{"id":8484,"date":"2016-10-29T14:37:05","date_gmt":"2016-10-29T21:37:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8484"},"modified":"2016-10-29T14:37:05","modified_gmt":"2016-10-29T21:37:05","slug":"psycholophasters-social-science-tokyo-graphical-representation-shillary-atheism-flaneurmobile-wahhabism-mossul-aleppo-na-zdorovie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/10\/psycholophasters-social-science-tokyo-graphical-representation-shillary-atheism-flaneurmobile-wahhabism-mossul-aleppo-na-zdorovie\/","title":{"rendered":"Psycholophasters, social “science”, Tokyo, Graphical Representation, Shillary, Atheism, Flaneurmobile, Wahhabism, Mossul, Aleppo, Na zdorovie!"},"content":{"rendered":"

@RussianCarousel An economist is a mixture of 1) a businessman without common sense, 2) a physicist without brain, and 3) a speculator without balls @nntalebhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/TheBehaviourGuy\/status\/792430653472202753 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:26 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@TheBehaviourGuy @DanielJHannan I would forward anyone who thinks economists matter to @nntalebhttp:\/\/read.bi\/2eTEXPf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:19 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb GMOs: Returnless Risk,case closed. Even NYT admits no \u2191yield\/\u2193pesticides. Next preys: +Saudi Barbaria +neocons +Pinkerisms (BS artists) Permalink<\/a> 10:36 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Incidentally Procopius is one of the 100s of Greek Syrian authors not taught in Syria (Arabism brainwashing). @peterfrankopan @BrankoMilan Permalink<\/a> 9:25 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb the 3 integrals (2 bounds) @CutTheKnotMath Errata: Sn IS the Gen Harmonic Number.pic.twitter.com\/28EcPBAJIo<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:07 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Route 2: comparing to 3 integrals @CutTheKnotMath (On a long plane ride back for Tokyo, your quizzes kill time!)pic.twitter.com\/iDR6lTL9MG<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:27 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Am I cheating somewhere here? @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/VgEMFQfNGj<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:39 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I’ve stopped trusting scholarship by most pple on a salary, or deriving bulk of income from it. Scholarship is for the free (“Liberal” arts) Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM – 29 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Byzantinism du jour: The Orthodox church allows divorce in order to prevent excessive cases of poisoning. (Justinian code) Permalink<\/a> 9:37 PM – 28 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Psycholophasters don’t get optionality of p-value. https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1603.07532v3.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 Plus @DanTGilbert is an imbecile.https:\/\/twitter.com\/BrianNosek\/status\/791790886841495552 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:07 PM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Does anyone of Twitter-Byzantinist friends & proto-friends recommend Kazhdan’s book? Eucharist! https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Oxford-Dictionary-Byzantium-3-Set\/dp\/0195046528\/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1477606098&sr=8-1&keywords=kazhdan+oxford+dictionary <\/a>\u00a0 @byzantinepower Permalink<\/a> 3:12 PM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Revival of Greek Identity in Syria: Interview with Operation Antiochhttp:\/\/katehon.com\/article\/revival-greek-identity-syria-interview-operation-antioch <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:05 PM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The more literary version of #DrainTheSwamp or F***you elections is Hercules cleaning the Augean stables. https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Augeas <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/realdonaldtrump\/status\/791648893725450240 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:59 AM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb People have trouble understanding that sample mean != true mean, as we saw with BS artist Pinker. @DrCirillo @DCosmology Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The reasons to shut down social “science”: 1) It is largely BS, 2) Academics firmly believe their job is to *think* for the rest of us. Permalink<\/a> 7:17 AM – 27 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@tparsi The neocons are salivating… Clinton Adviser: Let\u2019s Attack Iran to Aid Saudis in Yemen http:\/\/nymag.com\/daily\/intelligencer\/2016\/10\/clinton-adviser-lets-attack-iran-to-aid-saudis-in-yemen.html?mid=twitter-share-di <\/a>\u00a0 @mehdirhasan @rezaaslan Permalink<\/a> 8:45 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Invitation to my #Antifragile lecture tomorrow in Tokyo. So far >3000 rgstrd. #\u6771\u4eac\u56fd\u969b\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30e9\u30e0 http:\/\/bit.ly\/2dyNu8P <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/3vgpUsgW37<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:23 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I see people focusing on the task not just the fruit of the task. This is refreshing. (Tokyo) Permalink<\/a> 3:49 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My brief impression of Japan: life is a sequence of elegantly executed rituals. Permalink<\/a> 3:40 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Japan: life is a sequence of skillfully executed rituals. Permalink<\/a> 3:36 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The New Testament was written in the capital of Syria, Antioch, in (bad) Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink<\/a> 