Tag Archives: CNN

Wusses, UK IYIs, Pickard, Mary Beard, Scaramucci, Monsanto, JK Rowling, a Tesla, DNA, Calabrese Barbers, CNN | Twitter

@nntaleb Imbecile, these are the people from the Hama area that UK “scholars” want you to believe are “Africans” (J2 haplogroup is the Med gene). pic.twitter.com/KGycAtl7y1 Permalink 6:28 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Did Hama (Emesa) people have the SubSaharan phenotype? Do you know how they look? Have you seen their DNA? Hahahaha. Only in the UK Permalink 6:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Trying to figure out using @PZalloua ‘s database if Venitians left much imprint… pic.twitter.com/nk7KMPgnJc Permalink 2:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@GeorgeJNasr https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/778702519518187520 Permalink 12:32 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Writing shd be a form of risk taking. Permalink 12:23 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Aramaic du Jour: Qornet as-Sawda is not “Black Corner” from Arabic, but from Aramaic “Mount of Martyrs” Qarno d’Sohdeh.https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/893862311475150849 Permalink 12:03 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I bet you the Facebook “Fake News” marker will be interpreted as “true uncensored news”. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/StefanMolyneux/status/893906875359604736 Permalink 11:52 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Quand les chrétiens du Liban ont-ils commencé à parler français ?”https://medium.com/p/quand-les-chr%C3%A9tiens-du-liban-ont-ils-commenc%C3%A9-%C3%A0-parler-fran%C3%A7ais-faedb960cbdb Permalink 10:26 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb (this is fun… a lot of fun) pic.twitter.com/nxRQEcyr4m Permalink 10:15 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@ektrit Taleb is the ultimate practitioner of Fuckoffism. Two parameters needed: 1) Be empirically knowledgeable. 2) Be financially independenthttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/893820093896982528 Permalink 10:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb About the wusses in UK (and other) universities. pic.twitter.com/yeDd7lpVke Permalink 9:57 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@emiliodib J’ai pu l’améliorer un peu grâce à quelques commentaires. Êtes-vous à l’origine de la remarque concernant François 1er ? Permalink 8:17 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Wusses in UK intelligentsia who hate the Pol.Cor.Gestapo yet are afraid to speak. They study in detail Ceasar, Hanbl, but they are wusses. Permalink 6:31 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@amyalkon What was done to Tim Hunt was terrible, & people (inc me) defended. @BoraZ never guilty of still-ruinous accusation http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2015/07/03/bora_zivkovic_r.html ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/AYEXtGEZh5″> pic.twitter.com/AYEXtGEZh5 Permalink 6:10 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb UK pol. cor. Gestapo managed to destroy EVERY researcher they went after, including Tim Hunt (Nobel) They can’t do NOTHING to me Actually… Permalink 6:04 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You don’t fucking understand that “looking good” and *what people think of me* has NEVER been part of my agenda? Permalink 5:51 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I got >1000 insults hurled at me by the Brit IYI mob, posts on hist newsletters, etc. I am still around (haha) What wd break me? 10^5? 10^6? Permalink 5:49 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@heyjohnnyross keep up the great work NNT, their superficial walls are beginning to crumble Permalink 5:23 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The general kills the particular! pic.twitter.com/cE88fZ6w1P Permalink 5:11 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Chers amis, quelqu’un peut etre interesse a traduire en francais?https://medium.com/@nntaleb/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 Permalink 5:03 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From the Bed of Procrustes. (Why the Brits don’t like my calling Mary Beard who is a bullshitter, bullshitter): https://www.amazon.com/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms/dp/1400069971/ref=bxgy_cc_b_img_a ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/0RN2OX3dB2″> pic.twitter.com/0RN2OX3dB2 Permalink 5:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “When did Lebanese Christians Start Speaking French?”https://medium.com/p/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 Permalink 1:55 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Thought experiment: If the child does not have his father’s DNA, who will you trust, the social narrative, i.e., “history”, or the DNA? Permalink 1:03 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@BlackSwanReport #Monsanto Secret Documents @nntalebhttps://www.baumhedlundlaw.com/toxic-tort-law/monsanto-roundup-lawsuit/monsanto-secret-documents/ Permalink 11:02 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Is it lying when getting a TLS forum to report a twitter spat while distorting the tweets? @nntaleb @wmarybeardhttps://twitter.com/tlitb/status/893493193538326529 Permalink 10:38 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb These UK IYIs think that just picking random insults from “manual of platitutes for low IQ historians” will stop the spread of my argument.https://twitter.com/MikeStuchbery_/status/893510188011048960 Permalink 9:37 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Hmm, swapping the chron. order and hiding the clear cause of the citation retort seems pretty dodgy from a historian @nntaleb @wmarybeard pic.twitter.com/5yBer0iaeD Permalink 8:25 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You can shout “injustice” if someone is taller than you, require compensation for hurt feelings. Freedom of expression is ROBUST. Kapish? Permalink 7:57 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Between Trump’s directness & leaks the Trump admin is the most transparent in living memory–despite its policies. Good or bad? Permalink 7:41 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@christophermah3 We’ve only had troops in Afghanistan for 16 years. Give the strategy time to work.https://twitter.com/JewhadiTM/status/893473470415343617 Permalink 7:08 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You need to do something about Grand Inquisitors such as @david_colquhounhttps://medium.com/incerto/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 6:53 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Something is Broken in the UK Intellectual Sphere.”https://medium.com/p/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 6:01 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Why WikiLeaks is the best friend of the American peoplehttps://fighting15th.com/2017/04/16/wikileaks-is-not-our-enemy/ Permalink 4:49 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Mr. Jim Pickard @PickardJE, I understand you like fake news… but why are you proud of being unethical?https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 Permalink 4:20 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This confirms our genetic distance based on mitocondria between Leb & further north w/@PZalloua Canaanites were not “Semitic”https://twitter.com/ancientorigins/status/893418759989456896 Permalink 4:13 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb OK, finalized the subtitle: Skin in the Game The Underlying Matrix of Daily Life Permalink 3:47 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The exercise allows us to understand Fat Tails. From my book with @DrCirillo (my class notes at NYU) pic.twitter.com/XF2EeSR3vM Permalink 2:33 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 1) Heuristic to get fat tails: Conditional of an event killing 1 billion in 2018, what is most likely? Pandemic Cancer Nuclear accident? Permalink 2:25 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Once I catch someone like Mary Beard in the act of bullshitting, I cease to read additional comments/posts by her & her friends. Kapish? Permalink 1:52 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Indeed, nuclear is thin-tailed & not under Precautionary P, just vigilance. Very dangerous but no systemic effects, unlike GMOs/epidemics Permalink 1:39 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Ad Hominem was started by Mary Beard. I turned it on her. She subsequently misrepresented the exchange. 1 designation: bullshitter. Kapish? Permalink 7:49 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If that’s how Mary Beard bullshits about her exchange with me, how can anyone trust her historical reports? No more use for her. Permalink 7:29 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Evidence that Ms Beard is a bullshitter. She tried to degrade me to “pop risk” until I compated the “pop” to HERs. Her report. Bullshitter! pic.twitter.com/XuaYt7eLCi Permalink 7:27 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Deeper problem in the UK: the PolCorrect police terrorizes academics wusses & few dare speak up ag. the BS. UK Academics are too insecure. Permalink 7:18 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Kate Cooper and Kaitlin Green are taking the scholarly approach; it is a matter of S Med phenotype & worth engagin.Beard is useless; ignore Permalink 6:53 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The royal way is to quietly study quizzes on @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 6:37 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Some ignorance on the part of Ms Beard: classifying Pple of Tiddis, Roman times “nonwhite” equiv. to classifying London Italians as such Permalink 6:13 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb For those interested in our program w/ @DrCirillo to introduce statistical/probabilistic rigor into