{"id":8512,"date":"2016-11-22T23:02:10","date_gmt":"2016-11-23T07:02:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8512"},"modified":"2016-11-22T23:02:10","modified_gmt":"2016-11-23T07:02:10","slug":"syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-medium","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/11\/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-medium\/","title":{"rendered":"Syria and the Statistics of War | Medium"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebBattlefield.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8513\" src=\"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebBattlefield.jpeg\" alt=\"talebbattlefield\" width=\"800\" height=\"520\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebBattlefield.jpeg 800w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebBattlefield-300x195.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebBattlefield-768x499.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span class=\"markup--quote markup--p-quote is-other\" data-creator-ids=\"anon\"><em class=\"markup--em markup--p-em\">Trust none of what you hear, some of what you read, half of what you see<\/em><\/span> goes an old trader adage. As a trader and quant\/mathematical statistician, I have been taught to take data seriously, trust nobody\u2019s numbers, and avoid people naive enough to engage in policy based on lurid but questionable pictures of destruction: the fake picture of a dying child is something nobody can question without appearing to be an asshole. As a citizen, I require that the designation \u201cmurderer\u201d be determined in a court of law, not by Saudi-funded outlets\u200a\u2014\u200aonce someone is called a murderer or butcher, all bets are off. I cannot believe governments and bureaucrats could be so stupid. But they are.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Full article: <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.yhszbo131\" target=\"_blank\">Syria and the Statistics of War<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trust none of what you hear, some of what you read, half of what you see goes an old trader adage. As a trader and quant\/mathematical statistician, I have been taught to take data seriously, trust nobody\u2019s numbers, and avoid people naive enough to engage in policy based on lurid but questionable pictures of destruction: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[445],"tags":[1086,1373],"class_list":["post-8512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-papers","tag-syria","tag-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8512"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8512\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8514,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8512\/revisions\/8514"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}