{"id":8473,"date":"2016-09-30T23:25:01","date_gmt":"2016-10-01T06:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8473"},"modified":"2016-09-30T23:25:01","modified_gmt":"2016-10-01T06:25:01","slug":"india-pakistan-nudging-meat-the-incerto-richard-thaler-the-intellectual-yet-idiot-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/09\/india-pakistan-nudging-meat-the-incerto-richard-thaler-the-intellectual-yet-idiot-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"India-Pakistan, Nudging, Meat, The Incerto, Richard Thaler, The Intellectual Yet Idiot | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Any cardiologist in the room? Is a *simple* test of volatility of heart rate powerful enough? Thanks! #Antifragilepic.twitter.com\/ZdW7ojvfAq<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:36 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0628 \u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u062c\u0631\u062d Permalink<\/a> 10:25 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2\/Trump n’est qu’un marchand de pacotille; Hilarante une interventioniste belliqueuse Permalink<\/a> 10:23 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Pas du tout vrai. Hilarante est avide de guerre, prete a d\u00e9stabiliser le systeme, a causer des cygnes noirs.https:\/\/twitter.com\/lemondefr\/status\/781086600549830656 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:19 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@RonPaulInstitut Syria – The US Propaganda Shams Now Openly Fail http:\/\/bit.ly\/2dx2nuO <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:05 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3\/ You cannot expect @Grurray points out a sect with suicide bombers to play tit-for-tat as in your textbooks! *Nuclear* suicide bombers… Permalink<\/a> 6:00 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2\/ Something in Pakistan has been strange, as we know from the Bin Laden episode. In time, about every inconsistency becomes apparent. Permalink<\/a> 5:51 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Is it me? This India-Pakistan thingy is a very serious. Countries just don’t have direct “skirmishes”. Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM – 30 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Skin in the game.https:\/\/twitter.com\/byzantinepower\/status\/779901599170736128 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:52 PM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Procrustes 2nd Edition, UK (Penguin)pic.twitter.com\/E7f4XGaM4v<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:05 PM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I was not worried about the European banking system until a European finance minister said to not worry.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/781545314347954176 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:36 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Reverse! Logistic is most elegant natural distribution, Normal is an adjustment to it. @ProbFactpic.twitter.com\/00OKWbauMP<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:53 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@robertwrighter Enjoyed chatting w @MaxAbrahms on @bloggingheads about whether Hillary’s or Trump’s foreign policy is scarier: http:\/\/bloggingheads.tv\/videos\/43967?in=02:15&out=65:45 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:20 PM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is the real problem, compounded by an increase in age-conditional life expectancy.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/781467564396449793 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:20 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Huge step in @WolframResearch Mathematica 11: Expression of functions in terms of MeijerG https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Meijer_G-function <\/a>\u00a0 pic.twitter.com\/L5eIFmRSh0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:29 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb BTW, evidence that @michikokakutani is pathologically crazy.Not just incompetent; crazy. @MarkHarrisNYC @holland_tompic.twitter.com\/WJmYRdxILz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:01 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My point is that a nudger would make your “choice architecture” into helmets. Wrong norms. @han0z @paulmarsha @gaijinrage Permalink<\/a> 3:24 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) In Lebanon the absence of president has been a great thing, shifting a bit of power to the municipalities. Permalink<\/a> 3:19 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Another reason “nudging” is dangerous.https:\/\/twitter.com\/gaijinrage\/status\/781389651886088192 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:13 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lesson from the 2016 election: an evolved decentralized country w\/adults in it & developed legal machinery shouldn’t need a president. Permalink<\/a> 3:09 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb It is precisely because there is money that vultures will destroy Saudi Barbaria. @Jamal_A_Salem Permalink<\/a> 2:49 AM – 29 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Thank you, the democratic system worked. Obama can be pre-bought by Saudi Barbaria, but we got enough.https:\/\/twitter.com\/wadewire\/status\/781236629444894720 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:46 PM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Paternalistic IYI: “Av citizen doesn’t know where Syria is”. To be compatible w\/democracy don’t drag them into smthg thy aren’t curious abt. Permalink<\/a> 5:59 AM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Also to test regress, n low, do residuals on beta dist since error bounded [(x,(1-x))-, +] @sbelak @DrCirillo @Petronas865 @NateSilver538 Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If @DrCirillo