historiography. https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=64BtMdsAAAAJ&sortby=pubdate&citation_for_view=64BtMdsAAAAJ:mZB2-lCpWbQC Permalink 5:33 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I am sure that you agree: history shd be accurate representation of past empirical reality not cherry-picked saliency/ availability biases. Permalink 5:16 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@careygillam After release of dox showing ghostwriting, paying of scientists, @MonsantoCo seeks harsh sanctions on plaintiffs’ attorneys. Gloves are off.https://twitter.com/careygillam/status/892914920517496832 Permalink 6:25 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This time I am off the hook! Figured out a proof for this case by brute force rather than thinking. pic.twitter.com/x55GhtC0wv Permalink 4:31 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@CutTheKnotMath The nature’s greatest artist: pufferfish http://1funny.com/pufferfish-courtship/ #math #mathphoto HT Lyonya Medvedovsky ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/IprpwPHcxE”> pic.twitter.com/IprpwPHcxE Permalink 9:57 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 9:03 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A potential explanation is that Aliens abducted all of them. Hey, I am not an expert on Alien history. Permalink 7:09 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry the answer is NOT there. Try again: where did the genes evaporate? Permalink 6:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb There is ONE & only ONE question that @wmarybeard needs to answer, & it is: “Where did the diversity genes evaporate?” All the rest is tawk. Permalink 6:34 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So,”Astrology fails to work on data”. @wmarybeard “How many books on Astrology have you read? You don’t see the nuances” This is 2017! Permalink 6:25 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Pbm vastly more general than @wmarybeard: there is this absence of intellectual rigor in humanities, ANECDOTAL is mistaken for STATISTICAL. pic.twitter.com/gkczkA2MvZ Permalink 5:44 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This is what people say when the data contradicts all their beliefs.https://twitter.com/wmarybeard/status/892709792468393985 Permalink 5:17 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Friends, can you find antecedents to the “availability heuristic” in the literature? Permalink 5:14 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Genetic data =>Ms Beard:”dont think you have many qualifications in nuanced historical analysis”. This is what is commonly known as bullshit Permalink 4:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I apologize if you perceived it as an “insult” (and BTW I’ve offered your last book as Xmas present), but I need to compress. Permalink 4:41 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The term “unsurprising” is now used as a substitute for *representative* population and “diversity”? Who are you fooling? “Scholarship?” Permalink 4:37 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry Ms Beard if you are insulted by data, but here is some more. BTW Mr Morley’s blog is not “evidence”, just anecdotal reasoning. pic.twitter.com/KQ3BTEY0c5 Permalink 4:06 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The ONLY other possible explanation is that ALL the “diversity” women had no girls, ALL “diversity” men had no boys, proba ~ 1 in trillions. Permalink 3:58 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Well, Ms Beard… Scientific evidence IS available. Where did the Subsaharan genes evaporate? (w/interMed trading for 25 C.) Stop the BS. pic.twitter.com/bRfgFfNdiW Permalink 3:31 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb When @wmarybeard says “firm evidence”, god knows what this means. In science evidence is statistical, != backed up historical anecdote. Permalink 7:32 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb We have a clear idea of genetic distributions hence backward composition; genes better statisticians than historian hearsay bullshit. Permalink 7:09 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Historians believe their own BS. Where did the subsaharan genes evaporate? NorthAfricans were lightskinned. Only “Aethiopians”, even thenhttps://twitter.com/wmarybeard/status/889925415032299520 Permalink 7:08 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Answer in here with real world application. I did a bootstrap for variance reasons. pic.twitter.com/UDCPZJxWRE Permalink 6:12 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A probability Quiz. pic.twitter.com/AIofc0udvQ Permalink 5:57 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Courage is the only virtue you can’t fake. Permalink 9:20 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Using quotes by modern psychologists is the bullshitter’s imitation of depth. #LindyEffecthttps://twitter.com/dmichaelsnyder/status/892412903357394944 Permalink 8:56 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So how many of the