{"id":8619,"date":"2017-04-19T00:35:55","date_gmt":"2017-04-19T07:35:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8619"},"modified":"2017-04-19T00:35:55","modified_gmt":"2017-04-19T07:35:55","slug":"cnn-fatty-lamb-easter-minsk-ual-palm-sunday-donaldo-facta-non-verba-peter-hitchens-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2017\/04\/cnn-fatty-lamb-easter-minsk-ual-palm-sunday-donaldo-facta-non-verba-peter-hitchens-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"CNN, Fatty Lamb, Easter, Minsk, UAL, Palm Sunday, Donaldo, Facta Non Verba, Peter Hitchens | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb I speculate that no gym machine can raise one’s BPM (beats per minute) more than sprinting outside, particularly uphill. True? Permalink<\/a> 6:31 AM – 18 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@NonMeek .@nntaleb My humble attempt of conveying the concepts “iatrogenics” and “negative convexity effect” from #Antifragile in one strip. pic.twitter.com\/hBXeESTlvI<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:40 AM – 17 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Today, The Black Swan turns 10 years old. (Fooled by Randomness is ~16 y.o., Procrustes ~7, and Antifragile ~5) Permalink<\/a> 9:11 AM – 17 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms Trump only cares about Sunni, not Shiite children (I’d expand that claim beyond Trump to most media & think tanks).http:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/syria-suicide-attack-refugee-buses-trump-only-cares-sunni-children-a7687066.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:44 AM – 17 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We need to help CNN go out of business. I involuntarily get their propaganda in lounges as they blast the #fakenewshttps:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:36 PM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Was this week in 4 airline lounges” Warsaw, Vienna, Minsk, NY. ALL were blasting CNN How do we get airport lounges to stop having #fakenews?https:\/\/twitter.com\/dancohen3000\/status\/853352680336523265 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:27 PM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Rule I’ve learned today. After 47 vegan days (with v. few exceptions), do not overeat fatty lamb. Permalink<\/a> 5:15 PM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@JulianAssange After the massacre of shiite refugee families in Syria yesterday let’s recall the Western media’s original CIA backed “moderate rebel” pic.twitter.com\/K8ZiF1Fjmn<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:53 PM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lamb after 47 days pic.twitter.com\/JW7FzETLqA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:14 PM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb #LindyEffecthttps:\/\/twitter.com\/litteracarolina\/status\/852950922196131841 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:28 AM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms Do a thought experiment: Imagine how much more & intense media coverage would be if Assad had massacred all those civilians yesterday. Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM – 16 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms That’s totally nuts if you’ve at all been following the media coverage disparity. Shia lives simply don’t matter.https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxabrahms\/status\/853450526834511872 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:33 PM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@since33 Christ is Risen! Khrist\u00f3s An\u00e9sti! Hristos voskrese! \u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u062d \u0642\u0627\u0645! \u062d\u0642\u0627 \u0642\u0627\u0645! \u072b\u072a\u071d\u072a\u0710\u071d\u072c \u0729\u0721! Photo: Holy Sepulchre #Easter pic.twitter.com\/AbZ8NaYXM7<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:12 PM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “Intellectual elite”= people selected ability to get: 1 statics, not dynamics 2 actions, not interactions 3 low, not high dimensionality. Permalink<\/a> 11:34 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The main result of “improvement” by US regime changists (Obama\/Hillary) & backing rebels is depletion of original Christians in Syria.https:\/\/twitter.com\/EHSANI22\/status\/853285539981787137 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:31 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb IYIs are good at “removing” w\/o grasping 2nd step\/complex systems Removing “dictators” & replacing w… Removing “religion” & replacing w…https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/853292130252582912 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:29 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@BrankoMilan This is a good news!https:\/\/twitter.com\/DeanBaker13\/status\/853295617787006976 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:20 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@thogge Very good. as you elude to, nothing angered Jesus more than virtue-signaling empty-sepulcher Pharisees. saved his toughest rebukes for them Permalink<\/a> 8:58 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You cannot truly celebrate Easter if you didn’t pay a price for it: lent & fasting.https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/no-worship-without-skin-in-the-game-70b4aa341092 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:02 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Borin Johnson has all the shortcomings attributed to Trump by his detractors & none of the qualities assumed by his followers. Permalink<\/a> 3:59 AM – 15 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@sahouraxo Hundreds of Syrian Christians attended their very first #GoodFriday mass in #Aleppo’s St. Elijah Cathedral in nearly five years. #Syria pic.twitter.com\/wVkYT1WysE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:18 PM – 14 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@NonMeek .