{"id":8352,"date":"2016-03-28T14:42:51","date_gmt":"2016-03-28T21:42:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8352"},"modified":"2016-03-28T14:42:51","modified_gmt":"2016-03-28T21:42:51","slug":"nicenasty-inequality-sitg-p-hacking-easter-syria-palmyra-shillary-trump-saunders-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/nicenasty-inequality-sitg-p-hacking-easter-syria-palmyra-shillary-trump-saunders-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Nice\/Nasty, Inequality, SITG, P-Hacking, Easter, Syria, Palmyra, Shillary, Trump, Saunders | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb My rule: when people are nice, I am twice as nice to them. When nasty, a thousand times nastier. @lakens @sothisispietro Permalink<\/a> 11:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Friends, need to find errors in this paper before posting on ArXiv. Busts current measurement of inequality https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/GINI-1.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:49 AM – 28 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb DC pundits stick to minor variations around a (false) narrative, owing to lack of 1)courage,2) #skininthegame, 3) IQ https:\/\/twitter.com\/MaxAbrahms\/status\/714422281372639232 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:10 AM – 28 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You start by gratuitously trolling me saying you taught undergrads my meta-dist (you didn’t) & now you think you could be “helpful”? @lakens Permalink<\/a> 4:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Donaldo, minor detail: this is not quite ISIS; nevertheless you will do better than Shillary. https:\/\/twitter.com\/realdonaldtrump\/status\/714264864575922177 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:49 PM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Pulled out the explicit “p-hacking” formula. New version of paper. http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/pvalues.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 pic.twitter.com\/0gRwP7jhQw<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:12 PM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@adolfont The wise approach to markets is to consider them smarter than governments yet profoundly stupid… @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/IUBOFaN0dO<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:26 PM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms .@octavianasr The media did even worse job covering Syria conflict than the decision to remove Saddam; on Syria, it had access to more info. Permalink<\/a> 7:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Happy Easter for those who celebrate now. The Orthodox Church will celebrate in 5 weeks. pic.twitter.com\/x2VQl1layy<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:35 AM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms It’s been so lonely over Twitter the past few years getting accused of being a troll for stating the basic facts on Syria. Thanks #Palmyra. Permalink<\/a> 6:20 AM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms Which pundits get the most (dis)credit for convincing Western media the Syrian & Russian militaries are in cahoots with IS & don’t fight IS? Permalink<\/a> 5:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@PieterDuboisFI @nntaleb-isation of software development https:\/\/twitter.com\/BetaList\/status\/714047126892843009 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM – 27 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@aarondwarwick @nntaleb thanks for pointing us to @MaxAbrahms a couple months ago. Top notch! Permalink<\/a> 4:55 PM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Nobody is talking about the exciting news of ISIS thrown out of Palmyra. Why? Alas easy to figure out. Permalink<\/a> 4:53 PM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb ”Sometimes your best investments are the ones you don\u2019t make.” Donald Trump, The Art of the Deal Permalink<\/a> 3:15 PM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And instead of playing smart ass as a scientist you could have answer led my quest for the search of antecedents @lakens Permalink<\/a> 9:46 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Where is the probability distribution? An equation is usually an equation with derivations. @lakens Permalink<\/a> 9:33 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb And I am taking about rigorous probability theory not handwaving looping psychological discourse. @lakens Permalink<\/a> 9:24 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr lakens i am talking about exact metadistibution of p-val. @lakens This is clear and precise. Show me. Permalink<\/a> 9:22 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You still need to back up your accusation of claiming to “reinvent” pval dist before asking more questions.@lakens https:\/\/twitter.com\/lakens\/status\/713758346973679616 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The US president cannot change much except foreign interventionism. Incl taxes. Kapish? @sleuthstock @BernieSanders Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This said I far prefer @BernieSanders to Trump but absolutely no Hillary. No Hillary, no SHillary. Permalink<\/a> 7:44 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Reading Trump all I see is protect your downside (unknown) risks. What’s behind the bluster is Fat Tony compatible. pic.twitter.com\/6OyroXQ8qc<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:35 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n

@MaxAbrahms Loving the spin to minimize Syrian\/Russian military achievements against ISIS: https:\/\/twitter.com\/joshua_landis\/status\/713709476830797825 <\/a>\u00a0. Permalink<\/a> 7:13 AM – 26 Mar 2016<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@nntaleb My rule: when people are nice, I am twice as nice to them. When nasty, a thousand times nastier. @lakens @sothisispietro Permalink 11:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016 @nntaleb Friends, need to find errors in this paper before posting on ArXiv. Busts current measurement of inequality https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/GINI-1.pdf \u00a0 Permalink 7:49 AM – 28 Mar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[714,795,1238,1239,1240,1242,1241,1021,1086,1034],"class_list":["post-8352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-easter","tag-inequality","tag-nicenasty","tag-p-hacking","tag-palmyra","tag-saunders","tag-shillary","tag-sitg","tag-syria","tag-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8352"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8354,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8352\/revisions\/8354"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}