articles by @HenryiMiller on @ProSyn are written by Monsanto? Or those he wrote against our PP http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html ?https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/892385165376278528 Permalink 7:12 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Why cursing signals independence, even aristocracy (same chapter in Skin in the Game) pic.twitter.com/hO2Zl3cPfJ Permalink 6:03 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The tragedy of Anthony @Scaramucci is that one cannot be both alpha, free, direct and … have a supervisor.https://medium.com/incerto/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6 Permalink 5:36 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/597fc800e4b0d187a5968fbf Permalink 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/597fc800e4b0d187a5968fbf Permalink 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The problem is IYIs not understanding inequality https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/892143453215346689 Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 11) For the Tesla, the put option embedded in lease ~ %15 of initial price. Breakeven is a 35% drop in used-car mkt. Price for uncertainty! Permalink 7:50 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@JasonL3d Yeah something snapped inside of me the other day when I finally understood this idea I got from Nassim Taleb’s bookhttps://twitter.com/jasonl3d/status/891015399847993346 Permalink 6:30 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 10) On the optimality of buying vs leasing (& optionality of lease), how much does a Tesla currently lose in % after 3 y &/or 36000 miles? Permalink 3:34 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath My apologies and appreciation to every one who noticed and point out the typo pic.twitter.com/qc43Y9TAUt Permalink 1:11 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Time to refresh the smear artists http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/smear.html Permalink 12:29 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb People want to buy the argument by Pinker, via shoddy statistics, that the state LOWERED violence. It did not.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/892024628755017728 Permalink 9:35 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: The SP500 negative extremes follow the standard Extreme Value Distribution, not the positive extremes pic.twitter.com/HG0MOKBSHS Permalink 8:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb JK Rowling should write fiction in her books not in her tweets using Virtue Signaling with children. The liar did not remove tweet. Liar. pic.twitter.com/wirfcNNRYD Permalink 7:51 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From genetics w @Zalloua, Church founders in Levant & AsiaMinor looked as Lebanese,same they did 3800 years ago, SAME as Southern Europeans. pic.twitter.com/OTLL9ycLPc Permalink 7:18 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Attempt to make church leaders look nonEuropean is a fraud. Genes show they looked like S. Europeans/Meds @PZallouahttps://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4 Permalink 6:57 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From #SkinintheGame You get more results, more peace reducing the State Dept staff & interventionistas. pic.twitter.com/BN8tw80TVq Permalink 4:59 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 9) It remains that the most subsidized industries (via taxpayer stop) have been Auto & Banking. Turned both into living carcasses. #Tesla Permalink 4:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.https://twitter.com/brhodes/status/891770632337227776 Permalink 6:38 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 8) I understand the EV costs energy to make. How about other cars: do they grow on trees? Permalink 4:03 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 7) +Battery depletion [V. small for 50k miles] +Fragility of car [have WARRANTY] I plug at home… I fail to see a compelling arg. ag Tesla. Permalink 2:08 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 6) Rational arguments ag. electric: +Electric =fossil [NOT in NY] +Range anxiety [99% of my driving<80m] +Refill [Plug v.convenient for me] Permalink 2:04 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: Extremes for SP500 are independent for negative, dependent for >0. Gumbel test @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com/sKMHf60CWK Permalink 1:45 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In SiculoCalabrese, “Capisci” not quite pronounced “Kapish”, more like “Gabish”, w/the G almost a Semitic Qof. What shd I use in my books? Permalink 10:12 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Then why don’t you use petrol/diesel cell phones and laptops? Permalink 8:30 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb (cont) Honor is necessary, but not sufficient. Tired of the sophistry w/ counterexamples from Mafia, etc. Permalink 7:51 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Honor