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Tag Archives: risk

Black Swans And Interventionistas | RonPaulLibertyReport

Published on May 19, 2017 Dr. Taleb, author of “The Black Swan,” takes apart our foreign and monetary policies. Why do neocons and mainstream media keep pushing war and conflict? They face zero risk. This is something new in history. Those who decide on interventionism overseas are never harmed by the interventions. Plus…are we headed […]

BBC World Service – The Global Economy, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

This will be available to listen to (from the BBC) for a year. Do you underestimate the risk you are under? Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s ideas on probability and risk challenge assumptions made by markets and mathematicians all of over the world. His ideas on our blindness to the impact of improbable events have lead him […]

Something people don’t realize about fat-tailed probabilities…

Something people don’t realize about fat-tailed probabilities: We may accept to take risks with .00001 pct chance of blowing up the planet. May be OK for some. But the inconsistency is that we do serially and collectively take A LOT of “one-off” risk. If nothing happens, we may do it again. And again. Or we […]

Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Oglivy’s Rory Sutherland on risk – Cannes Lions 2013 video | Media | guardian.co.uk

The author and philosopher and the Ogilvy Group UK vice-chairman join John Plunkett at the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity to discuss how ideas relating to resilience, uncertainty, randomness and variation can apply to the advertising industry. They look at how the ’80/20′ theory of resource allocation can lead to disproportionate gains for minimal […]

When Smart Investors Do Stupid Things

The article closes by asking, “how long can they produce those kinds of returns before suffering some spectacular crash?” We now know the answer: about a year. LTCM was a glaring reminder that past volatility is a terrible measure of future risk. Yet we still obsess over volatility, convinced that it tells us how safe […]