{"id":3162,"date":"2011-05-27T06:41:33","date_gmt":"2011-05-27T13:41:33","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2011-07-11T22:51:19","modified_gmt":"2011-07-12T05:51:19","slug":"thanks-friends-the-paper-is-here-httppapers-ssrn-comsol3papers-cfmabstract_id1850428","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2011\/05\/thanks-friends-the-paper-is-here-httppapers-ssrn-comsol3papers-cfmabstract_id1850428\/","title":{"rendered":"Thanks friends! The paper is here&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Thanks friends! The paper is here.<br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1850428\" rel=\"nofollow\">http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1850428<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a title=\"\" href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1850428\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/external.ak.fbcdn.net\/safe_image.php?d=f5489bcedc27a6419518c3bcc23af277&amp;w=90&amp;h=90&amp;url=http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/images\/iSSRN_a.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1850428\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals by Nassim Taleb<\/a><br \/>papers.ssrn.com<br \/>Ex ante predicted outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. But error rates have erro<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thanks friends! The paper is here.http:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1850428The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals by Nassim Talebpapers.ssrn.comEx ante predicted outcomes should be interpre&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[445,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-papers","category-pdf"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3162"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3708,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3162\/revisions\/3708"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}