@nntaleb #Antifragile’s chapter 21 provides the framework for today’s @Offshorecomic (books V & VI are just marvelous) #IYI #Academics pic.twitter.com\/hyqN5QYla8<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:30 AM – 14 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Donald coverging on Isocrates Golden Rule for Foreign Affairs: Treat other nations the way you want yours to be treated #SkinIntheGamehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/852510810287075329 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM – 14 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@KenMcCarthy The idiot news media is STILL confusing denying boarding w VIOLENTLY removing a BOARDED passenger. The latter is literally a criminal act Permalink<\/a> 6:51 AM – 14 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Question: one has two thin green horizontal stripes, the other a thick longitudinal smear. Permalink<\/a> 2:19 PM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@Alexa__Bella The lack of journalistic integrity here is astounding @EliLake~2nd story in 2wks you’ve stolen frm @Cernovich & claimed it as your own~C’mon Permalink<\/a> 2:07 PM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@schmittpaula “Washington Post Doesn\u2019t Disclose Writer Supporting Syria Strike Is a Lobbyist for Tomahawk Missile Manufacturer”http:\/\/www.alternet.org\/grayzone-project\/wash-post-writer-supporting-syria-strike-lobbyist#.WO69XR4sew8.twitter <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:55 AM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Minsk pic.twitter.com\/fPKrpowi97<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:50 AM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Max has a thread on how “Aleppo” side casualties were much less than Mosul; Salafi PR\/think tanks promoted “butcher of Aleppo”.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/852469578080956416 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:24 AM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If someone pays you for anything other than a specific transaction, you are a slave.https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:54 AM – 13 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@wikileaks “[al-Quada] is on our side in Syria”–email from policy advisor to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (Feb 2012) https:\/\/wikileaks.org\/clinton-emails\/emailid\/23225#efmAGIAHu <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/k6hIk68nvC”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/k6hIk68nvC Permalink<\/a> 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Paula have you seen many children without… mothers? And that was Nusra. Permalink<\/a> 11:49 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb She is good. Very good. That’s how statisticians and detectives think.https:\/\/twitter.com\/partisangirl\/status\/852219568818802688 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:26 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The world is a better place today than it was over the weekend. Now I can go back to working on my Fat Tails papers.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/852183092420857856 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:39 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@EHSANI22 Leading CW expert Theodor Postol of MIT just published a 14-page document questioning WH claims that Sarin was dropped from #Syrian AF plane pic.twitter.com\/kMJgxwsN8Z<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:36 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@0ma6e lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/UTuKZGujX3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@13125x lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/UTuKZGujX3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The NYT is for and by IYIs like Haberman, insecure philistines & fake intellectuals. The Post is to the point & vastly less pretentious.https:\/\/twitter.com\/maggienyt\/status\/852028786358984705 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:38 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Great news; looks like we have the answerhttp:\/\/nypost.com\/2017\/04\/11\/trump-were-not-going-into-syria\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:58 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The worst part of the story is the ongoing smear campaign against the UAL victim, to attenuate their mistreatment. Permalink<\/a> 8:30 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Think tankers & journos are usually low IQ, intell. insecure & living in financial insecurity. They only attack those who cannot harm them. Permalink<\/a> 6:08 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My idea of writing essays is to make sure the reader has ABSOLUTELY no idea what will be discussed on the next page. Otherwise textbookish.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Maximilian_H1\/status\/851806211179675648 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:28 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb To those who aren’t traders YET discuss UAL’s “billions in losses” in valuation. The market move today is TOTALLY within noise. pic.twitter.com\/LUZXX7KnQ9<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:49 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb God bless you if true, @Cernovichhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/cernovich\/status\/851897652711104512 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:52 PM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So this fellow speaks for a group claiming an evidence-based study of the Syrian problem?https:\/\/twitter.com\/BraddJaffy\/status\/851861056385417219 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) To those IYI idiots w\/cost-free virtue signaling, I have 6 Syrian refugees on my property in Lebanon. Without #Skininthegame, shut up. Permalink<\/a> 9:23 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Assad family blew up my house. But I forcefully OPPOSE his removal. Better have a Franco than Gadhafi transitionhttps:\/\/medium.com\/opacity\/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:52 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@EHSANI22 This type of media-induced policy shift \u2014 once called the CNN effect \u2014 is not newhttps:\/\/www.google.ca\/amp\/s\/www.washingtonpost.com\/amphtml\/news\/monkey-cage\/wp\/2017\/04\/10\/did-media-images-just-change-u-s-policy-in-syria-three-lessons-from-kosovo\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:21 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@DanielLMcAdams With no shame…https:\/\/twitter.com\/JustinRaimondo\/status\/851801487285952512 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:20 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb At a Seder last night was asked to read a fragment in Aramaic in the original accent.Unprepared for the diacriticals https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/Seder.m4a <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Did @realDonaldTrump betray his constituency by taking a neocon fragilista interventionist approach to regime change, or is it just noise? Permalink<\/a> 5:44 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cReal Life is Risk Taking\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/real-life-is-risk-taking-ac424efd5fcc <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Without #skininthegame people keep repeating the same mistakes.https:\/\/twitter.com\/adamjohnsonNYC\/status\/851217595957211137 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Sawiris (a Copt, Severus) is saying that states are attacking terrorists, but ignoring the