{"id":7602,"date":"2015-03-19T11:41:50","date_gmt":"2015-03-19T18:41:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=7602"},"modified":"2015-03-19T11:41:50","modified_gmt":"2015-03-19T18:41:50","slug":"fallacy-of-mechanistic-statistics-in-risk-debates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2015\/03\/fallacy-of-mechanistic-statistics-in-risk-debates\/","title":{"rendered":"Fallacy of mechanistic statistics in risk debates&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>Fallacy of mechanistic statistics in risk debates:<br \/>\nIf we wanted planes to be safe &#8220;with statistical significance&#8221; that is 99% confidence level we&#8217;d have between 400 and 2500 crashes a day.The point is that risk management uses a much much higher degree of rigor than statistics, something GMO-idiots are not getting.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/permalink.php?story_fbid=10152892894213375&amp;id=13012333374\">Fallacy of mechanistic statistics in risk&#8230; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fallacy of mechanistic statistics in risk debates: If we wanted planes to be safe &#8220;with statistical significance&#8221; that is 99% confidence level we&#8217;d have between 400 and 2500 crashes a day.The point is that risk management uses a much much higher degree of rigor than statistics, something GMO-idiots are not getting. via Fallacy of mechanistic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[145],"tags":[791],"class_list":["post-7602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-facebook","tag-gmos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7602"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7602\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7604,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7602\/revisions\/7604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}