2:24 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Beirut school of law kept Latin because Imperial law remained in Latin. @i_contemplate_ @FullTiltonic Permalink<\/a> 2:13 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb People know that most influential Greek city >3rd C was Alexandria… in Egypt. They don’t extend to other cities on the Med. Permalink<\/a> 2:12 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Beirut was diglossic in the sense that it was the only Eastern city was Latin was used, to the horror of Libanius. @FullTiltonic Permalink<\/a> 2:06 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) Too OBVIOUS:It is practically impossible to physically distinguish an urban Western Syrian (Sunni or Christian) from a Greek. Impossible. Permalink<\/a> 2:04 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Levant was diglossic except in coastal cities where it was all Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink<\/a> 2:00 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We have 2 stories of Syria, Greco-Roman v\/s Arab. Salibi fell for the Arab fabrication. Maps are both preIslamicpic.twitter.com\/5vCH62Irv3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb More complete copy explaining steps in red. Full integral is just extra. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/JKbbNkECzn<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:38 PM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Many are virtuous for lack of opportunity. [Revised] Permalink<\/a> 7:53 AM – 26 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So many people think of themselves as honest simply because they can’t manage to steal. Permalink<\/a> 10:50 PM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Problem: as a probabilist I focus on what’s missing from “evidence”. @DrCirillo & I have started foundations of statistical historiography.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/790892396892610564 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:43 PM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “If my enemies knew me better, they would hate me even more; If my friends knew me better, they would like me even more” Bed of Procrusteshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/neelakandan1212\/status\/791032201752129536 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:59 PM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Do you accept this proof? (On a 14h plane ride to Tokyo) @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/H7A1AUAd9R<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:58 PM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Is it me, or there is something profoundly, profoundly unphilosophical about ranking philosophers?https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidpapineau\/status\/790989024785641472 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:00 PM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You are welcome @Scaramuccihttps:\/\/twitter.com\/scaramucci\/status\/790982370774118400 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:40 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb But I got a lot of pple trying to “bully” me: GMO shills, IYIs, Saudi lobbyists, economists & only when I care I bully the sh$t out of them Permalink<\/a> 9:42 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The very idea of deadlifting is that you don’t feel “bullied” except of course when done by (some) large animals. @CoachRippetoehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/scottadamssays\/status\/790948569293336577 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@Barkinka1 You need to 1) read Arabic script, 2) understand old Turkish. The intersection is very very rare. Permalink<\/a> 8:38 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Turks have wonderful archives nobody can read because in Arabic script. Some in Syriac script. @trscbrs @peterfrankopan Permalink<\/a> 8:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Bingo! Arab is called Tayyaye (Tayyoyo), apparently from Bani Tayy, or Tayyoun or Tyan or closer to Babylon: Sarqaya! @BlackWhiteKnite Permalink<\/a> 8:21 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Kamal Salibi is an amateur at best, blinded by protestant-fueled Arab nationalism @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com\/Mr39wnA6sL<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Aramaic du jour. Quiz: what is the designation for Arab (i.e. from Arab tribes) in Syriac? Permalink<\/a> 8:00 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The minority rule in action. Money tawks and BS walks https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.vmhfiqpww <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/790922366989643777 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:27 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Because when you put historical fabrications on social media, you are bound to account for it. @Abunass3r @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopan Permalink<\/a> 7:24 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Gaps: historians tend to mistake absence of evidence for evidence of absence. Historiographical approach in The Black Swan @peterfrankopan Permalink<\/a> 5:47 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Tempted to write a Brief History of Syria using Aramaic\/Greek\/Armenian\/Persian\/Turkic sources instead of Arab propaganda. @peterfrankopan Permalink<\/a> 5:26 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fat Tonys do not debate Dr Johns. When they do, they do it for entertainment, not to win. They prefer the moneyhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/marcushewitson\/status\/790876747608707072 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:28 AM – 25 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The @EmanuelDerman approach visualized. The combination lies inside the sphere @financequant @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/aURW4SKFaB<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:10 PM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb While US & Russia bicker over bones, China is slowly swallowing the Pacific. Just as in 1208->1230s before Ghengis.https:\/\/twitter.com\/GennadySimanovs\/status\/790625087359778818 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:50 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb .@financequant @EmanuelDerman @CutTheKnotMath 4) What makes math unique & diverse is that approaches are *duals* to one another. Permalink<\/a> 11:40 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb With some geometry @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/VC12s2bpnz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:10 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Real World Risk Certificate, 4th class, Feb 6-10 2017 RWRI-4 http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:11 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Resting is valuable only if you are resting *from* something. Permalink<\/a> 7:49 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Finally, as we converge to equality from below @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/Fg3m8uOiui<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Graphical representation: ridge a=b for different values of c. Can’t get a clean RegionPlot3D. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com\/Vo5RYHRPvS<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:53 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My kind of response (except more polite). Journalism is the last refuge of the rejects of the information age.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MilenaRodban\/status\/790538546184544256 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:06 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3) So all you got is failed scholars with Ivy League degrees living hand to mouth. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink<\/a> 5:08 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) I never ran into a smart person whose ambition was to become a propagandist. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink<\/a> 5:03 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) At the risk of being offensive, Mr Itani, pbm w\/shills is lack of intelligence. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink<\/a> 5:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr Itani, you think we do not know about the EXACT sources of funds of @MiddleEastInst ? @faysalitani @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister @EHSANI22 Permalink<\/a> 4:56 AM – 24 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Something strange with correlation distributions under fat tails; althought they don’t technically “exist”:pic.twitter.com\/MTBZssPo9H<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:01 PM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb No leftist should EVER consider Shillary, warmonger, cronyist, corrupt, shill. Pick any other candidate, to taste.https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxbsawicky\/status\/790293484204920832 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Force @TheEconomist to live in Syria under an ISIS regime. Add to that the pseudoleftists who support Shillary.https:\/\/twitter.com\/OnatMansur\/status\/790280073148522497 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:38 PM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Foretaste: thanks to pseudoleftist IYIs, neighborhoods in Paris, Brussels & London will be modelled after E Aleppo.https:\/\/twitter.com\/EHSANI22\/status\/790239391276994560 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:36 PM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Nobel itself is impolite, arrogant, arbitrary, hierarchical… It is not arrogant to ignore unsollicited calls.http:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/music\/news\/nobel-academy-member-calls–bob-dylan-impolite-and-arrogant\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:58 AM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This BS picture was retweeted >11k. Yet the picture was made in 2013 in Dubai.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ianbremmer\/status\/789852854227984384 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:16 AM – 23 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb It is neither cheap nor easy. It is called conflict of interest & @Charles_Lister is a prostitute. @faysalitani @EHSANI22 @MiddleEastInst Permalink<\/a> 1:00 PM – 22 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fooled by Correlations, a MiniMooc tutorial.https:\/\/youtu.be\/yUooqL47akM <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:50 AM – 22 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Atheism is not part of Paganism. Atheism is an extreme version of Protestantism.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/789774672091029504 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:38 AM – 22 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@GhassanDahhan Compare the coverage of Mosul and East Aleppo and it tells you a lot about the propaganda we consumehttp:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/voices\/iraq-syria-aleppo-mosul-patrick-cockburn-propaganda-we-consume-a7373951.