{"id":8476,"date":"2016-10-09T19:44:29","date_gmt":"2016-10-10T02:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8476"},"modified":"2016-10-09T19:44:29","modified_gmt":"2016-10-10T02:44:29","slug":"syria-kiev-gary-johnson-kosterlitz-thouless-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/10\/syria-kiev-gary-johnson-kosterlitz-thouless-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Syria, Kiev, Gary Johnson, Kosterlitz-Thouless | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Feeding children w\/fallacious stat reasoning: 75% of all inmates are dropouts \u21cf 75% of all dropouts become inmates.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Brilliant_Ads\/status\/785236664721473536 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:10 PM – 9 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Like Gadhafi, like Saddam. Presidential candidate Clinton says removing Assad in Syria is No. 1 priorityhttp:\/\/reut.rs\/1MaTg7s <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:01 AM – 9 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Where are the IYI “politically correct” warriors?https:\/\/twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/785115749484494849 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:05 AM – 9 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In Kiev, preparing to get drunk with Ukranians. Permalink<\/a> 5:46 AM – 9 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Good point, but NYT has economists writing columns. That is far worse in BS than astrology.https:\/\/twitter.com\/johnallenpaulos\/status\/784906881697316865 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Imbecile Economist. Outing author who wants to stay private not the same as protecting citizens ag corporates\/stateshttps:\/\/twitter.com\/theeconomist\/status\/784648869640568832 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:14 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@RaniaKhalek My favorite is Hillary Clinton calling anti-fracking environmental groups a Russian conspiracy #PodestaMailspic.twitter.com\/FJaWauL7IH<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:11 AM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There is no possible way on earth I will have an intellectual exchange w\/man in sandals w\/socks. My right to be closed minded. @VernonGlobal Permalink<\/a> 4:06 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb RWRI 3 went great! Dense & humorous, w\/ @yaneerbaryam @financequant RWRI 4 for Feb 6-10 http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/crdUFRxODk<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:03 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb How I feel about IYIs: imagine nerdy professors in birkenstocks (with socks) playing mafiosi roles in a movie.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/784844960726130688 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:55 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Who is the most representative of the Intellectual Yet Idiot Class? Name names!https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.bmlfge57z <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:56 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “When she shouts that what you did is *unforgivable*,she has already started to forgive you”. Bed of Procrustes, p18https:\/\/twitter.com\/asymmetricinfo\/status\/784805613922508800 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:29 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You forget Fannie Mae. There has never been more incompetent (decorated) person in history than IYI @JosephEStiglitz . Never. @GreekAnalyst Permalink<\/a> 12:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A generalized functions approach for distribution of sample correlations, Part 1. (Saturday relaxation after RWRI 3)pic.twitter.com\/nWm5ByBf5O<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:22 AM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thank you Saudi apologist neo-cons.https:\/\/twitter.com\/BBCBreaking\/status\/784801357383499776 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:15 AM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb An option trader can easily understand the nonsense in @FiveThirtyEight’s: he prices options without time value.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Chris_arnade\/status\/782242957940391936 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:35 AM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Gary Johnson.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/784705827110289408 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:28 AM – 8 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@alphabetsuccess Resist trying to impress your enemies. – NNTaleb #quote #wisdom #ThursdayThoughtspic.twitter.com\/c22XBBI4Wr<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:47 PM – 6 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@GarthGodsman @byzantinepower Not every day you see the word theosis in a tweet Permalink<\/a> 2:09 AM – 7 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Cardano @davidliebersonpic.twitter.com\/TUHoPnmxS6<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:03 PM – 6 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@VergilDen “Statistics isn’t about discovering correlations, it’s about eliminating coincidence.” @nntaleb @financequant #RWRI Permalink<\/a> 9:10 AM – 6 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb RWRI 3, day 4: Data can be used for DIS-confirmation. Power laws can be seen as the REJECTION of all other classes of models. @financequant Permalink<\/a> 9:05 AM – 6 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Profs of pol “sience” are so dumb (e.g. @dandrezner) that their argument ag. dumb people voting applies to themhttp:\/\/nymag.com\/scienceofus\/2016\/10\/dissecting-a-professors-argument-against-dumb-people-voting.html?mid=twitter-share-scienceofus <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:08 AM – 6 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@gravity_levity My attempt to illustrate the main idea behind the Kosterlitz-Thouless transition, central to today’s Nobel prize http:\/\/www.ribbonfarm.com\/2015\/09\/24\/samuel-becketts-guide-to-particles-and-antiparticles\/ <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/fP3Ji4BZmy<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb RWRI 3, Yaneer Bar Yam explaining how things don’t average in complex systems #Antifragilepic.twitter.com\/pJdJ9Fg87N<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:57 PM – 5 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I meant Julius Bassianus. Permalink<\/a> 7:29 AM – 5 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Domna is from the Emesian aristocracy (now Homs), like Steve Job’s ancestors. Jacobus Barnaus.