Sheikhs preaching terror, real source.https:\/\/twitter.com\/NaguibSawiris\/status\/851005866165895168 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:10 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Instead of increasing the $$, United opted to forcibly remove a passenger. They fughotaboud markets. Do they deserve punishment by markets? Permalink<\/a> 3:56 AM – 11 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My best profile except that, to retaliate [see story], the angry photographer whom I insulted made my face swell.https:\/\/twitter.com\/lucknow_leopard\/status\/851449213028364288 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:32 AM – 10 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists in the opposite direction: I will transit in Warsaw instead. Note: you need a Russian visa to transit in Moscow-> Minskhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/850389220241924099 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM – 10 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Scott Ritter’s account is very rational. Something in this CW story seems strange: forensic evidence coming from …AlQaeda.https:\/\/twitter.com\/joshua_landis\/status\/851190584752656386 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:55 PM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I was actually stuck in ATL for 7 hours. Benefit: Started model of tail risk from flights scheduled too close to one another.https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikephillips1\/status\/850842831774154753 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:21 PM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Unlike Copts: Shiites, Leb Christians, Alawites & Druze are armed to the teeth They know NO Sunni gov can really protect them #SkinintheGame Permalink<\/a> 8:53 AM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@dkbissinger @nntaleb how reading news reduces one’s knowledgehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/rypauley\/status\/851034975717687296 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:48 AM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Adding a section to The Intellectual Yet Idiot https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577 <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/cLdJyKhakf”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/cLdJyKhakf Permalink<\/a> 7:23 AM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@GennadySimanovs since now every economist tried to convince me that opposite is true and 1% of Top doesw not pay taxes at all cc @stevesi @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/5MsFhMdVD0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:21 AM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Happy Palm Sunday to all. Permalink<\/a> 6:06 AM – 9 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Now, a strike against the originating Saudi Arabian airfield is needed for consistency. I am certain that pics of children are on the way.https:\/\/twitter.com\/YemenPostNews\/status\/850700849424855041 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:23 PM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From reactions of “libertarians” to Syrian strikes: they view + The state as the main agent of war + War as main pretense for state powers. Permalink<\/a> 1:02 PM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@Cernovich Entire air strike may be been kayfabe, which was predicted by @ScottAdamsSays, deemed likely by @nntaleb.http:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-4390942\/Syria-claims-KNEW-launch-airstrikes.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:51 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So I too fell for the Tophet baby-killermsmear campaign ag Phoenicians! Children cemeteries were because of … simple children mortality pic.twitter.com\/jRzSC1RxfR<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:35 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w\/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink<\/a> 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w\/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink<\/a> 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@catoletters Nikki Haley begins each UN speech with the Used Car Salesman pitch “Let tell you the truth”, “Let me be honest with you” Permalink<\/a> 7:17 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) Note: Social media: a) distributes images of children b) unlike MSM doesn’t filter WHICH children to show. This may help peace. Maybe. Permalink<\/a> 7:16 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2nd order effects: Once you make policy based on PICTURES of children victims, ALL parties will now produce pictures of children. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 6:40 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@CamilleOtrakji When the US+UK were working on toppling Iran’s popular prime minister in 1953, the lovely BBC was part of regime change, just like today pic.twitter.com\/OMqlfBOQKl<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:34 AM – 8 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Convexity effect # Antifragilehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/fermatslibrary\/status\/850448409777520640 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:00 PM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Not so fast… Something to consider. Egyptians are saying 4 children,5 adults died. Retaliate for death of children by…killing children? pic.twitter.com\/dVBLqhpqZ7<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:38 PM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Apparently they spared the runway (2 fighter jets took off today). “Drole de guerre” (phony war). Donaldo playing MSM & libs like a violin. pic.twitter.com\/SfvD819J6p<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:06 PM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@tlhote A french teacher at the officer academy of St Cyr is explaining in more details in your direction.http:\/\/conscientia.fr\/2017\/04\/07\/frappe-us-en-syrie-la-nuit-des-dupes-masquait-un-joli-de-coup-de-billard\/#more-838 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:28 PM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Squid ink in a diluted sauce w\/ tomato pic.twitter.com\/HrFotSMdGd<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:47 AM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists: For the record, I will transit in Moscow airport new week on way to a conference in a neighboring country. Permalink<\/a> 9:46 AM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@gt_carter Hey @nntaleb how does it feel to always be right? ;-) Permalink<\/a> 7:30 AM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The strike has ~0 military impact. Russians were informed & Syrians could clear area. All it says: no Chem Weapons even