{"id":8526,"date":"2016-12-20T19:47:38","date_gmt":"2016-12-21T03:47:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8526"},"modified":"2016-12-20T19:47:38","modified_gmt":"2016-12-21T03:47:38","slug":"salafascists-bureaucrats-alqaeda-saudibarbaria-trading-john-gray-chinese-censorship-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/12\/salafascists-bureaucrats-alqaeda-saudibarbaria-trading-john-gray-chinese-censorship-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"#Salafascists, Bureaucrats, AlQaeda, #SaudiBarbaria, TRADING, John Gray, Chinese Censorship | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria (who had an experience w\/them) stands against the Salifis, while France supports them in Syria.https:\/\/twitter.com\/GhassanDahhan\/status\/811216923644100608 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:28 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) The biggest mistake with fat tails is that people (even statisticians) conflate “infinite variance” & “infinite variations” @DrCirillo Permalink<\/a> 2:55 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@stampede331 @Ayan_Dutta1981 Why don’t you fuck off and go read some author to satisfy your agenda. Permalink<\/a> 2:49 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb By writing… history books @byzantinepower Permalink<\/a> 2:10 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@jmaron9 ~ALL is never ALL, which IS the Black Swan idea. Permalink<\/a> 2:08 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Starting to work with @DrCirillo on the Fat Tails book. Reverse engineered to help answer my exam questions. pic.twitter.com\/uxkgyJF8yL<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:53 PM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb #FooledbyRandomness is abt how many successful businessmen are not as skilled as we think. But I hold that ~all bureaucrats are unskilled. Permalink<\/a> 11:59 AM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@kapitalust This seems like the type of chart that @nntaleb would make to show Skin in the Game vs. IYI (via Ray Dalio: https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/pulse\/reflections-trump-presidency-one-month-after-election-ray-dalio <\/a>\u00a0) ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/P3MTryNuVG”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/P3MTryNuVG Permalink<\/a> 9:25 AM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5) Statistical inference using background information\/conditional probability, alas, cannot be made to be politically correct. Live with it. Permalink<\/a> 5:45 AM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Point of risktaking: had the perpetrator been a German librarian, the pseudoleft police would have kept using it for the rest of my life Permalink<\/a> 4:47 AM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@ban_kanj 5 people arrested in Egypt for using children to stage fake news, on Aleppo.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Independent\/status\/811186103172681728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:29 AM – 20 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Only vice versa @MCasiyo Permalink<\/a> 6:55 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb At least they have skills in the real world: not IYIs & academics whose only skill is to write papers for academics.https:\/\/twitter.com\/SenSanders\/status\/809874861736816644 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3)Turned out that I was right about the “religion”. I like to stick my neck before info is public, just for existential riskloving reasons. Permalink<\/a> 3:22 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Watch @Charles_Lister trying to demonize @TulsiGabbard as her bill against AlQaeda cooperation will put him in jail. pic.twitter.com\/mmZKaNzkCd<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Voila the promoter of Salafasism @Charles_Lister. I was, once again, right about my target.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Gjoene\/status\/810955806220881921 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:16 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The only terrorrist act in West by a Shiite in past few years was a German-Iranian NeoNazi Arian supremacist @ignaziano @RUFl0 Permalink<\/a> 1:12 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@RUFl0 @ReutersWorld How many Levantine Christians,Armenians\/ Ezidis\/oth minorities have committed such acts in recent history? Exactly 0? Permalink<\/a> 1:08 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@cjdelisle Given Taleb’s record for successfully picking unstable Goliaths to topple, things are not looking good for Saudi Arabia…https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/810650211282485248 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:04 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A drunken driver would have had his problem before the market. Eastern Europeans… rare but outlier @robert_we Permalink<\/a> 12:57 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Simply 99% of such acts are by Salafascists. A deranged German yoga instructor is possible, but very low probability. Permalink<\/a> 12:53 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As a trader and probabilist, let me guess. Odds that he is not a middle aged German baker. I venture: Jihadi 20-40.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ReutersWorld\/status\/810947844387573760 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Le Monde in headline doesn’t dare say “killed by a Jihadi” but “Killed by a bullet”. France MSM needs revamping!http:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/europe\/article\/2016\/12\/19\/turquie-l-ambassadeur-russe-grievement-blesse-apres-une-attaque-armee-a-ankara_5051340_3214.