{"id":8560,"date":"2017-01-26T00:11:31","date_gmt":"2017-01-26T08:11:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8560"},"modified":"2017-01-26T00:11:31","modified_gmt":"2017-01-26T08:11:31","slug":"left-received-ideas-minority-rule-naive-interventionism-flamboyance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2017\/01\/left-received-ideas-minority-rule-naive-interventionism-flamboyance\/","title":{"rendered":"Left, Received Ideas, Minority Rule, Naive Interventionism, Flamboyance"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Statistically, the terrorists who killed the largest number of Americans were from Saudi Barbaria. Just a reminder. Permalink<\/a> 12:41 PM – 25 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Who’s coming to my Cambridge tawk? We can sample potential topic. Permalink<\/a> 3:32 AM – 25 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Genes and languages don’t line up necessarily! See Turkey, Cyprus, USA, Mexico, Egypt, etc. @Lekapenos @kingdomofvan @ghchammas @PZalloua Permalink<\/a> 12:43 AM – 25 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Friday, my talk on Fat Tails at Darwin College in Cambridge, UK. Should I change topic & talk abt ancient Med? http:\/\/talks.cam.ac.uk\/talk\/index\/67301 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:10 AM – 25 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There are as many definitions of “Fat Tails” as… We settled on “true fat tails” (Paretan, hard) & nonParetan (soft) fat tails. @DrCirillo Permalink<\/a> 12:02 AM – 25 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Much of the population seem to come from the North, the “Aryan” Asia Minor, aside from the sea. @ghchammas @PZalloua Permalink<\/a> 11:28 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Unlike genetic theories, low-dimensional genetic analyses focusing on Haplogroups for populations very robust statistically. Permalink<\/a> 11:24 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) Linguistic categorizations post Greenberg fail miserably with Semitic languages, owing to cross terms\/mutations Permalink<\/a> 11:24 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) So theory by Salibi is bogus. Myth 2: Contra SciAm (not “scientific”), little Arab origin\/blood in Western Levant ~ elsewhere in Med. Permalink<\/a> 11:23 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) With geneticist @PZalloua, busting a few myths about the Levant. Myth 1: Population of Levant is “Semitic”.PreIslamic population European Permalink<\/a> 11:19 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Wine in Akkadian @Extrachelle pic.twitter.com\/Y321LxOAdA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:40 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The word wine comes from Phenician Yayn (Oinos), from Akkadian Inu. But also 7mer (see Ugaritic). @Extrachelle pic.twitter.com\/e2FNAubKp3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:38 PM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Basically, resist equating injustice and some static IYI measure of inequality.https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46#.357e7qgy0 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If you’re over 30 and *need* to ever show or use a measure of your IQ, then tautologically it is the wrong measure. Permalink<\/a> 5:13 AM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I meant Charlie Munger Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A real IQ test is one (Reverse engineered): An old Greek peasant would pass, Hume, Voltaire wd pass, D Munger wd pass, & P Krugman wd fail Permalink<\/a> 2:46 AM – 24 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb NEVER MISREPRESENT AN ENEMY’S POSITION Redeading Hammurabi’s c:false accusations are as punishable as the crime https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/13012333374\/posts\/10153441737168375 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:07 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Interventionism is such a lunacy (opaque effects) that you end up harming yourself, w\/alliances w\/future enemies…https:\/\/twitter.com\/LinaArabii\/status\/822438829055496194 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:20 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So IYIs are accusing Trump to be fascist while asserting at the same time that Obama is a better il Duce, better at gathering crowds? Permalink<\/a> 6:39 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Is this picture real? If so, why the contract with CNN?https:\/\/twitter.com\/KellerZoe\/status\/823479934987472896 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:46 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fucking idiot an arbitrage is an arbitrage not a methodology. Violating an arbitrage loses $$. @DGkiranpai Permalink<\/a> 1:26 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Completed the “How to Predict an Election” thanks to jet lag. For comments. pic.twitter.com\/g3TAUYWeEB<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:59 AM – 23 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2\/Pretty much any news operation who performed asychronous comparisons needs to be disqualified as evidence of propaganda Permalink<\/a> 11:54 PM – 22 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Can someone confirm that