{"id":8342,"date":"2016-03-23T20:46:40","date_gmt":"2016-03-24T03:46:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8342"},"modified":"2016-03-23T20:47:36","modified_gmt":"2016-03-24T03:47:36","slug":"p-values-growth-facebook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2016\/03\/p-values-growth-facebook\/","title":{"rendered":"P-Values, Growth | Facebook"},"content":{"rendered":"
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For those interested in p-values<\/a>, a short (very technical) paper and a video commentary. I was able to pull out the exact meta-distribution of p-values (i.e. p-values as random variables).
\nThe point is that the same phenomenon will produce p-values all over the map, A true p-value of .12 will produce p-values <.05 more than half the time, so people may never replicate and get the same result.
\nOne Hundred Years of P-Value Bullshit!
\nThe paper: http:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/pvalues.pdf<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

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https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=8qrfSh07rT0<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The probability distribution of p values<\/a><\/div>\n
This is a companion to the short paper at http:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/pvalues<\/a>… It explains the problem with p-values giving different values\u2026 (3\/23\/16)<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n