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	<title>The Black Swan Report &#187; jason calacanis</title>
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	<description>Keeping Tabs on Nassim Taleb and the Highly Improbable.</description>
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		<title>A Skill Game With Random Elements &#8211; Poker, Life, You Name It!</title>
		<link>http://www.blackswanreport.com/blog/2009/12/a-skill-game-with-random-elements-poker-life-you-name-it/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Dec 2009 06:39:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>JohnH</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Audio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[annie duke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blaming luck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jason calacanis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[skill luck axis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[this week in startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[thisweekinstartups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tilt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[variable ratio schedule]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[  Jason Calacanis (Jason and NNT actually met at Edge Master Class 2009) is a serial entrepreneur currently the founder of Mahalo.com.  He also hosts ThisWeekInStartups.com, a weekly online tv show featuring interviews with web entrepreneurs. But he also plays poker. So he invited professional poker player Annie Duke onto the show for a special [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" src="http://www.blackswanreport.com/media/jason-calacanis-annie-duke.jpg" alt="jason-calacanis-annie-duke.jpg" width="714" height="333" /></p>
<p> </p>
<p>Jason Calacanis (Jason and NNT actually met at <a title="Edge Master Class 2009" href="http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/church_venter09/church_venter09_index.html" target="_blank">Edge Master Class 2009</a>) is a serial entrepreneur currently the founder of <a title="Jason Calicans at Mahalo.com" href="http://www.mahalo.com/jason-calacanis" target="_blank">Mahalo.com</a>.  He also hosts <a title="This Week In Startups" href="http://thisweekinstartups.com/2009/12/twist-30-with-annie-duke/" target="_blank">ThisWeekInStartups.com</a>, a weekly online tv show featuring interviews with web entrepreneurs. But he also plays poker. So he invited professional poker player Annie Duke onto the show for a special poker-centric episode. (Annie is also the founder of a couple of <a title="Annie Duke's MyMixedNuts.com" href="http://mymixednuts.com/" target="_blank">companies</a>). A portion of the interview resonated with what I know of the Black Swan and it was very satisfying to even hear this sort of language being used in conversation outside of an NNT talk.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.blackswanreport.com/blog/../media/TWiST-30-Jason-Calacanis-Annie-Duke.mp3">Listen: TWiST-30-Jason-Calacanis-Annie-Duke</a></p>
<p>Notes:<br />skill vs luck axis<br />luck side = social side, things in the world<br />skill side = private side<br />result<br />win/loss<br />privatize good results<br />socialize bad results, i.e. blaming luck<br />But<br />Sometimes when you lose you played well.<br />Sometimes when you lose you played poorly.<br />Sometimes when you win you played well.<br />Sometimes when you win you played poorly.</p>
<p>Have to examine performance, in retrospect, in order improve results.</p>
<p>Two of those quadrants you have no control over.<br />So you might as well focus on the ones you do have control over.</p>
<p>Tilt in poker = Tilt is a poker term for a state of mental confusion or frustration in which a player adopts a less than optimal strategy, usually resulting in the player becoming over-aggressive.</p>
<p>Controlling tilt.<br />When we look at the result (of a hand), ask yourself one question first- Was the result in my control?<br />If the answer is no, then why do you care? (Why let it impact you emotionally.)<br />If you didn&#8217;t do anything wrong, if your decision processes are good,  Why get upset?</p>
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