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:19 AM – 22 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Truth is in the extremes. There is no noise in the far tails. Permalink<\/a> 5:12 PM – 21 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In flaneurmobile with coach Rippetoe; he promised a one rep max of 500 lbs within 1-2 years.pic.twitter.com\/LXHQezPN1q<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:45 AM – 21 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I do presses. No bench. @debabyatskiy @chaslutz @CoachRippetoe Permalink<\/a> 12:18 PM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Squid Ink … Got @CoachRippetoe addicted!pic.twitter.com\/LeGwlOq0U7<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:17 PM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb With @CoachRippetoe in New York heating to the squid ink place.pic.twitter.com\/kM9BCvBeI0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:51 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb in\u00b7tel\u00b7lec\u00b7tu\u00b7al\u02cc in(t)\u0259\u02c8lek(t)SH(\u0259w)\u0259l\/ noun: intellectual 1.an idiot deprived of clarity of mind trying to hide it under complication. Permalink<\/a> 6:30 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For the list of typical IYI you,@dandrezner, weren’t suggested. Is it because you carry no influence? [Watch Drezner’s frenetic responses] Permalink<\/a> 5:24 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You can expect in return to see Germany supporting the Syrian “rebels”.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/789075781762834432 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If math-economics has failed, it isn’tn because math failed; since Samuelson social science has been bullshitting us with the WRONG math. Permalink<\/a> 5:02 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb …another example of complication without rigor busted with higher math. Economists’ GMM is dressed up BS. @NessimAitKacimi Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I agree with results but this is TOTAL statistical BS: method of moments fails under fat tails. @NessimAitKacimipic.twitter.com\/oUNtqcsG3S<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:50 AM – 20 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb We cherish bards like Bob Dylan for the combination of depth and simplicity in comparison to intellectuals both shallow and complicated. Permalink<\/a> 5:26 PM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Sounds familiar! @nichnachnoch @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com\/VBTknzCKCN<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:52 PM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Put these investors through psychiatric evaluation. Except that they are not investing their OWN money. SITG.https:\/\/twitter.com\/mhmalek\/status\/788868445349838848 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:31 PM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The US supported “rebels” are not allowing civilians to exit E #Aleppo. We get different stories talking to locals!https:\/\/twitter.com\/EHSANI22\/status\/788789130109001728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:07 PM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Total BS. Who are they fooling? Blame Wahhabism for terrorism.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Confusezeus\/status\/788779801838514176 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:40 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For happiness, avoid social life w\/ those who place others in a hierarchy, across activities: “best writer”, “best plumber”, “richest”, etc. Permalink<\/a> 5:16 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Voila! Young Bob Dylan calling out a journo for his BS profession. Bob Dylan Interview with Time Magazinehttps:\/\/youtu.be\/mnl5X5MQKTg <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The allies did break up Germany into small statelings. It worked. https:\/\/twitter.com\/otootsmcgroots\/status\/788685646470733824 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:36 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Federations like pre-WWII US don’t like wars. @hrishio @dav33241 Permalink<\/a> 3:29 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Italy, in 500 years of city states had many many tiny wars and tiny casualties. Post unification, WW1: 680,000 killed. @dav33241 Permalink<\/a> 3:22 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Next week in Tokyo, invitaion to my lecture http:\/\/hsiftokyo.hitachi\/invitation\/hsif2016_invitation_en_001.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:20 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Centralized systems make wars inevitable.https:\/\/twitter.com\/spectator\/status\/788665513266257920 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:15 AM – 19 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This adds to @yaneerbaryam ‘s argument.https:\/\/twitter.com\/plektix\/status\/788470570669207552 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:23 PM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Did Trump read the MS Skin-in-the-game? Trump to propose 5y lobbying ban on executive branch officials http:\/\/reut.rs\/2ep5MIl <\/a>\u00a0 via @Reuters Permalink<\/a> 1:27 PM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So finance people are free to follow, but they should stay quiet. @LadyFOHF Permalink<\/a> 7:03 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I block financiaphasters who put my handle, such as @LadyFOHF & friends just to escape the vulgarity of financiaphasters. Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The extended version #Nobel and the sanctified aspect of literature.pic.twitter.com\/FkSAqyG9Mz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:52 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Don’t look for pleasure in convents, love in bordellos,intellect on campuses, wisdom in senates,nobility in law firms, & literature in Vegas Permalink<\/a> 6:14 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I never ax Fat Tony for aesthetic advice @d_ramsden Permalink<\/a> 6:07 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Finito: Fooled by the Randomness of Correlation! https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/CorrelationDistribution.nb.pdf <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/vpg0flgywE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:22 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5\/What is bothering me isn’t Dylan, but exalting as “Literature” somthng highly commercial performed in Vegas! As if books with ads in them! Permalink<\/a> 3:26 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@DrCirillo How can we characterize tail risk in loss distributions? Can inequality measures help? Comments are very welcome. https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2850949 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:44 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2- So they were nonSemitic tribes from North who took the Accadian language. Look at Assyrians, Ezidis, Kurds: similarities. Permalink<\/a> 2:24 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1-Specultn du Jour: Mossul (Nineveh)\u2249pop frm Babylon wch they conquered,Assyrians more (to this day) Euro\/Mediterranean looking than Iraqis. Permalink<\/a> 2:23 AM – 18 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Jihadi rebels (Saudi financed) are ALSO bombing Aleppo. Why is it that the media in 2016 is worse than 1516?https:\/\/twitter.com\/nfergus\/status\/788106138797694976 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:59 PM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thank you twitter. Other than a few personal friends\/acquaintances, I am followed by NO journalist, NO economist, & no psycholophaster. Permalink<\/a> 2:30 PM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Skin in the game.https:\/\/twitter.com\/a_lesniewski\/status\/788125778076692480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:23 PM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My enemies are vastly more predictable than my friends. Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My respect goes to Bob Dylan.https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/music\/2016\/oct\/17\/nobel-prize-bob-dylan-unable-to-reach?CMP=share_btn_tw <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:18 PM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I cannot believe that the US is siding with AlQaeda in Syria just to spite Russia. I just cannot.https:\/\/twitter.com\/RonPaulInstitut\/status\/788083699485204480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:34 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There is a neuroscience of why people believe bullshit like this as science when it has “neuro” in it. Really.https:\/\/twitter.com\/thescienceofus\/status\/788059882691895296 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:06 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 5) Worse than p-values. Academics tend to severely misunderstand correlation. The most used statistical metric!pic.twitter.com\/t8xCHUrNo1<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:09 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) Define castrati. 2) How do they overlap with IYI? @GadSaadhttps:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.dl2xbnojw <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:03 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And flow of funds ro lobbyists in DChttps:\/\/twitter.com\/newsweekme\/status\/787979470124773376 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:46 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@Shaunaob Looking forward to #kilkenomics More events added @kilkenomics @davidmcw @nntaleb @stephenkinsella @GuerillaEcon #kilkenny @LiamHalliganpic.twitter.com\/8h2z5Iesch<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:31 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Randomness in correlation: Extracting the exact bias from “data hacking” for d variables with n points per variable.pic.twitter.com\/LgewzHuN5u<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:00 AM – 17 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Emanuel, the Podesta fraud has been caught\/humiliated so he is trying to win argument with “best revenge is to live well”.@EmanuelDerman Permalink<\/a> 3:08 PM – 16 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb An excellent book!https:\/\/twitter.com\/drjasonfung\/status\/787723289183608832 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:49 AM – 16 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@byzantinepower Always the Lebanese isn’t it? Dismantling our finest propaganda…https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/787716493110808576 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:35 AM – 16 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Randomness in correlations. An exact derivation for n small. Started in a Moscow caf\u00e9 and completed on plane back.pic.twitter.com\/cQdWUHrkxB<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:59 AM – 16 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr @johnpodesta, honorable pple would rather starve than eat lobster risotto paid w\/ shilling\/lobbying immoral fundshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/johnpodesta\/status\/786988264985100288 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:34 AM – 16 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some realizations are delayed, particularly when they entail denial. They don’t go away. #SaudiBarbaria et al.https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxabrahms\/status\/787355884880007169 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Russia is a place where doing mathematics in a caf\u00e9 in a central district is very, very normal.pic.twitter.com\/JYVzgl1vTz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some Russian historians are revising some accounts of his temperamental reactions… shaky sources. @ramsay_randall Permalink<\/a> 1:13 PM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Boyars write history. Common folks plow the fields. @Bernd__Neuner Permalink<\/a> 1:10 PM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I