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:06 PM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Juan Cole is mandatory reading. Regular Syrians in Syria are fed up w\/Rebels.https:\/\/twitter.com\/jricole\/status\/810916791639740416 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:31 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@WeAreLebanon The rain pouring down the streets of #Beirut By @julianasfarah #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com\/1aPf7weJHz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:14 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr Kessler, your reasoning abilities do not seem developed @OrenKessler Search for evidence\/trail is NOT a conspiracy theory, even reverse. Permalink<\/a> 10:10 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is the murder of an emissary. Best example in 491BC Spartans executing\/throwing down Persian embassy down the well. @holland_tom Permalink<\/a> 9:41 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr Kessler you were not discussing my scholarship (you can’t) but my listing AQaeda operatives in Think Tanks. #incoherent @OrenKessler Permalink<\/a> 9:40 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr @OrenKessler, had you done scholarship instead of journalistic balderdash, you wd have known abt academic freedomhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/OrenKessler\/status\/810889689255256064 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:34 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 6) “Intellectuals” are still under severe emotional distress; it’s not just Trump.The anxiety of seeing their map of reality upside down. Permalink<\/a> 9:22 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fat Tony to N: Vilify *harmful* assholes for pleasure, to keep your training. But when you strike for revenge, wait, then do it only once. Permalink<\/a> 8:03 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I got a “journo” who spreads fake news about Syria @borzou to defend himself by spreading #fakenews about me! @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink<\/a> 6:55 AM – 19 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thanks! Signed in. Those who want to register, mail address: Remember911@fooledbyrandomness.com @dellajoNYC Permalink<\/a> 5:22 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thanks! Signed up! @MakeAusGr8Again Permalink<\/a> 5:21 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@AssalehAmer nassim is the kind of fucking courageous people humanity needshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/810653392603348993 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:14 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The model is below; I have noproblem hiring investigators to get AlQaeda operatives in DC think tanks #skininthegamehttps:\/\/usrtk.org\/our-investigations\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:10 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fundamentalism starts with being literal about beliefs. @JAnthonyWare Permalink<\/a> 5:03 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Starting a register\/tracking AlQaeda think tank & journos agents 1) Sources of funds 2) Positions on Yemen\/Syria… Volunteers. Funded by ME Permalink<\/a> 4:57 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Nicene Creed: from Credere (or in Greek Pisteuo) doesn’t mean epistemic belief but doxastic, commitment to trust. @JAnthonyWare Permalink<\/a> 4:25 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ryan, the dogma of atheism is thinking beliefs *of others* are epistemic & LITERAL, like e=mc^2, not allegorical & functional @funtime_bobby Permalink<\/a> 4:15 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb C’est la trahison des clercs! Resume de la guerre en Syrie. http:\/\/www.agoravox.fr\/actualites\/international\/article\/un-resume-de-la-guerre-civile-en-187595 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:07 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Well kept secret: for selfowned people, unlike the rest, the ability to make money (hence make decisions) does not really decline with age. Permalink<\/a> 1:11 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb OK, #Salafascism it is. Thanks everyone for voting.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/810101882559537152 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:44 PM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The paper pic.twitter.com\/I4tQKiPOe2<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:28 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Finally, paper done. Found the exact bound for price of binary estimate & volatility of electoral vote! 538 klueless pic.twitter.com\/utxXoe4T6A<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:26 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The #Salafascist cancer will stop w\/the impending bankruptcy of #SaudiBarbaria. Good News: Solar has gamma (convex)https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/809288801570983936 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:57 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@alxpr1c3 @yaneerbaryam intelligence is rigorously described by @nntaleb (photo from @mdvex ) pic.twitter.com\/QCS626hgqU<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:17 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3\/Trading and real science (not science journalism\/college scientism) are same. Feynman:”Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.” Permalink<\/a> 5:05 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “Bulls make money Bears make money Sheep get slaughtered.” Fat Tony, in #Skininthegame Permalink<\/a> 4:42 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by “experts” Permalink<\/a> 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by experts Permalink<\/a> 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb PETER HITCHENS: Amid the bombs of Aleppo, all you can hear are the lies http:\/\/hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk\/2016\/12\/peter-hitchens-amid-the-bombs-of-aleppo-all-you-can-hear-are-the-lies.