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Tag Archives: INCERTO

Genealogy of the Ideas in The Black Swan

Making clear the genealogy of the ideas in The Black Swan (and the INCERTO) and earlier research, philosophical and mathematical traditions: for instance, there is NO link between the philosophical idea of skepticism and the mathematics of fat tails (or even the concept of fat tails as seen in consequence space).Because of lack of erudition […]

To clarify (once again), the central idea of the INCERTO is…

To clarify (once again), the central idea of the INCERTO is: be as skeptical as possible about your knowledge of the world, and as certain as possible about what constitutes wise action, whattodoaboudit. So embedded in the idea is that (positive) knowledge about the world is incomplete, transitory, continuously revised, but wisdom (what to do […]

The most rewarding moment in an author’s career….

The most rewarding moment in an author’s career. Finally, I am no longer the author of several books. I am now the author of a single book in 4 volumes: INCERTO, plus technical companions. Why does it matter? I don’t know, but it is a big, very big deal to see your work as a […]

Do not socialize with people much richer than you; but if you do…

Do not socialize with people much richer than you; but if you do, do it in your own territory (restaurants you can afford, wine, etc.) — (As the tribe might have noticed, I am adding a list of 99 prescriptive heuristics, with rationalization, as a short standalone addition to the INCERTO). via Do not socialize […]