says data looks “funny”, then consider that data looks funny. @Petronas865 @NateSilver538 Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Yes the graph shows too much noise. From this & other stuff Silver patently fails to refine signal from noise.https:\/\/twitter.com\/petronas865\/status\/780979459797217280 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:32 AM – 28 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You can’t make this up. IYI ambassador to UNhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/linaarabii\/status\/780937412419678212 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:00 PM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Boris wants to swap UK for Turkey in EU.https:\/\/twitter.com\/henrycporter\/status\/780890293520531457 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:12 PM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some results (with possible errors) for the Leiden paper. [Jet Lag, of course]pic.twitter.com\/bokuv4iYPP<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:11 PM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Delenda Monsantohttps:\/\/twitter.com\/FarmFairyCrafts\/status\/780682206171766784 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:22 AM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb *Most* Ancient Greeks ate meet only on festivals, after sacrificing to the gods, adding “most” for imbecile @davidgraeber nitpicking tweets Permalink<\/a> 1:00 AM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My point is:limitation on meat eating in Greek Orthodoxy has *some* ancient origin, hence *some* forced variations.pic.twitter.com\/P1IX4NbsWI<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:24 AM – 27 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb David Graeber, if I call you imbecile, it is not without a reason. @davidgraeberpic.twitter.com\/b7rfhnxcQa<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:55 PM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@night_review La dittatura delle minoranze: contro gli intolleranti ci vuole intolleranza, dice @nntalebhttp:\/\/bit.ly\/2du123y <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:47 PM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Turned out @AmbassadorPower is wife of idiot @CassSunstein, protagonist of my piece on IYIs https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.xr2afnzeh <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/snarwani\/status\/780145813573996544 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:28 AM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb History du jour: Shiism in Iran much earlier than Savafides, the 8th C. Khurramites mixed Shiism & Zoroastrianism. https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Khurramiyyah <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:46 AM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Graeber is a LIAR. My point is that, empirically, an ACADEMIC job is not necessary to do research.cf #Antifragile @davidgraeber @Fedaykin98 Permalink<\/a> 3:18 AM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Cor nitpickers, yes there were 4 male nonwaiters; ~10% Permalink<\/a> 12:06 AM – 26 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Beirut restaurant: the only males are the waiters.pic.twitter.com\/0kemqipHXJ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:26 PM – 25 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Peter, @peterfrankopan beware: Al Arabiya is Saudi funded propaganda.https:\/\/twitter.com\/alarabiya_eng\/status\/779969792266670080 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:59 AM – 25 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Indeed Obama is protecting al Qaeda in Syria. This & the veto are unexplainable… his sympathy for Jihadis…https:\/\/twitter.com\/28Pages\/status\/779822635009970176 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:25 PM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Fat Tony attending a lecture.https:\/\/twitter.com\/edefazio\/status\/779807743276359680 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:18 PM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A business school professor lecturing on finance is like Hillary Clinton lecturing on deadlifting. Permalink<\/a> 3:07 PM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms Coincidentally, earlier today I taught a whole class on realism by contrasting it with Hillary’s foreign policies:https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxabrahms\/status\/779756341204320256 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:04 PM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And the Companion Volume will be “Technical Incerto”. Permalink<\/a> 7:09 AM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Incerto finally became a single book. Don’t know when it will be sold.pic.twitter.com\/1YUJrb4kFu<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:53 AM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb La dittatura delle minoranze: Taleb mette in guardia dai rischi… contro gli intolleranti ci vuole intolleranza.http:\/\/www.pagina99.it\/2016\/09\/24\/perche-il-politicamente-corretto-e-una-minaccia-alla-liberta\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:27 AM – 24 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 10 old books feel very aged, out of place, out of sync. 200 year old books feel contemporary. 2000 year old bks feel fresh. #LindyEffect Permalink<\/a> 6:02 PM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mark, not complaining about the smear… I proved immune. I am complaining about showing me in an old picture! @CoachRippetoe @PennyKilkenny Permalink<\/a> 5:46 PM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I don’t mind Monsanto’s smear campaign bt they show weightligting pics from 2015, before coaching by @CoachRippetoe!https:\/\/twitter.com\/PennyKilkenny\/status\/779426138112360448 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:24 PM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I blocked @MehreenKhn who is both a Jihadi advocate & ….appears to works for the FT! BTW never engage Salafis. Just jail them. Permalink<\/a> 4:55 PM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb On way to Lebanon for a few days. I insist I feel safer than in Europe, as there is ZERO tolerance of Salafis. Zero. Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Me too.https:\/\/twitter.com\/thekrissharma\/status\/779342902421917696 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:57 AM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “Airport Reading” you liar. Why are you lying, little parasite? http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/FatTails.html <\/a>\u00a0 https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/0B8nhAlfIk3QIR1o1dnk5ZmRaaGs\/view <\/a>\u00a0 @florianederer @WGoetzmann Permalink<\/a> 6:47 AM – 23 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb He doesn’t pronounce 3ayn & 7et like natives & exaggerate diff Syriac-Aramaic. Hear the diff https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=dRwzJJmt1A8 <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/0ezVvCSqLR<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:18 PM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Small correction: Wstrn Syria spoke close to Galilean Aramaic; Syriac is Eastern. “Our Father” in Jewish Aramaic.https:\/\/youtu.be\/i8IJOgMVE1Q <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:37 PM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Shame. Shame.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/779010868583497728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:19 PM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I view science as a ruthless collision of originality & rigor; social science as the meeting of imitation & sloppiness. Permalink<\/a> 9:39 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I view science as a ruthless collision of originality & rigor; (Much of social science fails on, not one, but both counts). Permalink<\/a> 9:36 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I meant meat @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink<\/a> 9:32 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ancient Greeks ate meet only on festivals, after sacrificing portion to the gods. Same for Semites. @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink<\/a> 7:23 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Just consider that carnivores have very stochastic intake compared to herbivores. @drjasonfung @IDMProgrampic.twitter.com\/VblQKwJDMX<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:57 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I suspect that under variability in protein intake, the required quantities drop https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/26660005\/_Anti_Fragility_and_Convex_Responses_in_Medicine <\/a>\u00a0 @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Imbecile, ALL my tweets autodelete every 5 months. @davidgraeber Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM – 22 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb David Graeber @davidgraeber tries to disqualify me from discussion because I had wealthy ancestors. Institutionalized envy. @Fedaykin98 Permalink<\/a> 3:12 PM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u062a\u062a\u0643 \u0645\u0630\u0645\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635 \u0641\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u064a \u0628\u0623\u0646\u064a \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644: Mutanabbi @funtime_bobby Permalink<\/a> 2:08 PM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Doorman calls you arrogant: you are an a**hole. Academic IYI calls you arrogant: certifies he can’t debunk your workhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/davidgraeber\/status\/773598438915276800 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:04 PM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Indeed. There are 650 pages (including this) in Antifragile, its topic. @funtime_bobby @EmanuelDerman @R_Thaler @cdipaola62 @CassSunstein Permalink<\/a> 1:14 PM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb To put it in their terms,on top of other pbms, we are showing their “normative” (benchmarks) are fundamentally wronghttps:\/\/twitter.com\/EmanuelDerman\/status\/777507246116855808 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:38 PM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Is it me or Monsanto is trading as if the deal had ~20% chances of failing? Permalink<\/a> 10:37 AM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb … Which explains the bias-variance problem: 538 is noisy (and biased) the other is less noisy but more biased. Permalink<\/a> 10:13 AM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Predictwise is high for H but his updating is consistent & seems >rigorous vs statisticophaster @FIveTHirtyEighthttps:\/\/twitter.com\/DavMicRot\/status\/778543535545053184 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Our paper “Expected Shortfall Estimation for Apparently Infinite-Mean Models of Operational Risk” now in print.https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/778538693334368256 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:44 AM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The @FiveThirtyEight unrigorous dynamic updating & how it should be: the outer blue line is how not to change proba.pic.twitter.com\/RHTMsK1EDc<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:41 AM – 21 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is why Silver is ignorant of probability.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/771372006914846720 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:08 PM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ha! Round turn. Trump 48%? @FiveThirtyEight proved again a few weeks later CLUELESS abt dynamics of probability.