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:23 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb No, imbecile, it is how religions interact w\/non Moslems (takfiris), not their eschatology. @ericswerdlin Permalink<\/a> 4:12 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Romans treated harshly religions that *rejected* other rituals (s.a. Christianity). For the rest, everything goes. @crd37 Permalink<\/a> 4:09 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The East Aleppo Rebels ARE Al Qaeda. American elites are either idiots or influenced by PR shills for Saudi Barbaria. @JohnGeard Permalink<\/a> 3:51 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Iran\/Shiites vs West is geopolitics, w\/social-religious tolerance. Salafis vs West is social-religious incompatibility (hidden by oil $)! Permalink<\/a> 3:37 AM – 18 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Only allowed homeopathy in place of placebo for restricted circumstance. Rationalwiki is fake news! @borzou @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink<\/a> 4:54 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fabricator @borzou is using fake news rationalwiki. This is what I WROTE abt Homeopathy @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com\/J4NeSpfRqs<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:53 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5) Gray discussed 19th C Russian writers who were like me, both Orthodox & classical pagans, e.g. Merezhkovsky Permalink<\/a> 3:56 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4) Pagans unlike monotheists and atheists don’t have heresies. Permalink<\/a> 3:27 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) A long, 4 hour conversation with Isiah Berlin would consist in 3 hours and 50 minutes of gossip. Permalink<\/a> 3:26 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2\/ Michael Oakeshot the philosopher of small “c” conservatism had at some point six mistresses, all wives of leftist professors. Permalink<\/a> 3:21 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1\/ Conversation with John Gray. Any “thinker” who strays from the allowed script experiences something similar to leprosy. Permalink<\/a> 3:19 PM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb John Gray in New York for some flaneuring in spite of the weather. pic.twitter.com\/LRj4FiGod0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:52 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Fox\/Hedgehog split has turned into big BS. It works on narrow local separable noncomplex system related issues.https:\/\/twitter.com\/PrometheusAM\/status\/810162845912440832 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The #Lindyeffect what they learned is still valid today; what your children learn outside math survives a few yearshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/vadiboom\/status\/810152264719618052 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:08 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb *By definition* a Salafi is *not allowed* to think in a way that strays an inch from the 7 C. “ancestors” Generations not allowed to think! Permalink<\/a> 6:20 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Note the point that Salafism is NOT a “religion”. It is a criminal party.https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.n8co2bl59 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Reason the Salafis didn’t kill more pple in history is low IQ, sheer military incompetence & lack of weapons. https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Wahhabi_sack_of_Karbala <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “In the box GMOs” yes works very very well as no tail risk\/complexity effects. @MellowOchre Permalink<\/a> 5:23 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My problem is that as bad as Hitler’s Nazis were, Salafism is one order of magnitude worse, e.g. ISIS. @XFaure Permalink<\/a> 4:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Jihad is positive; in Arabic means the exact opposite: effort for improvement => Ijtihad = improve religion. @InternetHindus Permalink<\/a> 4:42 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The “left”s infatuation w\/AlQaeda can be broken by a LABEL Islamofascism is unfair (incl Shiites & secular Sunnis) Permalink<\/a> 4:38 AM – 17 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Meeting the anonymous @EHSANI22 for a conversation about the IYIs we have been fighting on twitter. pic.twitter.com\/sL8fU29L9d<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:18 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Techne episteme. We messed up the balance! @TheMainstand Permalink<\/a> 3:55 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Our precautionary principle page \/ busting GMOs http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html <\/a>\u00a0 @PaesurBiey Permalink<\/a> 3:48 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Educated in 1860 was educated Today educated is starting to be overeducated & brainwashed, just like overfed, overprotected, & overmedicated Permalink<\/a> 3:47 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fake journalists\/Al-Qaeda apologists s.a. @borzou call pple “sectarian” and “racist” when exposed, use identity politics to hide @EHSANI22 Permalink<\/a> 3:03 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb ~40% of GMO studies have financial conflicts of interesthttps:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/many-gmo-studies-financial-conflicts-interest-201413164.