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ticiaverveer\/status\/783664099695656960 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:23 AM – 5 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cForeword to Ed Thorp\u2019s Memoirs (A Man for All Markets)\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/foreword-to-ed-thorps-memoirs-a-man-for-all-markets-6beba78cd2b <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:47 PM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The “independence” of the media:https:\/\/youtu.be\/E96lAHygeIU <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:03 PM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb As Cato (elder) said, better be asked why there is no statue honoring you than the reversehttps:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/783251194915454976 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:27 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I wish a Nobel Prize to one of my economist enemies so he feels the insecurity of a pedestal. Permalink<\/a> 3:23 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@byzantinepower You will be civilised on the day you can spend a long period doing nothing without feeling the slightest amount of guilt NN Taleb Permalink<\/a> 3:00 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@byzantinepower Over the long term, you are more likely to fool yourself than others. NN Taleb Permalink<\/a> 3:04 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@byzantinepower For a classicist, a competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying too hard to become an animal NN Taleb Permalink<\/a> 3:08 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@byzantinepower Mental clarity is the child of courage NN Taleb Permalink<\/a> 3:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb REWRI 3, Day 1 in our new space. Raphael lecturing (http:\/\/Www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>\u00a0)pic.twitter.com\/7pUQYmxwNl<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:02 AM – 3 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Rederived from scratch distrib of correlation function for windows @WLTSchirano @DrCirillo @sapinker @alxpr1c3pic.twitter.com\/2iDoBUW44i<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:19 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Megali Doxologia (Great Doxology) in Greco-Syrian. \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064e\u062c\u0652\u062f\u064e\u0644\u064e\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u064f\u0628\u0652\u0631\u064e\u0649 \/ \u064a\u0648\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0640 \u0639\u0631\u0628\u064ahttps:\/\/youtu.be\/znL0c5C0-jo <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The reason is that no charlatan would willingly do anything that harms his reputation. Marker is costly signaling.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/782658001668870149 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:01 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Point is: NO charlatan would do anything that harms his reputation. It is a marker, what’s called costly signaling. Kapish? @BrianePagel Permalink<\/a> 3:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@IrritatedNimby @lord9h @nntaleb Hayek on Talebpic.twitter.com\/FKkkMRwUUW<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:31 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Simple heuristic: treat public intellectuals as BSvendors except those who hold unpopular opinions,expose frauds, take risks, curse publicly Permalink<\/a> 12:06 PM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Forward for Ed Thorp’s memoir. Comments\/Corrections welcome. https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/Foreword%20Thorp.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Actually problem w\/@sapinker is worse:paper shows that,if anything,we underestimated violence. https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1609.02369.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 @alxpr1c3 @DrCirillo Permalink<\/a> 8:29 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb LATEST: Prof Spagat has retracted his claim that F14a was wrong; he said he made an error. Pinker shd learn from him. @DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Getting arithmetic wrong. Tax loss carryover means one has paid taxes in past for profits later lost\/or reverse.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ianbremmer\/status\/782569967933853696 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:20 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Very inefficient. Can’t believe liberals could be pro-Saudi Arabia, pro-Wahabis, pro large corps\/globabilization, anti artisans! @neilchriss Permalink<\/a> 6:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Pasquale, the point is not about theories\/data, but elementary stats. What would you w\/someone who can’t read an…ACF?@DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink<\/a> 6:14 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@Nour_Samaha Dear @katieforster, I’m assuming this is your first foray in the #Syria issue. I suggest you do some research firstpic.twitter.com\/T45JhOjXOb<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:52 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Keep trying Pinker boy, keep trying! @sapinkerpic.twitter.com\/cw4HslcED0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:05 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Get off twitter.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Hanifkureishi\/status\/779951411538919424 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:18 AM – 2 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb John Durant has an explanation. Also explain Halal against eating pigs! @bitstein @johndurantpic.twitter.com\/CShb8o6MXG<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:46 PM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb (for mammals) Permalink<\/a> 1:31 PM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Is there a rule that we humans eat almost exclusively herbivores? Is it the reason we domesticate cats, dogs, things we don’t eat? Curious. Permalink<\/a> 1:30 PM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Much more colorful than my approach to bankers\/economists.https:\/\/twitter.com\/byzantinepower\/status\/782303266797330432 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:41 PM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Why laws in societies come from the minority rule: A probabilistic argument.pic.twitter.com\/nh3yALVZzu<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Another way to see it: Mix white w\/dark blue. The result in any combination>2-5% is never light blue, but dark blue.https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.o50wvemav <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Neocons. More to come.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/782202283849285632 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:57 AM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If someone showed you articles abt Trump, you would have estimated that polls ~0% (just wife & butler voting for him). The press is dying. Permalink<\/a> 5:56 AM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The cluelessness of @anneapplebaum: like a detail-oriented assistant-plumber expounding on statistical mechanics.https:\/\/twitter.com\/BryanAppleyard\/status\/782182348498604032 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:21 AM – 1 Oct 2016<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Feeding children w\/fallacious stat reasoning: 75% of all inmates are dropouts \u21cf 75% of all dropouts become inmates.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Brilliant_Ads\/status\/785236664721473536 \u00a0 Permalink 3:10 PM – 9 Oct 2016 @nntaleb Like Gadhafi, like Saddam. Presidential candidate Clinton says removing Assad in Syria is No. 1 priorityhttp:\/\/reut.rs\/1MaTg7s \u00a0 Permalink 11:01 AM – 9 Oct 2016 @nntaleb Where are […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1350,1343,1351,1086],"class_list":["post-8476","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-gary-johnson","tag-kiev","tag-kosterlitz-thouless","tag-syria"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8476"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8477,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8476\/revisions\/8477"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}