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/762032883414556674 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:05 PM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is pure nonsense, statistically.https:\/\/twitter.com\/ByRosenberg\/status\/778084204881940480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:06 PM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb New edition of Procrustes, 50% longer. But, for Baal’s sake, shd only be read by pple who know what an aphorism is.https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms\/dp\/0812982401\/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:25 AM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Cheap tawk: Apologies never exist. You pay: money tawks and BS walks.https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/778193424877060097 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:58 AM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A page frm @peterfrankopan that justifies my doubts w\/@dottorpax about historical casualties, exaggerated for impactpic.twitter.com\/uXWHTVw4tP<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:09 AM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Could the Maaloula Aramaic “Baddak” come from same root as “David” DWD (B-widdak => “You would like?”) ?pic.twitter.com\/keTfIgWY7H<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:01 AM – 20 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2\/”Doesn’t even know the difference between Hecate and Hecuba”:Search for “Hecuba” jumps every pub of my piece(3 x)pic.twitter.com\/O31CUZAeei<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:33 AM – 19 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From reactions to piece, discovered the IYI can’t tell the satirical from the literal. https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.6bjx10lta <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/rJCOKTpyxX<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 11:15 AM – 19 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lobbying is much, much cheaper than advertising or R&D to improve product, & has great payoff. Lobbying is immoral.https:\/\/twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/777168168951382017 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:30 AM – 19 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb From my scratchpad: Beware of Richard Thaler’s results. Beware. @EmanuelDerman @R_Thaler @cdipaola62 @CassSunsteinpic.twitter.com\/ajo7mjZl6b<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:02 PM – 18 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Nestl\u00e9 Just Suffered a Major Defeat as Community Blocks Water Privatizationhttp:\/\/usuncut.com\/resistance\/nestle-fails-in-kunkletown\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:24 AM – 18 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Aramaic du jour: Baddak in Levantine doesn’t seem to come from Arabic but Aramaic; Ma3loula Western Aramaic.pic.twitter.com\/TVLzW6dMwo<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:37 AM – 18 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Via negativahttps:\/\/twitter.com\/TolstoySays\/status\/777525509445914624 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:24 AM – 18 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Like prevent GMO labeling & steer choices? How long can these psychosophasters manage to fool us?https:\/\/twitter.com\/R_Thaler\/status\/777273108927508482 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:54 AM – 18 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I grew up w\/Jesuits & @R_Thaler is amateur in casuistry.(Changed txt to “=deviation frm desired\/prescribed protocol)https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/777216119761428480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:08 PM – 17 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@bparispoker @nntaleb my belated apologies to @SenSanders and @TimReillyPoker for being an IYI on GMO’s a couple months back Permalink<\/a> 7:42 AM – 17 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb \u201cThe Intellectual Yet Idiot\u201d Added The IYI has been wrong on Stalinism, GMOs, Iraq, Libya, Syria, lobotomies,https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577?source=twitterShare-f138bf5466fe-1474115652 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:35 AM – 17 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Problem du jour: find general form from sequence for \\alpha ={1,2,…,n}pic.twitter.com\/Bcn65yvGRE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:48 AM – 17 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Max is good. Very good.https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/776896248200724480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:38 PM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I thank @DrCirillo & others for 4-d depth into Extreme Tails w\/ pioneers: de Haan,Balkema,Huesler,Eimahl, & chance to discuss my 2 papers. Permalink<\/a> 2:05 PM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@alexcmeyer The best technology is the one you don’t even know is there. @nntaleb hits it on the headpic.twitter.com\/17IO9g76YC<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:51 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I am on a plane deriving guilty pleasure reading comments by IYIs (Intellectual Yet Idiots) on the piece abt IYIs.https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/776791885155332096 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:54 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I just published \u201cThe Intellectual Yet Idiot\u201dhttps:\/\/medium.com\/p\/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:36 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The ideological and financial roots of Jihadi