{"id":710,"date":"2010-03-29T12:07:00","date_gmt":"2010-03-29T19:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"tag:google.com,2005:reader\/item\/2a65b94a07a3f571"},"modified":"2010-03-29T12:07:00","modified_gmt":"2010-03-29T19:07:00","slug":"coping-with-the-black-swan-the-unsettling-world-of-nassim-taleb-critical-review-a-journal-of-politics-and-society","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2010\/03\/coping-with-the-black-swan-the-unsettling-world-of-nassim-taleb-critical-review-a-journal-of-politics-and-society\/","title":{"rendered":"COPING WITH THE BLACK SWAN: THE UNSETTLING WORLD OF NASSIM TALEB &#8211; Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>Shared by  JohnH<br \/>\n<br \/>\n$30 to read it though.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div>\n<div><strong>Author:<\/strong><br \/>\nMark Blyth <sup>a<\/sup><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/content%7Econtent=a918506948%7Edb=all?bios=true#b918506948\" title=\"Click to view Biography\"><br \/>\n(Show Biography)<br \/>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td><strong><br \/>\nAffiliation:<br \/>\n<\/strong><br \/>\n\u00a0\n<\/td>\n<td><sup>a<\/sup> Department of Political Science, Brown University, Providence, RI<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<strong>DOI:<\/strong><br \/>\n10.1080\/08913810903441385\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<strong>Publication Frequency:<\/strong><br \/>\n4 issues per year\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<strong>Published in:<\/strong><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/mpp\/cache\/images\/themed\/000000000000000000000000004e9fffffff\/images\/mediaicons\/journal_small.png\" title=\"Publication type: journal\" style=\"vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"journal\" border=\"0\"><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/title%7Edb=all%7Econtent=t778142998\" title=\"Click to go to publication home\">Critical Review<\/a>,<br \/>\nVolume<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/title%7Edb=all%7Econtent=t778142998%7Etab=issueslist%7Ebranches=21#v21\" title=\"Click to view volume\"><br \/>\n<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/title%7Edb=all%7Econtent=t778142998%7Etab=issueslist%7Ebranches=21#v21\" title=\"Click to view volume\"><br \/>\n21<\/a>,<br \/>\nIssue<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/title%7Edb=all%7Econtent=g919004450\" title=\"Click to view issue\"><br \/>\n4 <\/a><br \/>\nDecember<br \/>\n2009<br \/>\n, pages 447<br \/>\n&#8211; 465\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<strong>Subjects:<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/browse%7Edb=all%7Ething=title%7Eby=subject%7Eappend=738553403,738553177,738553455#subject738553455\" title=\"Click to view subject\">Political Philosophy<\/a>;<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/browse%7Edb=all%7Ething=title%7Eby=subject%7Eappend=738553403,738553177,738553469#subject738553469\" title=\"Click to view subject\">Political Theory<\/a>;\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<strong>Formats available:<\/strong><br \/>\nHTML<br \/>\n(English)<br \/>\n:<br \/>\nPDF<br \/>\n(English)\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<b>Article Requests:<\/b><br \/>\n<a 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following email address: <a href=\"mailto:subscriptions@tandf.co.uk\">subscriptions@tandf.co.uk<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<li>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/login%7Edb=all?showloginbox=true&amp;lasturl=%2Fsmpp%2Fcontent%7Econtent%3Da918506948%7Edb%3Dall\" title=\"Click to supply an additional username\/password\">Sign In <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Sign In\" src=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/mpp\/images\/icons\/sign-in_reccomended.png\" title=\"Sign in\"><\/a>\n<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/title%7Edb=all%7Econtent=t778142998%7Etab=sample\" title=\"Click to view online sample\">Online Sample <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/mpp\/images\/icons\/sample-copy.png\" alt=\"Online Sample\" title=\"View online sample\"><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<b>View Article:<\/b><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/ftinterface%7Econtent=a918506948%7Efulltext=713240930\" title=\"View Article (PDF)\"><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/mpp\/images\/icons\/pdf-fulldoc.png\" alt=\"View Article (PDF)\" title=\"View Article (PDF)\"><br \/>\nView Article (PDF)<br \/>\n<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/smpp\/ftinterface%7Econtent=a918506948%7Efulltext=713240928\" title=\"View Article (HTML)\"><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.informaworld.com\/mpp\/images\/icons\/html-fulldoc.png\" alt=\"View Article (HTML)\" title=\"View Article (HTML)\"><br \/>\nView Article (HTML)<br \/>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<\/div>\n<table cellpadding=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<div>\n<h3>\nAbstract<br \/>\n<\/h3>\n<div>\nNassim Taleb rightly points out that although people may acknowledge in the abstract that the world is uncertain, they still behave as if a large enough sample size is all that is needed to predict, and model, the future. He also rightly notes that ever-increasing quantities of information are relevant only in simple situations, such as in predicting the range of human height, but are misleading in more random arenas, such as financial markets. However, while Taleb decries the use of narratives for falsely forcing the facts to fit a given story, we need narratives in order to make sense of a complex world. Further, Taleb fails to take sufficient heed of the fact that human narratives themselves become objects that act on subjects in an ever-increasing web of complexity.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shared by  JohnH <\/p>\n<p>$30 to read it though.<br \/>\nAuthor:<br \/>\nMark Blyth a<\/p>\n<p>(Show Biography)<\/p>\n<p>Affiliation:<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>a Department of Political Science, Brown University, Providence, RI<\/p>\n<p>DOI:<br \/>\n10.1080\/08913810903441385<\/p>\n<p>Publication Frequency:<br \/>\n4 issues per year<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-feeds"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/710","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=710"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/710\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}