{"id":6704,"date":"2014-03-22T02:39:46","date_gmt":"2014-03-22T09:39:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=6704"},"modified":"2014-03-22T02:39:46","modified_gmt":"2014-03-22T09:39:46","slug":"friday-quiz-what-is-the-unconditional-nassim-nicholas-taleb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2014\/03\/friday-quiz-what-is-the-unconditional-nassim-nicholas-taleb\/","title":{"rendered":"Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional&#8230; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote>\n<p>Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration between departure and time to destination between Kuala Lumpur and Beijing? How about a flight between Rio de Janeiro and Paris?<\/p>\n<p>ANSWER: Infinite. A very tiny probability of crash makes the unconditional expectation infinite.<\/p>\n<p>All other answers with finite duration are conditional on the plane eventually making it to destination.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/permalink.php?story_fbid=10152098704133375&amp;id=13012333374\">Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional&#8230; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration between departure and time to destination between Kuala Lumpur and Beijing? How about a flight between Rio de Janeiro and Paris? ANSWER: Infinite. A very tiny probability of crash makes the unconditional expectation infinite. All other answers with finite duration are conditional on the plane eventually [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[145],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-facebook"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6704","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6704"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6704\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6706,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6704\/revisions\/6706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}