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:43 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb It all started that because pseudolefts are swayed by terms, to use Islamofascism, unfair for Islam. Now Salafifascism works. @Priapus_D Permalink<\/a> 12:54 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We need a sect\/designation “Sunni nonWahabi” to simplify. @Priapus_D Permalink<\/a> 12:30 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My point is to narrow down the designation “Islam” to specific sects that include Wahabis and Salafis, exclude Shiites who have none of that Permalink<\/a> 12:01 PM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@holland_tom @Super_ayatollah @RussianCarousel @JingDoc Tom this one can download from Univ. pic.twitter.com\/kMgXhlBjIb<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:42 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Shiites are very, very tolerant w\/Christians. Time for the MSM to substitute “Islamic Jihad” w\/ “Sunni Jihad”https:\/\/twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/809820099909742593 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:08 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Friends, does anyone knows well Popper’s explicit discussion of “causality”? Well enough to summarize in a tweet? Permalink<\/a> 9:33 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In @newtgingrich IYI mvt, identify operatives giving cover to Al Qaeda\/Jihad: @shadihamid @MiddleEastInst @borzou pic.twitter.com\/hmvMKww70K<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Most IYIs who are pro-mass immigration never went drinking with an immigrant cab driver. #Skininthegame.https:\/\/twitter.com\/foxjust\/status\/809778255914037248 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Looks like the Syrian War summary is spreading…https:\/\/twitter.com\/newtgingrich\/status\/809759045330542594 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:13 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Added this detail to the summary of the Syrian war https:\/\/medium.com\/opacity\/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d#.wwwpzah0r <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/y4P1ymXkXl”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/y4P1ymXkXl Permalink<\/a> 5:56 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@HappyRussians I was being censored IN NEW YORK for a US book! Permalink<\/a> 5:37 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Marsalia Marsa-El comes from port of God in Phoenicien. Ramatuelle: Ramat El, Hill of God Permalink<\/a> 5:31 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I forgot that Syria was in The Black Swan. I need to add my warning about the collapse to the Medium piece.https:\/\/twitter.com\/xkape\/status\/809743816521580544 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:29 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I forgot: Fight with Chinese censorship. Vastly more sophisticated than the low IQ stooges of Saudi Barbariahttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/809591402699038720 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The only compliments I care about relate to courage. Intellect is a cheap currency.https:\/\/twitter.com\/rwthewayIseeit\/status\/809602800921415680 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:46 AM – 16 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My 2016 fights: GMOs, DONE (biz is busting) IYI academobureaucrats, DONE (in mourning\/hiding) Islamofascist shills, IN PROGRESS Good year! Permalink<\/a> 6:50 PM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My friend @Ehsani22 is Aleppine, being lectured by busted Al Qaeda promoter Borzou Daraghi abt his own city.https:\/\/twitter.com\/EHSANI22\/status\/809155940746489857 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:10 PM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Shadi Hamid’s positions shows that he wants the U.S. to send help to ALQAEDA of Sept 11. He is a cryptoIslamist. Shame! @KS1729 @shadihamid Permalink<\/a> 2:05 PM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Great: *Intellectual Yet Idiot* piece making it to policy, leading to purges! https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.33vi3omtv <\/a>\u00a0 @Scaramucci ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VrN93LovGV”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/VrN93LovGV Permalink<\/a> 11:52 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I name names elsewhere & uncover think tank fabricators. Check twitter feed @falameufilho Permalink<\/a> 10:17 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Marseilles (Marsa) and Ramatuelle are Phoenician names @ekinilvalentino Permalink<\/a> 7:32 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There were Phoenician settlements among the Ionians, such as Miletus. There were also (I suspect) in Crete @alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Permalink<\/a> 7:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Read tweet as: Greeks mostly East, Phoenicians mostly West. @InjuredThales @PVanderHallen Permalink<\/a> 6:23 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Plus Ibiza, Cadix, Catalunia, etc. It is an overall tendency. The Phoenicians were pushed West by the Greeks. @PVanderHallen Permalink<\/a> 6:12 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Greek settls: Lybia, Syria, Alexandria, E Sicily, S Italy. Phoenicians: N. Africa, Spain, Malta, Sardinia, Corsica, W Sicily @PVanderHallen Permalink<\/a> 6:06 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The absurdity is that Hannibal, a Phoenician from the West, took refuge in Syria, which was then Greek. Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mediterranean du Jour: The Phoenicians had a tendency to build settlements West and North. The Greeks went South and East. Permalink<\/a> 5:50 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@Kaushal_75 Ah the lucid prose this man @nntaleb can write and what atrocious obscure tweets!!https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.croixxv1o <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cThe Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:41 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@ibrahimshahed2 \u201cfinal messages\u201d in #Aleppo (@Mr_Alhamdo @Linashamy @BilalKareem @AlabedBana) From @IntheNow_tweet by @AnissaNow pic.twitter.com\/Lc85RkdxvD<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:08 AM – 15 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@kyleschen a while ago i collected 44 of my favorite @nntaleb tidbits, here they are:http:\/\/thoughtcatalog.com\/kyle-eschenroeder\/2014\/03\/44-thought-provoking-aphorisms-we-should-all-live-by\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:05 PM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Application of the minority rule: all it takes is a ~3% minority for “Merry Christmas” to become “Happy Holidays”https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.h7vafrmnd <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:11 PM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For many brain tumors, there is statistical significance. But no clear result for others yet because very few trials. @saifedean @ascarbs Permalink<\/a> 2:50 PM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Les journalistes francais ne savent pas faire la difference entre affaires et rentes de situation etatique. Permalink<\/a> 12:02 PM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb C’est faux. Trump s’entourre de gens d’affaires, pas de bureaucrates, comme promis- ceux qui font tourner le monde.http:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/idees\/article\/2016\/12\/14\/l-equipe-trump-attachez-vos-ceintures_5048768_3232.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:59 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Should I change the website for the Real World Risk Certificate? “Temporary” lasted 1y! http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:35 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@letwit @nntaleb I linked to your Syria war table on a pro-gov & a pro-rebel reddit: got banned on both! I think it’s a good sign. Permalink<\/a> 8:34 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You may not get rich by being honorable; but you will probably stay rich by being upright. Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb It was not the 2012 edition but the 2016 reprint. @guardianhttps:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/books\/2016\/dec\/14\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-hits-out-at-chinese-printers-censorship-of-his-book?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The reason Islamists took over the rebels in Syria: Minority rule. Add an Islamist to a nonIslamist group and…https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.4tt8tqes1 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb Explains Syrian Conflict In One Propaganda Free Chart http:\/\/swarajyamag.com\/insta\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-explains-syrian-conflict-in-one-propaganda-free-chart <\/a>\u00a0 via @swarajyamag Permalink<\/a> 6:02 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@IsikOzturkeri This was corrected in V2. My spellchecker defauts to SaudiBarbaria Permalink<\/a> 6:00 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A more rigorous look at the Syrian conflict (Version 2, corrected thanks to comments) pic.twitter.com\/1aPbYM4Psi<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:39 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Table is comparative: As bad as left column (Assad) can be, there’s nothing on right col (rebels) that is not worse pic.twitter.com\/o4VaMwOM5I<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:23 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb RIP Tom Schelling. You were deeply right about the world. And you were a true scholar.https:\/\/twitter.com\/yaneerbaryam\/status\/808871100335669248 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:06 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Draft of a table to make the Syrian conflict clear & remove propaganda financed by SaudiBarbaria pic.twitter.com\/Dvf7AJ59lN<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Robert Fist has the courage to debunk the MSM bullshit. Your rebels “heroes” slaughtered civilians pic.twitter.com\/KnGBJAtdtU<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:28 AM – 14 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@illacertus If your anger decreases with time, you did injustice; if it increases, you suffered injustice. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) Permalink<\/a> 5:29 PM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@IntheNow_tweet Independent Canadian journo totally crushes MSM reporter on what\u2019s actually going on in Syria pic.twitter.com\/DVbd1LxEzD<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:00 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Robert Fisk has it right. There is more than one truth to tell in the terrible story of Aleppohttp:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/aleppo-falls-to-syrian-regime-bashar-al-assad-rebels-uk-government-more-than-one-story-robert-fisk-a7471576.