the pictures of Trump’s and Obama’s inaugurations in comparative panels in MSM were taken at different times? Thx! Permalink<\/a> 11:43 PM – 22 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Actually ba3den maps to Hebrew\/Aramaic Permalink<\/a> 8:06 AM – 22 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: many Levantine words that don’t map to Aramaic\/Hebrew have a Phoenician orgin. Ba3d, Ba3den pic.twitter.com\/4adL5aIWF3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:16 AM – 22 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some people select mystical numbers for good luck. 786 is 4-16 times more likely to be Muslim, pop adjusted. Kapish? @RakeshNarula2 Permalink<\/a> 5:04 PM – 21 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb They study economics or psych\/social science & end up finding them real because the BS is effortful to learn.https:\/\/twitter.com\/john_f_hamer\/status\/822781983621320704 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:46 AM – 21 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: In India you can tell someone’s religion at his phone number or car license plate. Muslim: contains 786. Permalink<\/a> 3:04 AM – 21 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Dictionary of Received Ideas, New Version pic.twitter.com\/mheJHAhbO6<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:46 PM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is ironically simple but wrong.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ianbremmer\/status\/822590260823687168 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:44 PM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Nobody had “lived under a Trump” 3 h ago outside of his imagination. @CutTheKnotMath @Kasparov63 Permalink<\/a> 1:12 PM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I am trying to imagine Fat Tony’s reaction in front of a *vegetarian* burger joint. pic.twitter.com\/7AZvTvSlnE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:46 PM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb New definition of “left” pic.twitter.com\/GPLjyv1OhT<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:38 AM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The new Dictionary of Received Ideas pic.twitter.com\/oT3E0tSHCd<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:02 AM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Where I am discovering is that the *only* thing I have in common with writers is that I write books.https:\/\/twitter.com\/sonyadc\/status\/822310433918828544 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:57 AM – 20 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Friends needs ome help: what’s the origin of \u092c\u0938 (bas = no more) in Hindi? pic.twitter.com\/KviEEb7YPA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:25 PM – 19 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Semitic philology du jour: “ma” used as negation in Hebrew & Akkadian. possible origin “mimma” @lameensouag pic.twitter.com\/NKsZpbuCDG<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:08 PM – 19 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@PenguinIndia The minority rule explained- it’s easier for the majority to adapt to the minorities demands. @nntaleb #PenguinAtJLF pic.twitter.com\/XQrmfm2QDd<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:47 AM – 19 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Where the term “pseudo-left” will be made precise.https:\/\/twitter.com\/penguinindia\/status\/822002067631915012 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:49 AM – 19 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@PZalloua @nntaleb @Lekapenos @Michael99908062 Split since 10kya based on Y chromosome pic.twitter.com\/dUxmYaBS78<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:12 AM – 19 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I would check w Pierre Zalloua @PZalloua who found a different genetic imprint for narrow coastal band on Med @Lekapenos @Michael99908062 Permalink<\/a> 11:45 PM – 18 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My book Skin in the Game, in process (a few chapters) The more I procrastinate, the deeper the book gets!https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:19 PM – 18 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Naive interventionism led to financing terrorists like Binladen, which is as wrong morally as foolish operationally.https:\/\/twitter.com\/TulsiGabbard\/status\/820779940517969921 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:34 PM – 18 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Male peacock in Jaipur. You don’t win elections by being dull, but by flamboyance & natural signaling. @ZEEJLF pic.twitter.com\/kZeACQ5v7u<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:59 AM – 18 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We will settle on a terminology (whether FatTails incl Heavy Tails or vice versa) @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com\/Jggq9g3e9g<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:10 AM – 17 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb To imbeciles who think my Davosphobia comes from “not being invited”:I was invited,once, & I made sure they regretted it. @VeryBritishDude Permalink<\/a> 7:05 AM – 17 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb