{"id":8686,"date":"2017-08-05T23:54:57","date_gmt":"2017-08-06T06:54:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8686"},"modified":"2017-08-05T23:54:57","modified_gmt":"2017-08-06T06:54:57","slug":"wusses-uk-iyis-pickard-mary-beard-scaramucci-monsanto-jk-rowling-a-tesla-dna-calabrese-barbers-cnn-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2017\/08\/wusses-uk-iyis-pickard-mary-beard-scaramucci-monsanto-jk-rowling-a-tesla-dna-calabrese-barbers-cnn-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Wusses, UK IYIs, Pickard, Mary Beard, Scaramucci, Monsanto, JK Rowling, a Tesla, DNA, Calabrese Barbers, CNN | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Imbecile, these are the people from the Hama area that UK “scholars” want you to believe are “Africans” (J2 haplogroup is the Med gene). pic.twitter.com\/KGycAtl7y1<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:28 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Did Hama (Emesa) people have the SubSaharan phenotype? Do you know how they look? Have you seen their DNA? Hahahaha. Only in the UK Permalink<\/a> 6:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Trying to figure out using @PZalloua ‘s database if Venitians left much imprint… pic.twitter.com\/nk7KMPgnJc<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@GeorgeJNasr https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/778702519518187520 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:32 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Writing shd be a form of risk taking. Permalink<\/a> 12:23 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Aramaic du Jour: Qornet as-Sawda is not “Black Corner” from Arabic, but from Aramaic “Mount of Martyrs” Qarno d’Sohdeh.https:\/\/twitter.com\/turlevnon\/status\/893862311475150849 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:03 PM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I bet you the Facebook “Fake News” marker will be interpreted as “true uncensored news”. #Antifragilehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/StefanMolyneux\/status\/893906875359604736 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:52 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cQuand les chr\u00e9tiens du Liban ont-ils commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 parler fran\u00e7ais ?\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/quand-les-chr%C3%A9tiens-du-liban-ont-ils-commenc%C3%A9-%C3%A0-parler-fran%C3%A7ais-faedb960cbdb <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:26 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb (this is fun… a lot of fun) pic.twitter.com\/nxRQEcyr4m<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:15 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@ektrit Taleb is the ultimate practitioner of Fuckoffism. Two parameters needed: 1) Be empirically knowledgeable. 2) Be financially independenthttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/893820093896982528 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb About the wusses in UK (and other) universities. pic.twitter.com\/yeDd7lpVke<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:57 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@emiliodib J’ai pu l’am\u00e9liorer un peu gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 quelques commentaires. \u00cates-vous \u00e0 l’origine de la remarque concernant Fran\u00e7ois 1er ? Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Wusses in UK intelligentsia who hate the Pol.Cor.Gestapo yet are afraid to speak. They study in detail Ceasar, Hanbl, but they are wusses. Permalink<\/a> 6:31 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@amyalkon What was done to Tim Hunt was terrible, & people (inc me) defended. @BoraZ never guilty of still-ruinous accusation http:\/\/www.advicegoddess.com\/archives\/2015\/07\/03\/bora_zivkovic_r.html <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/AYEXtGEZh5″> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/AYEXtGEZh5 Permalink<\/a> 6:10 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb UK pol. cor. Gestapo managed to destroy EVERY researcher they went after, including Tim Hunt (Nobel) They can’t do NOTHING to me Actually… Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You don’t fucking understand that “looking good” and *what people think of me* has NEVER been part of my agenda? Permalink<\/a> 5:51 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I got >1000 insults hurled at me by the Brit IYI mob, posts on hist newsletters, etc. I am still around (haha) What wd break me? 10^5? 10^6? Permalink<\/a> 5:49 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@heyjohnnyross keep up the great work NNT, their superficial walls are beginning to crumble Permalink<\/a> 5:23 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The general kills the particular! pic.twitter.com\/cE88fZ6w1P<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:11 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Chers amis, quelqu’un peut etre interesse a traduire en francais?https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:03 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From the Bed of Procrustes. (Why the Brits don’t like my calling Mary Beard who is a bullshitter, bullshitter): https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms\/dp\/1400069971\/ref=bxgy_cc_b_img_a <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/0RN2OX3dB2″> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/0RN2OX3dB2 Permalink<\/a> 5:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cWhen did Lebanese Christians Start Speaking French?