terrorism are in Saudi Barbaria.https:\/\/twitter.com\/Dave_Hardwick\/status\/776758010332839936 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:34 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The agro lobby is explicitly targeting researchers. Destroy the lives of lobbyists!https:\/\/twitter.com\/jeanguisnel\/status\/776722914037080064 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:27 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb \u05d9\u05de\u05d7 \u05e9\u05de\u05d5 \u05d5\u05d6\u05db\u05e8\u05d5 @GhassanDahhan \u064a\u0645\u062d\u064a \u0627\u0633\u0645\u0648\u0627 \u0648 \u0632\u0643\u0631\u0648\u0627 Permalink<\/a> 3:23 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You should only hit terrorism when the aim is eradication, not mitigation; otherwise they get stronger.https:\/\/twitter.com\/space_nosleep\/status\/776663510881296384 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:59 AM – 16 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb If I know something about mergers, it is that they kill the companies, both the acquirer and the acquired.https:\/\/twitter.com\/NonGMOProject\/status\/776427291635093504 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:30 AM – 15 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Our turn to make them pay,@thackerpd, w\/dividend. Revenge is to be eaten cold. Will help you get shill @keithkloor for the rest of his life. Permalink<\/a> 2:06 PM – 14 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Voila: The beginning of the end for GMOs. If you have to shill so much, something is wrong.http:\/\/on.wsj.com\/2cVUhLI <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM – 14 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Put on 15lbs weightlifting .https:\/\/twitter.com\/drcirillo\/status\/775971925642313728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:43 AM – 14 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@DrCirillo #ERHD Workshop Day 3. Einmahl, Taleb @nntaleb and the statistics of extremes. Permalink<\/a> 11:46 PM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb It is as irrational to reject all conspiracy theories as it is to accept them. Permalink<\/a> 2:13 PM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Better picture as @DrCirillo the organizer was hidden in the previous one.pic.twitter.com\/DKmdCs8vVE<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:57 PM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Trappist “blond” beer Affligem, something else, 1000 years experience.pic.twitter.com\/uOFxEAr3Af<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:45 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 70% of the Extreme Value mathematics flaneuring in Leiden by a canal. De Haan asked: “who are the other 30%?”pic.twitter.com\/n9xgjY8ggW<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:12 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@BowenBBC Father Elias Adass, Maronite priest in Aleppo Old City stands in ruins of his church, destroyed by rebel fire.pic.twitter.com\/95aLWmoOTR<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:27 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Balkema and de Haan, pillars of Extreme Value Theory, chatting at the Leiden workshop. https:\/\/www.google.nl\/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=balkema+de+haan&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gfe_rd=cr&ei=tc_XV4H2L-uGwAL8266QAw#q=pickands+balkema+de+haan <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/Lar1lG9jCR<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:13 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This explains why I call her Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison, now AlSaud-Malmaison. https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ch\u00e2teau_de_Malmaison <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/pallaviwrites\/status\/775589402974224384 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:43 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@singularityunl Borrowing a concept from @nntaleb, @carlovdweijer tells us about the #futureofmobility at #SUNLsummitpic.twitter.com\/Pp47pkBiot<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:20 AM – 13 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The dirtiest man: @henryimiller a failed scientist you can hire to defame scientists. http:\/\/usrtk.org\/hall-of-shame\/why-you-cant-trust-henry-miller-on-gmos\/ <\/a>\u00a0https:\/\/twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/774880861137297408 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:08 PM – 12 Sep 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The classical idea is to build mental, physical & moral fortitude to face the world #Antifragile Modern one is to change it technologically. Permalink<\/a> 4:05 PM – 12 Sep 2016<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb Any cardiologist in the room? Is a *simple* test of volatility of heart rate powerful enough? Thanks! #Antifragilepic.twitter.com\/ZdW7ojvfAq Permalink 11:36 AM – 30 Sep 2016 @nntaleb \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0628 \u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u062c\u0631\u062d Permalink 10:25 AM – 30 Sep 2016 @nntaleb 2\/Trump n’est qu’un marchand de pacotille; Hilarante une interventioniste belliqueuse Permalink 10:23 AM – 30 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1344,1346,1345,1348,1347,1349],"class_list":["post-8473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-india-pakistan","tag-meat","tag-nudging","tag-richard-thaler","tag-the-incerto","tag-the-intellectual-yet-idiot"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8473"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8473\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8474,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8473\/revisions\/8474"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}