if it wasn’t you. Permalink<\/a> 6:42 AM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Did Prez Trump do a “Facta Non Verba” on Assad? So he could control him? Yes, he did on Assad, N Korea, China…https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:39 AM – 7 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Media pple of 2017 In Hammurabi’s code, ~3750 y. ago, a false accusation was punished as if the accuser committed the crime. Be careful. Permalink<\/a> 2:39 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5) Bravo! While MSM & policymakers are childlishly driven by images, this man is starting a v. rigorous process!!!https:\/\/www.rootclaim.com\/claims\/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-syria-on-april-4-2017-18448 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink<\/a> 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink<\/a> 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink<\/a> 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink<\/a> 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink<\/a> 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink<\/a> 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) Historically blood libels against Jews have taken same shape: generalized hysteria on stories of children kidnapped & drained of blood Permalink<\/a> 11:06 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb He pronounced “Kabish?”https:\/\/twitter.com\/udaberg\/status\/850016348268843008 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Investigate, don’t be blinded by emo-pictures. Can be true but 3750 years of justice system shouldn’t be wiped out by Qatari PR !https:\/\/twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/849797885357109249 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:50 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Very very unorthodox but it works pic.twitter.com\/QVrRhxCTom<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:26 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I am not yet certain that it’s a lie, but I am not certain it is truth. We need more rigorous investigation BEFORE policy statements.https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielLMcAdams\/status\/849871224494804992 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:36 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Susan Rice Affair: 1) Today, unlike in 1970, EVERYTHING government officials do leaves indelible traces 2) They are likely to forget it Permalink<\/a> 6:05 AM – 6 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Slight mistake thta dpesn’t matter for m=0: mad should be \\int \\sqrt{(x-m)^2} dx Permalink<\/a> 8:27 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb How BS vendors BS, a sample.https:\/\/twitter.com\/quinnovator\/status\/849801913755353088 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:19 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@Darius1296 One should do the opposite. A good heuristic would be: the more potent the pictures, the more you question the evidence. Permalink<\/a> 2:25 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Syria: Are people reacting to the pictures of children or from EVIDENCE? The more potent the pictures, the less you question the evidence. Permalink<\/a> 2:20 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As you can see, I got this from HIS feed. pic.twitter.com\/s7lvHNE638<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:14 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Note that 2\/4 is 4\/2 in US. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 12:11 PM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink<\/a> 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink<\/a> 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The plot thickens.https:\/\/twitter.com\/HKX07\/status\/849460664376709120 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:43 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Probability Du Jour: The border between thin tails & fat tails resides in exponential distribution. Maximum entropy under MAD constraint. pic.twitter.com\/cAXWRqVzS9<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Peter Hitchens, the smart brother http:\/\/hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk\/2017\/04\/its-wmd-all-over-again-why-dont-you-see-it-.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is how the Fat Tails book looks like pic.twitter.com\/7ybHj56YFX<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:24 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Interesting.https:\/\/twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/849635794994286592 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:08 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb These MBA charts are repelling, they stand ag. everything classical & rigorous.https:\/\/twitter.com\/hjarche\/status\/849626971269189632 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:21 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Wildcard criticism: sentences that can apply to anything, s.a. “narcissistic”, “he thinks he knows everything”,… https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/nntaleb\/posts\/10154746535088375 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:30 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) I understand Tillerson was not a risk-taking entrepreneur, but executive is better, much better than bureaucrat. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Paranoia has a statistical analog: Akaike & similar, the ratio of complexity\/overparametrization of the fitted function to # data points. Permalink<\/a> 5:29 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb BS vendors are not used to people like Tillerson who don’t like to spend their lives crafting statements, talk, talk and talk.https:\/\/twitter.com\/kjhealy\/status\/849420383753261060 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:56 AM – 5 Apr 2017<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb I speculate that no gym machine can raise one’s BPM (beats per minute) more than sprinting outside, particularly uphill. True? Permalink 6:31 AM – 18 Apr 2017 @NonMeek .@nntaleb My humble attempt of conveying the concepts “iatrogenics” and “negative convexity effect” from #Antifragile in one strip. pic.twitter.com\/hBXeESTlvI Permalink 10:40 AM – 17 Apr 2017 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1443,1170,714,1448,1444,1445,1447,1449,1446],"class_list":["post-8619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-cnn","tag-donaldo","tag-easter","tag-facta-non-verba","tag-fatty-lamb","tag-minsk","tag-palm-sunday","tag-peter-hitchens","tag-ual"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8619"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8620,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8619\/revisions\/8620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}