuge deficit, is involved in wars? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927681634417238016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:38 PM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No! No!<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/927672843504177152 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/927672843504177152 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927679958457122816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:31 PM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Either media is stupid, or Saudi rulers are stupid, or both Lebanon did not formally declare war &amp;no common border<a href=\"https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2hNK7wx \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/nyti.ms\/2hNK7wx <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927644427706880000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:10 PM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@snarwani Where is Saad Hariri, and why did his &#8220;resignation&#8221; as #Lebanon&#8217;s PM take even his own party by surprise? Some background:<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/I2AjIZpMx7\"> pic.twitter.com\/I2AjIZpMx7<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/snarwani\/status\/927619841405710336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:32 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The square differences. Nonlinearity: it flattens at 405.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/927595583195549696 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/927595583195549696 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927597251727413248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:03 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Brazil<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/DVORB4hpsK\"> pic.twitter.com\/DVORB4hpsK<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927561393393602560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:40 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nudging fails in the only place where I thought it could work: medication routines.<a href=\"http:\/\/ja.ma\/2j6kieB \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/ja.ma\/2j6kieB <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927556230092115969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:20 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@ggreenwald So much of the vicious, false, coordinated Dem\/media attack on Donna Brazile was amazing, illuminating &amp; horrifying. But this took the prize<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidsirota\/status\/927028822456668160 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidsirota\/status\/927028822456668160 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ggreenwald\/status\/927501885447311360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:44 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Errata: \u201cwith d independent trials\u201d @erugli @CutTheKnotMath <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927486079258595328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:41 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS; final solution to the problem <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/3zriao8cq5u135d\/GordianNov5.tex?dl=0 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.dropbox.com\/s\/3zriao8cq5u135d\/GordianNov5.tex?dl=0 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"&lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/mbIIU2Nl6L&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/mbIIU2Nl6L <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/927484461326901248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:35 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2017<\/p>\n<p>@mjd1735 Mohammed bin Salman fired him. So much for &#8220;sovereignty&#8221;.<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/asadabukhalil\/status\/926895247430361091 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/asadabukhalil\/status\/926895247430361091 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mjd1735\/status\/927341010186670080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:05 PM &#8211; 5 Nov 2017<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>@nntaleb RWRI 7 now open: Feb 5-9 2018 http:\/\/realworldrisk.com\/ \u00a0 Listening to Robert Fry @financequant lecturing on chaotic systems.\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/xeaR9Oanj6 Permalink 8:52 AM &#8211; 15 Nov 2017 @dhavalpanchal Enterpreunership : Leprechaun\u2019s &#8211; playful mischief over purpose. Don\u2019t get imprisioned by ur biz plan. Inspired from #rwri session by @nntaleb. Errors &amp; jumps to conclusions all mine. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1563,791,1453,1263,1213],"class_list":["post-8731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-brazil","tag-gmos","tag-macron","tag-ottomans","tag-saudi-barbaria"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8731","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8731"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8731\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8737,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8731\/revisions\/8737"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8731"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8731"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8731"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}