and Soul in the Game pic.twitter.com/fl8Vydx2Bm Permalink 5:49 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@primalpoly Which journalists should we trust? Whoever risks assassination or ostracism by reporting on civilization’s real enemies. #skininthegame Permalink 12:27 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 5) Skin in the game: I waited to buy a Tesla before commenting… Permalink 11:32 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4) Yesterday, I replaced my lemon MiniCooper Flaneurmobile with a Tesla, wondering why I didn’t do it before. Permalink 11:28 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 3) We wasted 120 years not focusing on the battery… Permalink 11:22 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) The Tesla needs no oil change, no regular visits to the dealer so he could overcharge you for maintenance, no nothing. Permalink 11:21 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Is it me or is it that when you see a Tesla you realize there has been a conspiracy to make us drive complicated crap for 50 years? Permalink 11:15 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is true. I have been unfollowing/blocking every p who spread & did not retract. @jk_rowling is personally & intellectually despicable.https://twitter.com/PrisonPlanet/status/891340518206177286 Permalink 10:00 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Centrally, unlike genetics-based medicine (huge dimensionality problems), DNA is very robust to parentage. You know your origin at ~10^-10 Permalink 8:47 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Volatility clustering, roughly seen. If we dig, we can see that: 1) It is NOT self-exciting Poisson 2) It is NOT stochastic vol. “Rough Vol” pic.twitter.com/J1HEZGJJGa Permalink 8:24 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb #somethingIlearnedtoday People on the “left” have higher school scores People on the “left” can’t figure out complex systems Problem=school Permalink 8:05 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Something I learned today: The SP500 is Fat Tailed because of serial dependence. pic.twitter.com/zJFZLEdgma Permalink 6:56 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Uncomfortable for some that, in spite of claims by some of “Arab descent”, no imprint in the genes/culture. “Arab nationalism” is dead. Permalink 6:17 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb We need to rewrite history. History belongs to scientists, not historians. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10155103605033375 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/YFJSK159g6″> pic.twitter.com/YFJSK159g6 Permalink 6:10 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This 99% chimp theory is TOTAL BS. DNA is based on genetic distance or rigorous divergence metrics, not raw comparisons. Permalink 5:51 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Canaanite discovery by @PZalloua et al supports the idea that history was LESS VIOLENT than reported by historianshttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 5:25 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bravo. This is the paper to read.https://twitter.com/MuhammedKambal/status/891062446433210372 Permalink 4:10 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Both Lister and his boss shd be in Guantanamohttps://twitter.com/ehsani22/status/891058067508535301 Permalink 3:13 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 2 from the 2017 IMO http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/IMO2017_Problem2.shtml #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Ib3QjkW9dB”> pic.twitter.com/Ib3QjkW9dB Permalink 10:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Calabrese barbers, my friends for 25 y pic.twitter.com/MjowvaUuSQ Permalink 8:14 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are from the minorities that the “rebels” want to ethnically cleanse. Permalink 6:35 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb An interesting style math problem from the 2017 Olympiad. (2nd most difficult) Also #FF @CutTheKnotMath who keeps us sharp with these. pic.twitter.com/lkLtOqbkUT Permalink 6:32 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Incidentally, 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are minorities. https://www.imo-official.org/team_r.aspx?code=SYR&year=2017 Permalink 6:28 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The problem is never the problem. It is how @ForeignPolicy deals with it that is the main problem. Permalink 6:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Tried to portray son of Syria’s Assad as a loser who “flucked” math test. Turned out math test was Olympiad & he got Honor. Men. DESPICABLE. Permalink 6:12 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The editor of @ForeignPolicy doesn’t know what a mathematics Olympiad is. Worse: he doesn’t want to know.https://twitter.com/benpauker/status/890916557332807680 Permalink 5:53 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I mean right under the bronze. Permalink 5:41 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “Never trust a journalist, except if she is your mother”, Bed of Procrusteshttps://twitter.com/Scaramucci/status/890736308498378753 Permalink 5:20 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This needs a retraction, @benpauker. Young Hafez got an Honorable Mention, 1 rank under the silver medal. Is @ForeignPolicy so bad?