wonder if Shillary Clinton\/MSM\/SaudiLobbyists did not do a smear campaign against Ivan the Terrible. “Terrible?” https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ivan_the_Terrible_in_Russian_folklore <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:04 PM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Heuristic: never trust someone’s historical analogies if (as is common with policymakers) his historical knowledge starts in 1934. Permalink<\/a> 7:48 AM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb School destroys the aura and appeal of real literature.https:\/\/twitter.com\/stan_yurin\/status\/786834419097210880 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:11 AM – 15 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Na zdorovie!pic.twitter.com\/EF2Ra87prX<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:41 PM – 14 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@LegInsurrection .@washingtonpost WH bureau chief @eilperin tips off Podesta abt upcoming story — this is y ppl don’t trust media https:\/\/wikileaks.org\/podesta-emails\/emailid\/9149 <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/a1jColKu5e<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:55 AM – 14 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In Moscow nobody (in lit circles) knows Dostoyeski’s Crocodile in which he shows the absurdity of ppls of economics!pic.twitter.com\/6jHFN5CirV<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 4\/ Literature, so far, is the only intellectual discipline that escaped academia. Don’t let the pol-correct profs debase it! #NobelDylan Permalink<\/a> 12:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Why on earth should you pay attention to a prize that was never granted to JL Borges, but given to Bob Dylan? Permalink<\/a> 7:25 AM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb That you like Bob Dylan’s songs &listen to them while driving to work doesn’t make them literature. Literature is something deeper. Kapish? Permalink<\/a> 7:21 AM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Would you be surprised if Kim Kardashian won a Nobel Prize “for bringing mundane concepts into public discussions?” Permalink<\/a> 7:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As expected idiotic lobbyists managed to butcher the Black Swan idea. @zerohedgepic.twitter.com\/fLul5rB5dR<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:59 AM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Prizes are so absurd they end up debasing themselves, like currencies. -Bob Dylan -Barak Obama -Economistshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/NobelPrize\/status\/786522083111030784 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@SenWarren A bank CEO should not be able to oversee a massive fraud & simply walk away to enjoy his millions in retirement. Permalink<\/a> 4:13 PM – 12 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Skin in the game!https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheNostromoDos\/status\/786295846400733184 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:14 PM – 12 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In his response,@FiveThirtyEight, proved he really did not understand 1)probability, 2)time series,3)how to respond.https:\/\/twitter.com\/jasonawe83\/status\/785857965345701888 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:34 AM – 11 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Best tasting sandwiches, with Ukrainian tomatoes & bread, before I devoured the whole plate. @cdipaola62pic.twitter.com\/sOjzR3nYEA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:03 AM – 11 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Voila. Saudi Barbaria’s cover aid to Jihadis.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ghassandahhan\/status\/785786864628211712 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:00 AM – 11 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb On my way to Moscow (for, among other things, drinking) via Minsk as one can’t fly to Russia from The Ukraine. Permalink<\/a> 1:53 AM – 11 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb What @peterfrankopan reveals is something few realized before owing to overestimation of Mongolian wars: was followed by a Pax Mongoliana! Permalink<\/a> 7:16 AM – 10 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb All day seminar lekchur in Kyiv.pic.twitter.com\/ZjSqnG4GKY<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:01 AM – 10 Oct 2016<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@RussianCarousel An economist is a mixture of 1) a businessman without common sense, 2) a physicist without brain, and 3) a speculator without balls @nntalebhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/TheBehaviourGuy\/status\/792430653472202753 \u00a0 Permalink 11:26 AM – 29 Oct 2016 @TheBehaviourGuy @DanielJHannan I would forward anyone who thinks economists matter to @nntalebhttp:\/\/read.bi\/2eTEXPf \u00a0 Permalink 11:19 AM – 29 Oct 2016 @nntaleb GMOs: […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1360,777,1357,1356,1359,1361,1353,1241,1354,1355,1358],"class_list":["post-8484","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-aleppo","tag-atheism","tag-flaneurmobile","tag-graphical-representation","tag-mossul","tag-na-zdorovie","tag-psycholophasters","tag-shillary","tag-social-science","tag-tokyo","tag-wahhabism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8484","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8484"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8484\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8486,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8484\/revisions\/8486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8484"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8484"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8484"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}