When you see “economists say”, read as “those same economists, once again, say” …https:\/\/twitter.com\/ChrisGiles_\/status\/821274548968550400 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:10 AM – 17 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Menu @kringelikrok pic.twitter.com\/ARBUdEr2Hj<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:02 PM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb When people are Lebanese-Armenian they say Lebanese here. When they are Aleppo- Armenian they say Lebanese-Armenian. Permalink<\/a> 11:56 AM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Aleppo-Armenian food in Beirut. A long experience since Tigran. pic.twitter.com\/I28DvO3TzI<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:33 AM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Pple give to charities &feel virtuous by just giving.No #SkinIntheGame IYI workers feel virtuous while misspending Those in need are screwed Permalink<\/a> 7:25 AM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@robertwjordway One of the many reasons @nntaleb is my fav. Just moved to DC where few have #SkinInTheGame. Pols should start with #Antifragile pic.twitter.com\/7fLGNQ6ElO<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:57 AM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lord Shemesh this morning shining on Mount Lebanon across from writing desk pressuring me to finish #SkinintheGame pic.twitter.com\/wPEVVtLiqs<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:59 AM – 16 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My ancestors used Greek not Aramaic. That’s the main cultural tension with Maronites and Syriac Orthodox tribes. @herbert_delmont Permalink<\/a> 10:59 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@GuruAnaerobic The BBC is no longer interested.https:\/\/twitter.com\/NinaByzantina\/status\/820660029913202690 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:34 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) Paradoxically, the place people travelled safely was on Silk Road thanks to clearing by Genghis et al. See @peterfrankopan @brenwickham Permalink<\/a> 12:58 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Roman citizenship was before edict of Caracalla~204, limited to former city states. Closed sys @MattheWrite @jacoporomei @_md @duarte_vasco Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In Ancient Med, bulk of migrations was from 1) slavery, 2) invading armies @jacoporomei @_md @duarte_vasco Permalink<\/a> 12:47 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) Romans had incredibly difficult laws for resident barbarians (nonCitizens) in Empire @jacoporomei @_md @duarte_vasco Permalink<\/a> 12:45 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is not, not, not true. It was hard to settle in Athens as a foreigner, except for Sidonians. Metics. @jacoporomei @_md @duarte_vasco Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb No advanced countries are diglossic into a dead language. An Engl\/Fr.\/Sp.\/It. letter sounds like speech. @alifakharany @thealikhanafer Permalink<\/a> 11:44 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@thealikhanafer Arabs don’t read; those who read are diglossic & don’t do so in Arabic. I sold 100K in Italian! Permalink<\/a> 11:40 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb People feel that Arabic is an invador’s language. Green-Roman alphabet used for 1000-1200 years before Arabic. #LindyEffect @LaurenceJarvik Permalink<\/a> 11:04 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb At the first pizza\/pasta restaurant in my ancestral village Amioun. Not an Arabic letter on the menu.Extinction of Ar pic.twitter.com\/hLIBSJdzUo<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:41 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I disagree w\/”MAY be based on shaky science”. It IS shaky science. Lindy & p-values https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf#.4c6w8mo54 <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/TomChivers\/status\/820196628594302976 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:26 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ok, he got my weak point.https:\/\/twitter.com\/strifenjustice\/status\/820617852738793472 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:07 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fat Tony: “No one ever went bankrupt trading against intellectuals”. Permalink<\/a> 5:04 AM – 15 Jan 2017<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Statistically, the terrorists who killed the largest number of Americans were from Saudi Barbaria. Just a reminder. Permalink 12:41 PM – 25 Jan 2017 @nntaleb Who’s coming to my Cambridge tawk? We can sample potential topic. Permalink 3:32 AM – 25 Jan 2017 @nntaleb Genes and languages don’t line up necessarily! See Turkey, Cyprus, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1414,1411,1159,1413,1412],"class_list":["post-8560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-flamboyance","tag-left","tag-minority-rule","tag-naive-interventionism","tag-received-ideas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8560"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8561,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8560\/revisions\/8561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}