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Tag Archives: Syria

The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict | Medium

Full article: The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict Note 1. Assad father’s operatives blew up my house in Amioun when my grandfather, then MP, voted for Bashir. In Skin in the Game I discuss this as “acting against one’s interest” (the opposite of conflict of interest). So as […]

Syria and the Statistics of War | Medium

Trust none of what you hear, some of what you read, half of what you see goes an old trader adage. As a trader and quant/mathematical statistician, I have been taught to take data seriously, trust nobody’s numbers, and avoid people naive enough to engage in policy based on lurid but questionable pictures of destruction: […]

Syria, Shias, Monsanto, Putin, Obama, Arab Bullshit, Thaler |Twitter

@nntaleb 2/ Sharmine Narwani @snarwani has done some work on Syria. Hama casualties <5% of what was reported. More soon   Permalink 1:58 PM – 22 Nov 2016 @RiskMinds Watch @nntaleb live on 7th Dec for FREE! “Your grandmother’s intuitions abt #tailrisk is right”. Register here   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:00 PM – […]

Syria, Kiev, Gary Johnson, Kosterlitz-Thouless | Twitter

@nntaleb Feeding children w/fallacious stat reasoning: 75% of all inmates are dropouts ⇏ 75% of all dropouts become inmates.   Permalink 3:10 PM – 9 Oct 2016 @nntaleb Like Gadhafi, like Saddam. Presidential candidate Clinton says removing Assad in Syria is No. 1 priority   Permalink 11:01 AM – 9 Oct 2016 @nntaleb Where are […]

Pinker, Stewart Brand, Charlatans, Syria, Godel-Popper, Erdogan, Mathematica, Elections | Twitter

@nntaleb Pinker like charlatans talks to the press but no technical work.@sapinker is a BS artist. Permalink 12:56 PM – 16 Aug 2016 @nntaleb Pinker has about every attribute of the charlatan. Nothing short of a charlatan.   Permalink 12:51 PM – 16 Aug 2016 @nntaleb 2/ Steady “Arabization” of Syria, […]