\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thought experiment: If the child does not have his father’s DNA, who will you trust, the social narrative, i.e., “history”, or the DNA? Permalink<\/a> 1:03 PM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@BlackSwanReport #Monsanto Secret Documents @nntalebhttps:\/\/www.baumhedlundlaw.com\/toxic-tort-law\/monsanto-roundup-lawsuit\/monsanto-secret-documents\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:02 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@tlitb Is it lying when getting a TLS forum to report a twitter spat while distorting the tweets? @nntaleb @wmarybeardhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/tlitb\/status\/893493193538326529 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:38 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb These UK IYIs think that just picking random insults from “manual of platitutes for low IQ historians” will stop the spread of my argument.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MikeStuchbery_\/status\/893510188011048960 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:37 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink<\/a> 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink<\/a> 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@tlitb Hmm, swapping the chron. order and hiding the clear cause of the citation retort seems pretty dodgy from a historian @nntaleb @wmarybeard pic.twitter.com\/5yBer0iaeD<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:25 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You can shout “injustice” if someone is taller than you, require compensation for hurt feelings. Freedom of expression is ROBUST. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 7:57 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@JulianAssange Between Trump’s directness & leaks the Trump admin is the most transparent in living memory–despite its policies. Good or bad? Permalink<\/a> 7:41 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@christophermah3 We’ve only had troops in Afghanistan for 16 years. Give the strategy time to work.https:\/\/twitter.com\/JewhadiTM\/status\/893473470415343617 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:08 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You need to do something about Grand Inquisitors such as @david_colquhounhttps:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:53 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cSomething is Broken in the UK Intellectual Sphere.\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:01 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@JulianAssange Why WikiLeaks is the best friend of the American peoplehttps:\/\/fighting15th.com\/2017\/04\/16\/wikileaks-is-not-our-enemy\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:49 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr. Jim Pickard @PickardJE, I understand you like fake news… but why are you proud of being unethical?https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:20 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This confirms our genetic distance based on mitocondria between Leb & further north w\/@PZalloua Canaanites were not “Semitic”https:\/\/twitter.com\/ancientorigins\/status\/893418759989456896 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM – 4 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb OK, finalized the subtitle: Skin in the Game The Underlying Matrix of Daily Life Permalink<\/a> 3:47 PM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The exercise allows us to understand Fat Tails. From my book with @DrCirillo (my class notes at NYU) pic.twitter.com\/XF2EeSR3vM<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:33 PM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) Heuristic to get fat tails: Conditional of an event killing 1 billion in 2018, what is most likely? Pandemic Cancer Nuclear accident? Permalink<\/a> 2:25 PM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Once I catch someone like Mary Beard in the act of bullshitting, I cease to read additional comments\/posts by her & her friends. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 1:52 PM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Indeed, nuclear is thin-tailed & not under Precautionary P, just vigilance. Very dangerous but no systemic effects, unlike GMOs\/epidemics Permalink<\/a> 1:39 PM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ad Hominem was started by Mary Beard. I turned it on her. She subsequently misrepresented the exchange. 1 designation: bullshitter. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 7:49 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If that’s how Mary Beard bullshits about her exchange with me, how can anyone trust her historical reports? No more use for her. Permalink<\/a> 7:29 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Evidence that Ms Beard is a bullshitter. She tried to degrade me to “pop risk” until I compated the “pop” to HERs. Her report. Bullshitter! pic.twitter.com\/XuaYt7eLCi<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:27 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Deeper problem in the UK: the PolCorrect police terrorizes academics wusses & few dare speak up ag. the BS. UK Academics are too insecure. Permalink<\/a> 7:18 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Kate Cooper and Kaitlin Green are taking the scholarly approach; it is a matter of S Med phenotype & worth engagin.Beard is useless; ignore Permalink<\/a> 6:53 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The royal way is to quietly study quizzes on @CutTheKnotMath Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some ignorance on the part of Ms Beard: classifying Pple of Tiddis, Roman times “nonwhite” equiv. to classifying London Italians as such Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For those interested in our program w\/ @DrCirillo to introduce statistical\/probabilistic rigor into