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/889845014133649410 Permalink 4:45 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@GreenRupertRead Watch/share, on climate/precaution: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmcokyx6Tbk&feature=youtu.be & See also my jt piece on exactly this with @nntaleb: http://www.blackswanreport.com/blog/2015/05/our-statement-on-climate-models/ Permalink 11:45 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A diagnosis for a mental disease that is 100% nonimaginary is working for CNNhttps://twitter.com/fridaghitis/status/890748661109596161 Permalink 6:46 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There are fit-all words such as ‘narcissistic’ that God created for idiots without a precise argument. Permalink 6:38 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci is being direct, natural, and nononsense. Get used to people who say it the way it is.https://twitter.com/EvanRFrost/status/890729509573586944 Permalink 5:25 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally, someone is using my language.https://twitter.com/Chris_arnade/status/890691079217065985 Permalink 3:54 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb No self respecting Squid Ink eater will EVER put cheese on a fish pasta. Kapish? Permalink 3:23 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink with farro grain, Tbone steak and a lot of probability with statistician @philipbstark pic.twitter.com/i7G4uwUOno Permalink 3:19 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is actually true. Women under “rebel” areas are treated like 2nd hand furniture.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/890684001492631552 Permalink 2:33 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Confirmation of the theory that populations, once they settle in an empty spot, stay there. http://phy.so/420375602 via @physorg_com Permalink 2:10 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “malignant alliance betw powerful bureaucracies & MidEast allies” agst Amer interests, => terrorism” http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/how-cia-and-allies-trapped-obama-in-syrian-arms-debacle/ via @amconmag Permalink 6:37 AM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci understands health care is centrally a scaling problem! Grrrrrrrrreat news.https://twitter.com/newday/status/890181198940696576 Permalink 3:02 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@ScottAdamsSays Show me a person who has followed this sort of reading path and I’ll show you someone I want to work with.https://twitter.com/realwesmyers/status/890301665454305280 Permalink 2:54 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The minority rule failed to work! Why? It imposes too much costs on others.http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40729996 Permalink 10:05 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb CAN YOU TAKE MY NAME OFF THAT CRAP? Permalink 9:38 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb One day.https://twitter.com/romanletters/status/890226409163063301 Permalink 8:13 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A Copt (Egyptian Christian, pre-Arab invasion) moves to France, away from persecution, & vows to preserve France from the same invasion.https://twitter.com/JeanMessiha/status/889569976704749568 Permalink 8:11 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@DShaywitz Also – those noting serendipity relevant to drug discovery – I discussed this in @FT in 2008 w/@nntaleb https://www.ft.com/content/b735787c-5d9b-11dd-8129-000077b07658 Permalink 7:59 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Some pple criticizing economists because they “use math”. But they can’t even use math: they VIOLATE elementary probability theory. pic.twitter.com/6oiaoWEIkt Permalink 4:32 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A lesson for SaudiBarbaria Tsar Alexsndr II who freed the serfs,made reforms was assassinated You suddenly give rights, they want much more Permalink 3:44 PM – 25 Jul 2017

CNN, Ad Hominem, Scale, Fareed Zakaria, Miller, Sugar, Models, GMO Trolls | Twitter

I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles (Revised )” https://t.co/LF4asSykFM

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) July 1, 2017

