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Tag Archives: prediction markets

Note 154 on prediction markets…

Note 154 on prediction markets, and more generally academic BS, and my argument with one of the proponents.Please don’t comment on prediction markets unless you have either read the paper of watched the video.http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm via Note 154 on prediction markets, and more… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

A technical note on predictions…

A technical note on predictions: why political predictions work, not economic ones.http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/binaries.pdf via A technical note on… | Facebook.