historiography. https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=64BtMdsAAAAJ&sortby=pubdate&citation_for_view=64BtMdsAAAAJ:mZB2-lCpWbQC <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:33 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I am sure that you agree: history shd be accurate representation of past empirical reality not cherry-picked saliency\/ availability biases. Permalink<\/a> 5:16 AM – 3 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@careygillam After release of dox showing ghostwriting, paying of scientists, @MonsantoCo seeks harsh sanctions on plaintiffs’ attorneys. Gloves are off.https:\/\/twitter.com\/careygillam\/status\/892914920517496832 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:25 PM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This time I am off the hook! Figured out a proof for this case by brute force rather than thinking. pic.twitter.com\/x55GhtC0wv<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:31 PM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@CutTheKnotMath The nature’s greatest artist: pufferfish http:\/\/1funny.com\/pufferfish-courtship\/ <\/a>\u00a0 #math #mathphoto HT Lyonya Medvedovsky ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/IprpwPHcxE”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/IprpwPHcxE Permalink<\/a> 9:57 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:03 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A potential explanation is that Aliens abducted all of them. Hey, I am not an expert on Alien history. Permalink<\/a> 7:09 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Sorry the answer is NOT there. Try again: where did the genes evaporate? Permalink<\/a> 6:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There is ONE & only ONE question that @wmarybeard needs to answer, & it is: “Where did the diversity genes evaporate?” All the rest is tawk. Permalink<\/a> 6:34 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So,”Astrology fails to work on data”. @wmarybeard “How many books on Astrology have you read? You don’t see the nuances” This is 2017! Permalink<\/a> 6:25 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Pbm vastly more general than @wmarybeard: there is this absence of intellectual rigor in humanities, ANECDOTAL is mistaken for STATISTICAL. pic.twitter.com\/gkczkA2MvZ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:44 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is what people say when the data contradicts all their beliefs.https:\/\/twitter.com\/wmarybeard\/status\/892709792468393985 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:17 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Friends, can you find antecedents to the “availability heuristic” in the literature? Permalink<\/a> 5:14 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Genetic data =>Ms Beard:”dont think you have many qualifications in nuanced historical analysis”. This is what is commonly known as bullshit Permalink<\/a> 4:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I apologize if you perceived it as an “insult” (and BTW I’ve offered your last book as Xmas present), but I need to compress. Permalink<\/a> 4:41 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The term “unsurprising” is now used as a substitute for *representative* population and “diversity”? Who are you fooling? “Scholarship?” Permalink<\/a> 4:37 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Sorry Ms Beard if you are insulted by data, but here is some more. BTW Mr Morley’s blog is not “evidence”, just anecdotal reasoning. pic.twitter.com\/KQ3BTEY0c5<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:06 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The ONLY other possible explanation is that ALL the “diversity” women had no girls, ALL “diversity” men had no boys, proba ~ 1 in trillions. Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Well, Ms Beard… Scientific evidence IS available. Where did the Subsaharan genes evaporate? (w\/interMed trading for 25 C.) Stop the BS. pic.twitter.com\/bRfgFfNdiW<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:31 AM – 2 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb When @wmarybeard says “firm evidence”, god knows what this means. In science evidence is statistical, != backed up historical anecdote. Permalink<\/a> 7:32 PM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We have a clear idea of genetic distributions hence backward composition; genes better statisticians than historian hearsay bullshit. Permalink<\/a> 7:09 PM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Historians believe their own BS. Where did the subsaharan genes evaporate? NorthAfricans were lightskinned. Only “Aethiopians”, even thenhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/wmarybeard\/status\/889925415032299520 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:08 PM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Answer in here with real world application. I did a bootstrap for variance reasons. pic.twitter.com\/UDCPZJxWRE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:12 PM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A probability Quiz. pic.twitter.com\/AIofc0udvQ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:57 PM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Courage is the only virtue you can’t fake. Permalink<\/a> 9:20 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Using quotes by modern psychologists is the bullshitter’s imitation of depth. #LindyEffecthttps:\/\/twitter.com\/dmichaelsnyder\/status\/892412903357394944 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:56 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So how many of the articles by @HenryiMiller on @ProSyn are written by Monsanto? Or those he wrote against our PP http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html <\/a>\u00a0 ?https:\/\/twitter.com\/garyruskin\/status\/892385165376278528 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:12 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Why cursing signals independence, even aristocracy (same chapter in Skin in the Game) pic.twitter.com\/hO2Zl3cPfJ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:03 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The tragedy of Anthony @Scaramucci is that one cannot be both alpha, free, direct and … have a supervisor.https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/entry\/597fc800e4b0d187a5968fbf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:http:\/\/www.huffingtonpost.com\/entry\/597fc800e4b0d187a5968fbf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The problem is IYIs not understanding inequality https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxCRoser\/status\/892143453215346689 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 11) For the Tesla, the put option embedded in lease ~ %15 of initial price. Breakeven is a 35% drop in used-car mkt. Price for uncertainty! Permalink<\/a> 7:50 PM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@JasonL3d Yeah something snapped inside of me the other day when I finally understood this idea I got from Nassim Taleb’s bookhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/jasonl3d\/status\/891015399847993346 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:30 PM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 10) On the optimality of buying vs leasing (& optionality of lease), how much does a Tesla currently lose in % after 3 y &\/or 36000 miles? Permalink<\/a> 3:34 PM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@CutTheKnotMath My apologies and appreciation to every one who noticed and point out the typo pic.twitter.com\/qc43Y9TAUt<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:11 PM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Time to refresh the smear artists http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/smear.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:29 PM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb People want to buy the argument by Pinker, via shoddy statistics, that the state LOWERED violence. It did not.https:\/\/twitter.com\/catoletters\/status\/892024628755017728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:35 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: The SP500 negative extremes follow the standard Extreme Value Distribution, not the positive extremes pic.twitter.com\/HG0MOKBSHS<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb JK Rowling should write fiction in her books not in her tweets using Virtue Signaling with children. The liar did not remove tweet. Liar. pic.twitter.com\/wirfcNNRYD<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:51 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From genetics w @Zalloua, Church founders in Levant & AsiaMinor looked as Lebanese,same they did 3800 years ago, SAME as Southern Europeans. pic.twitter.com\/OTLL9ycLPc<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:18 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Attempt to make church leaders look nonEuropean is a fraud. Genes show they looked like S. Europeans\/Meds @PZallouahttps:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From #SkinintheGame You get more results, more peace reducing the State Dept staff & interventionistas. pic.twitter.com\/BN8tw80TVq<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:59 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 9) It remains that the most subsidized industries (via taxpayer stop) have been Auto & Banking. Turned both into living carcasses. #Tesla Permalink<\/a> 4:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.https:\/\/twitter.com\/brhodes\/status\/891770632337227776 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:38 PM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 8) I understand the EV costs energy to make. How about other cars: do they grow on trees? Permalink<\/a> 4:03 PM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 7) +Battery depletion [V. small for 50k miles] +Fragility of car [have WARRANTY] I plug at home… I fail to see a compelling arg. ag Tesla. Permalink<\/a> 2:08 PM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 6) Rational arguments ag. electric: +Electric =fossil [NOT in NY] +Range anxiety [99% of my driving<80m] +Refill [Plug v.convenient for me] Permalink<\/a> 2:04 PM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: Extremes for SP500 are independent for negative, dependent for >0. Gumbel test @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com\/sKMHf60CWK<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:45 PM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In SiculoCalabrese, “Capisci” not quite pronounced “Kapish”, more like “Gabish”, w\/the G almost a Semitic Qof. What shd I use in my books? Permalink<\/a> 10:12 AM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Then why don’t you use petrol\/diesel cell phones and laptops? Permalink<\/a> 8:30 AM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb (cont) Honor is necessary, but not sufficient. Tired of the sophistry w\/ counterexamples from Mafia, etc. Permalink<\/a> 7:51 AM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Honor and Soul in the Game pic.twitter.com\/fl8Vydx2Bm<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:49 AM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@primalpoly Which journalists should we trust? Whoever risks assassination or ostracism by reporting on civilization’s real enemies. #skininthegame Permalink<\/a> 12:27 AM – 30 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5) Skin in the game: I waited to buy a Tesla before commenting… Permalink<\/a> 11:32 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Yesterday, I replaced my