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:39 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@yaneerbaryam Looking forward to the winter school, a chance to talk about important global developments with great speakers http:\/\/necsi.edu\/education\/school.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:48 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ancient Philology Du jour: \u062f\u0641\u062a\u0631 from Greek for “second”, or “to repeat”.https:\/\/twitter.com\/mMeyer62\/status\/808656481583333376 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:57 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb U.S. author rejects Chinese censorship over Taiwan | Taiwan News http:\/\/www.taiwannews.com.tw\/en\/news\/3050598 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:36 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I added a comment to the Syria piece. Salafism is too dangerous to let my grudge rule https:\/\/medium.com\/opacity\/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/tRXZcVLtXp”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/tRXZcVLtXp Permalink<\/a> 4:05 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Assad the father blew up our house in Amioun in 1982. Yet I will not use this to stand w\/the Jihadis. @DalrympleWill Permalink<\/a> 3:59 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Putting the Syrian conflict under some serious auditing \/ shedding Saudi PR firms https:\/\/medium.com\/opacity\/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w <\/a>\u00a0 @DalrympleWill Permalink<\/a> 3:51 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Even my friend the great & insightful William Darlymple fell for alQaeda propaganda. These are Qaeda fighters. @DalrympleWill Permalink<\/a> 3:40 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Most authors I was told complied. I assume hundreds kept their mouth shut. Not me. @yangfulei Permalink<\/a> 2:58 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thank you @SAlhir for exploring the concept furtherhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/_Antifragility_\/status\/808617994276536321 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:56 AM – 13 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A simpler solution a precision brain surgery on @LouiseMensch to improve her reasoning abilities.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ggreenwald\/status\/808466941434359808 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:50 PM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This has nothing to do with Taiwan, but with censoring a US writer in the US!https:\/\/twitter.com\/lilith289\/status\/808454534129446912 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:42 PM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@ceydak Must read.. via @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com\/wdsEiJSPj9<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:47 PM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lindy Effect: if you make it 1000 years you have >95% chance proba to make it 2000 @holland_tom Permalink<\/a> 10:15 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The outrage is that a *US* author has his books *sold in the US* censored by the government of China because the book is printed there! Permalink<\/a> 10:02 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Someone said that I am intransigent because I have F*** You money. No no no I have F*** You money because I have always been intransigent. Permalink<\/a> 9:56 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@StephenFleming PSA: @nntaleb \u2019s superb \u201cAntifragile\u201d is on sale for two bucks in the Kindle store today. No excuses now.https:\/\/read.amazon.com\/kp\/embed?asin=B0083DJWGO&preview=newtab&linkCode=kpe&ref_=cm_sw_r_kb_dp_6aTtyb3E8A4PM&tag=techsquare-20 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:29 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb … \u03b5\u1f30 \u03b3\u1f70\u03c1 \u03b1\u1f50\u03c4\u1fc6\u03c2 \u03c0\u03b5\u03b9\u03c1\u03ae\u03c3\u03b1\u03b9\u03bf, \u03bf\u1f50\u03ba \u1f02\u03bd \u03b4\u03cc\u03c1\u03b1\u03c3\u03b9 \u03c3\u03c5\u03bc\u03b2\u03bf\u03c5\u03bb\u03b5\u03cd\u03bf\u03b9\u03c2 \u1f21\u03bc\u1fd6\u03bd \u03c0\u03b5\u03c1\u1f76 \u03b1\u1f50\u03c4\u1fc6\u03c2 \u03bc\u03ac\u03c7\u03b5\u03c3\u03b8\u03b1\u03b9, \u1f00\u03bb\u03bb\u1f70 \u03ba\u03b1\u1f76 \u03c0\u03b5\u03bb\u03ad\u03ba\u03b5\u03c3\u03b9.\u201d@jgmahoney @saifedean Permalink<\/a> 6:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Any human who decides to voluntarily become a slave for enhanced lifestyle will *always* stay a slave, regardless of wealth. @saifedean Permalink<\/a> 6:03 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Newt’s position repeatedly is that Trump should avoid hiring IYIs. @GadSaad @newtgingrich @seanhannity Permalink<\/a> 5:53 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@ashokatluri @realDonaldTrump, you have company!https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/808297983246823426 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Random House was supportive and we changed printer!https:\/\/twitter.com\/Newyorkez\/status\/808299597579816961 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:17 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This was the printer *in China* for US edition of #AntiFragile doing censorship of works published *in the U.S.