{"id":5724,"date":"2013-04-30T22:00:26","date_gmt":"2013-05-01T05:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=5724"},"modified":"2013-04-30T22:00:26","modified_gmt":"2013-05-01T05:00:26","slug":"when-nassim-taleb-attacks-forbes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2013\/04\/when-nassim-taleb-attacks-forbes\/","title":{"rendered":"When Nassim Taleb Attacks &#8211; Forbes"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote>\n<p>Were he not so convinced of my evilness, Taleb might even have allowed himself to like this paper which shows that evidence that some economists are better at forecasting than others is largely due to random sampling error (so yes, people are fooled by randomness \u2026)<\/p>\n<p>I will report back on the severe mathematical scrutiny as soon as I hear anything.<\/p>\n<p>For now, I\u2019m off to get ready for teaching, including discussing this paper by Ricardo Caballero with my MA class. Titled \u201cMacroeconomics after the Crisis: Time to Deal with the Pretense-of-Knowledge Syndrome\u201d it critiques the fake precision of modern mathematical macroeconomic models. It\u2019s one of my favorite papers.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/karlwhelan\/2013\/04\/24\/when-nassim-taleb-attacks\/\">When Nassim Taleb Attacks &#8211; Forbes<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Were he not so convinced of my evilness, Taleb might even have allowed himself to like this paper which shows that evidence that some economists are better at forecasting than others is largely due to random sampling error (so yes, people are fooled by randomness \u2026) I will report back on the severe mathematical scrutiny [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[713],"class_list":["post-5724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-contributors","tag-karl-whelan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5724","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5724"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5724\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5725,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5724\/revisions\/5725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5724"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5724"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5724"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}