lemon MiniCooper Flaneurmobile with a Tesla, wondering why I didn’t do it before. Permalink<\/a> 11:28 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) We wasted 120 years not focusing on the battery… Permalink<\/a> 11:22 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) The Tesla needs no oil change, no regular visits to the dealer so he could overcharge you for maintenance, no nothing. Permalink<\/a> 11:21 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) Is it me or is it that when you see a Tesla you realize there has been a conspiracy to make us drive complicated crap for 50 years? Permalink<\/a> 11:15 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is true. I have been unfollowing\/blocking every p who spread & did not retract. @jk_rowling is personally & intellectually despicable.https:\/\/twitter.com\/PrisonPlanet\/status\/891340518206177286 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:00 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Centrally, unlike genetics-based medicine (huge dimensionality problems), DNA is very robust to parentage. You know your origin at ~10^-10 Permalink<\/a> 8:47 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Volatility clustering, roughly seen. If we dig, we can see that: 1) It is NOT self-exciting Poisson 2) It is NOT stochastic vol. “Rough Vol” pic.twitter.com\/J1HEZGJJGa<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:24 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb #somethingIlearnedtoday People on the “left” have higher school scores People on the “left” can’t figure out complex systems Problem=school Permalink<\/a> 8:05 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Something I learned today: The SP500 is Fat Tailed because of serial dependence. pic.twitter.com\/zJFZLEdgma<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:56 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Uncomfortable for some that, in spite of claims by some of “Arab descent”, no imprint in the genes\/culture. “Arab nationalism” is dead. Permalink<\/a> 6:17 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We need to rewrite history. History belongs to scientists, not historians. https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/nntaleb\/posts\/10155103605033375 <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/YFJSK159g6″> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/YFJSK159g6 Permalink<\/a> 6:10 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This 99% chimp theory is TOTAL BS. DNA is based on genetic distance or rigorous divergence metrics, not raw comparisons. Permalink<\/a> 5:51 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Canaanite discovery by @PZalloua et al supports the idea that history was LESS VIOLENT than reported by historianshttps:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:25 AM – 29 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Bravo. This is the paper to read.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MuhammedKambal\/status\/891062446433210372 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:10 PM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Both Lister and his boss shd be in Guantanamohttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ehsani22\/status\/891058067508535301 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:13 PM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 2 from the 2017 IMO http:\/\/www.cut-the-knot.org\/m\/Algebra\/IMO2017_Problem2.shtml <\/a>\u00a0 #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Ib3QjkW9dB”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/Ib3QjkW9dB Permalink<\/a> 10:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Calabrese barbers, my friends for 25 y pic.twitter.com\/MjowvaUuSQ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are from the minorities that the “rebels” want to ethnically cleanse. Permalink<\/a> 6:35 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb An interesting style math problem from the 2017 Olympiad. (2nd most difficult) Also #FF @CutTheKnotMath who keeps us sharp with these. pic.twitter.com\/lkLtOqbkUT<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:32 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Incidentally, 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are minorities. https:\/\/www.imo-official.org\/team_r.aspx?code=SYR&year=2017 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The problem is never the problem. It is how @ForeignPolicy deals with it that is the main problem. Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Tried to portray son of Syria’s Assad as a loser who “flucked” math test. Turned out math test was Olympiad & he got Honor. Men. DESPICABLE. Permalink<\/a> 6:12 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The editor of @ForeignPolicy doesn’t know what a mathematics Olympiad is. Worse: he doesn’t want to know.https:\/\/twitter.com\/benpauker\/status\/890916557332807680 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:53 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I mean right under the bronze. Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “Never trust a journalist, except if she is your mother”, Bed of Procrusteshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/Scaramucci\/status\/890736308498378753 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:20 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This needs a retraction, @benpauker. Young Hafez got an Honorable Mention, 1 rank under the silver medal. Is @ForeignPolicy so bad?https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/889845014133649410 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:45 AM – 28 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@GreenRupertRead Watch\/share, on climate\/precaution: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=pmcokyx6Tbk&feature=youtu.be <\/a>\u00a0 & See also my jt piece on exactly this with @nntaleb: http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2015\/05\/our-statement-on-climate-models\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:45 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A diagnosis for a mental disease that is 100% nonimaginary is working for CNNhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/fridaghitis\/status\/890748661109596161 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:46 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There are fit-all words such as ‘narcissistic’ that God created for idiots without a precise argument. Permalink<\/a> 6:38 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci is being direct, natural, and nononsense. Get used to people who say it the way it is.https:\/\/twitter.com\/EvanRFrost\/status\/890729509573586944 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:25 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Finally, someone is using my language.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Chris_arnade\/status\/890691079217065985 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:54 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb No self respecting Squid Ink eater will EVER put cheese on a fish pasta. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 3:23 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Squid ink with farro grain, Tbone steak and a lot of probability with statistician @philipbstark pic.twitter.com\/i7G4uwUOno<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:19 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is actually true. Women under “rebel” areas are treated like 2nd hand furniture.https:\/\/twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/890684001492631552 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:33 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Confirmation of the theory that populations, once they settle in an empty spot, stay there. http:\/\/phy.so\/420375602 <\/a>\u00a0 via @physorg_com Permalink<\/a> 2:10 PM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “malignant alliance betw powerful bureaucracies & MidEast allies” agst Amer interests, => terrorism” http:\/\/www.theamericanconservative.com\/articles\/how-cia-and-allies-trapped-obama-in-syrian-arms-debacle\/ <\/a>\u00a0 via @amconmag Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM – 27 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci understands health care is centrally a scaling problem! Grrrrrrrrreat news.https:\/\/twitter.com\/newday\/status\/890181198940696576 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:02 PM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@ScottAdamsSays Show me a person who has followed this sort of reading path and I’ll show you someone I want to work with.https:\/\/twitter.com\/realwesmyers\/status\/890301665454305280 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:54 PM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The minority rule failed to work! Why? It imposes too much costs on others.http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-us-canada-40729996 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:05 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb CAN YOU TAKE MY NAME OFF THAT CRAP? Permalink<\/a> 9:38 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb One day.https:\/\/twitter.com\/romanletters\/status\/890226409163063301 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A Copt (Egyptian Christian, pre-Arab invasion) moves to France, away from persecution, & vows to preserve France from the same invasion.https:\/\/twitter.com\/JeanMessiha\/status\/889569976704749568 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:11 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@DShaywitz Also – those noting serendipity relevant to drug discovery – I discussed this in @FT in 2008 w\/@nntaleb https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/b735787c-5d9b-11dd-8129-000077b07658 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:59 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some pple criticizing economists because they “use math”. But they can’t even use math: they VIOLATE elementary probability theory. pic.twitter.com\/6oiaoWEIkt<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:32 AM – 26 Jul 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A lesson for SaudiBarbaria Tsar Alexsndr II who freed the serfs,made reforms was assassinated You suddenly give rights, they want much more Permalink<\/a> 3:44 PM – 25 Jul 2017<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Imbecile, these are the people from the Hama area that UK “scholars” want you to believe are “Africans” (J2 haplogroup is the Med gene). pic.twitter.com\/KGycAtl7y1 Permalink 6:28 PM – 5 Aug 2017 @nntaleb Did Hama (Emesa) people have the SubSaharan phenotype? Do you know how they look? Have you seen their DNA? Hahahaha. Only […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1508,1510,1443,1509,1507,1506,823,1505,1498,1504,1503],"class_list":["post-8686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-a-tesla","tag-calabrese-barbers","tag-cnn","tag-dna","tag-jk-rowling","tag-mary-beard","tag-monsanto","tag-pickard","tag-scaramucci","tag-uk-iyis","tag-wusses"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8686","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8686"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8686\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8687,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8686\/revisions\/8687"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8686"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8686"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8686"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}