*!https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/808297983246823426 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:14 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Printer of #Antifragile in China asked me to replace “Taiwan” w\/”China, Taiwan”. I (angrily) said “No censorship!” pic.twitter.com\/CDqcBV4fnW<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:10 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Yes, #skininthegame, but not necessarily everywhere pic.twitter.com\/nPcuCJmWda<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:24 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There is something shabby and frankly pathological in the “left”‘s romance with Sunni Islamists.https:\/\/twitter.com\/salamamoussa\/status\/808267859969318914 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:34 AM – 12 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I much prefer Andy Bolton to John Bolton. Sorry, but I do.https:\/\/twitter.com\/andybolton1008\/status\/789138860055728129 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:11 PM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@thackerpd Why do you polling guys still have jobs? And if you still have jobs, why are you tweeting with such confidence?https:\/\/twitter.com\/williamjordann\/status\/807960202821648384 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:12 PM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Evidence that @sapinker is a charlatan. He wrote this AFTER our papers Nontechnical paper: https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/K6kmjqDIgx”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/K6kmjqDIgx Permalink<\/a> 8:52 AM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Reviewers\/BSvendors have trouble getting real life & why I will not let them review my next book @Scaramucci pic.twitter.com\/yCcv1DdB4G<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:23 AM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fat Tony!https:\/\/twitter.com\/gabrielmgst\/status\/807924860135632896 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:22 AM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@DavidBCollum And not reading @nntaleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”…https:\/\/twitter.com\/Independent\/status\/807927917120393216 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:43 AM – 11 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb About anyone who knows anything in finance spent time w\/Wall Street firms. I worked for 5 (UBS,CSFB) yet fiercely independent @Scaramucci Permalink<\/a> 1:22 PM – 10 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Respect is fragile & path dependent; regaining respect is much harder than gaining it.https:\/\/twitter.com\/paulkrugman\/status\/807591808448466945 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:58 AM – 10 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Never expected guiltless Schadenfreude: Krugman *defines* the IYI Intellectual Yet Idiot https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.u40oqpe53 <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/paulkrugman\/status\/807591808448466945 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:51 AM – 10 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5 additional books I recommended pic.twitter.com\/hhRW6Kabtg<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:16 AM – 10 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb THE GORDIAN KNOT: Why Donaldo should never hire an academic economist except to take exams. pic.twitter.com\/ucfbDqe863<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:22 AM – 10 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This has been going on since Antiochus Epiphanes! Random harassing raids by desert fighters on Syrian border towns.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/807370864387887104 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:07 PM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Hiring academics for economic advice is equivalent to hiring Trappist monks for special military operations.https:\/\/twitter.com\/econhedge\/status\/807251823182704640 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:14 PM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@GhassanDahhan I think the history of the Syrian uprising needs a lot of revision. Read this incredible story.http:\/\/www.gq-magazine.co.uk\/article\/syria-civil-war <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms The truth is Aleppo citizens were never as anti-Assad as mainstream media tried so hard to get people to believe.https:\/\/twitter.com\/maytham956\/status\/807178471600431104 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Even the wise Simon Schama fell for Qatari financed lies by the fraudster Charles Lister.https:\/\/twitter.com\/simon_schama\/status\/805481780216299521 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:48 AM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You can manipulate the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink<\/a> 4:02 AM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You can grease the palm of the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink<\/a> 4:00 AM – 9 Dec 2016<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria (who had an experience w\/them) stands against the Salifis, while France supports them in Syria.https:\/\/twitter.com\/GhassanDahhan\/status\/811216923644100608 \u00a0 Permalink 6:28 PM – 20 Dec 2016 @nntaleb 2) The biggest mistake with fat tails is that people (even statisticians) conflate “infinite variance” & “infinite variations” @DrCirillo Permalink 2:55 PM – 20 Dec 2016 @nntaleb .@stampede331 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1383,1385,1384,1387,911,1304,1386],"class_list":["post-8526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-salafascists","tag-alqaeda","tag-bureaucrats","tag-chinese-censorship","tag-john-gray","tag-saudibarbaria","tag-trading"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8526"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8526\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8527,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8526\/revisions\/8527"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}