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Monthly Archives: September 2014

I am trying to provide a probabilistic structure for fasting…

Friends, for comments. I am trying to provide a probabilistic structure for fasting in nature assuming meal frequency follows a certain power law of various thickness of tails and scale. Assuming that nature has traditionally delivered food to us with some periods of famines, it is foolish to think that it would have irregularity at […]

Someone wrote: “Dear Mr Taleb, I like your work…

Someone wrote: “Dear Mr Taleb, I like your work but I feel compelled to give you a piece of advice. An intellectual like you would greatly gain in influence if he avoided using foul language.”Answer: “Fuck off.” via Someone wrote: “Dear Mr Taleb, I like your work… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

I am now co-editor of an academic journal Risk and Decision Analysis…

Nassim N. Taleb ن Verified account ‏@nntaleb I am now co-editor of an academic journal Risk and Decision Analysis, seeking non-BS mathematical papers on risk: http://www.iospress.nl/journal/risk-and-decision-analysis/

Ruin is vastly more affected by noise than by the potential benefits or the signal

This picture show the effects of the information ratio (that is, benefits/uncertainty or signal/noise) on ruin; ruin is vastly more affected by noise than by the potential benefits or the signal. (Continuing the previous post). The Precautionary Principle paper is here https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIbGFzOXF5UUN3N2c/edit?pli=1 The previous post has not been well digested as people still argued in […]

Something people don’t get: more skepticism about climate models should lead to more “green”…

Something people don’t get: more skepticism about climate models should lead to more “green” ecological conservationist policies not more lax pro-pollution ones. Why? Simply, uncertainty about the models increases fragility (and thickens the left tail), no matter what the benefits can be in the right tail. Added the section to the precautionary principle. Please discuss […]