{"id":7900,"date":"2015-07-11T21:49:14","date_gmt":"2015-07-12T04:49:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=7900"},"modified":"2015-07-11T21:49:14","modified_gmt":"2015-07-12T04:49:14","slug":"error-dimensionality-and-predictability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2015\/07\/error-dimensionality-and-predictability\/","title":{"rendered":"Error, Dimensionality, and Predictability"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>This is a bit technical (for those into technical stuff and mathematical flaneuring). It proves why you can&#8217;t predict in any multivariate (not even complex) system.<br \/>\nEven thin-tailed variables are unpredictable.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/Propagation.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/Propagation.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>PS: Actually we show how we lose predictability by adding dimensions, with a trade-off, so it can lead to precise policies and decisions<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/permalink.php?story_fbid=10153175757403375&amp;id=13012333374\" target=\"_blank\">Facebook<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is a bit technical (for those into technical stuff and mathematical flaneuring). It proves why you can&#8217;t predict in any multivariate (not even complex) system. Even thin-tailed variables are unpredictable. https:\/\/dl.dropboxusercontent.com\/u\/50282823\/Propagation.pdf PS: Actually we show how we lose predictability by adding dimensions, with a trade-off, so it can lead to precise policies and decisions [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[145,73],"tags":[1003,1002,989,1001],"class_list":["post-7900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-facebook","category-pdf","tag-dimensionality","tag-error","tag-predictability","tag-propagation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7900","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7900"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7900\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7901,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7900\/revisions\/7901"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7900"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7900"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7900"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}