@nntaleb Starts around :55 Permalink 3:25 PM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I was wondering if someone knows the lyrics/name of this. I saw the performers in Granada. The singer is Paya.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_aSOZ9YKARg&list=WL&index=7 Permalink 3:22 PM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb #BF Block on Friday: every person who follows CNN. Permalink 12:31 PM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Modernity: we go much, much better at explaining than understanding. Permalink 12:08 PM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Buy real estate they call overpriced Read books called overrated Invest in markets called “irrational” Do things you enjoy but can’t explain Permalink 11:28 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@normonics accords with my priors: individualism enables voluntary collectives (which are superior to involuntary collectives).https://twitter.com/SteveStuWill/status/883305042484248576 Permalink 10:47 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A Not Quite Cyclic Inequality http://www.cut-the-knot.org/arithmetic/algebra/NotQuiteCyclicInequality.shtml #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/MLxgTxzno9″> pic.twitter.com/MLxgTxzno9 Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb (cont) you can have a large distributor. Large producers usually fail. Permalink 6:46 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@normonics my take with application to a Monsanto shillhttp://jwnorman.com/?page_id=237 Permalink 6:09 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “Economies of scale” are not compatible with reduced survival in SP500, or extinction of large animals. Large is fragile. See #Antifragile Permalink 5:59 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Actually, ad hominem is NOT a logical fallacy is case of “opinion”. MDs= credentials. Courts require credentials before opinion.https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/883304333848215552 Permalink 5:57 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Even the counterample, BOEING, is a coordinator of hundreds of small suppliers & 000s sub-suppliers. Permalink 4:43 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb CNN never retracted the Aleppo stories that we now know are fake These BS vendors need a terminal lawsuit. storyhttp://nyp.st/2sklry1 Permalink 4:24 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Simply: Find A restaurant that has >200 tables and serves good food A large winery that makes drinkable wine Same w/farms Permalink 4:03 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Scale matters: small/medium is beautiful, more stable & genuinely more efficient long term. Large becomes top-down.https://twitter.com/foeeurope/status/883259295990730752 Permalink 3:33 AM – 7 Jul 2017

@pauld1981 FK-U muscles weight lifting allow you use in any conversation, see NNT discussion abt looking like a bodyguardhttps://twitter.com/EngageTheRebels/status/882617642556817409 Permalink 3:43 PM – 6 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Heuristics for an unhappy country https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10155029966868375 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Qr0Pqu21AN”> pic.twitter.com/Qr0Pqu21AN Permalink 2:55 PM – 6 Jul 2017

@nntaleb As we saw with the Gawker story, journalists fail to get the First Amendment. So with sub-intellects of CNN…https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/883031709771603968 Permalink 11:44 AM – 6 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Apologies, the con artist is @Charles_Lister, I tagged the wrong person. Permalink 9:06 AM – 6 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Why does @Ehsani22 a v. successful, smart man who knows Syria, keeps fighting with shoddy, low-IQ, AlQaeda/Qatar shills like @CharlesLister?https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/882984305617760258 Permalink 8:39 AM – 6 Jul 2017

@DrCirillo Why you should be careful when using the Gini index under fat tails. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1707.01370.pdf Joint with @nntaleb and A. Fontanari. Permalink 2:17 AM – 6 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “All models are wrong, many are useful, some are deadly.” [SITG]https://twitter.com/DataSciFact/status/882664195652820992 Permalink 11:21 AM – 5 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A @CutTheKnotMath problem solved by cheating via computational mathematics. https://www.dropbox.com/s/yafwobxq7nkl32i/bogojuly5.tex?dl=0 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/qJ7V9sPVvo”> pic.twitter.com/qJ7V9sPVvo Permalink 9:57 AM – 5 Jul 2017

@wgryan I’d gladly give you the code, but watching @nntaleb bat people around like a cat with a rubber mouse is too fun. Permalink 9:30 PM – 4 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Free-markets: a mechanism by which the strong continuously & unrelentlessly preys on the strong.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 8:40 AM – 4 Jul 2017

@nntaleb GINI paper with @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com/VdlxCjCCrT Permalink 8:05 AM – 4 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Here is who Henry I Miller is:https://usrtk.org/hall-of-shame/why-you-cant-trust-henry-miller-on-gmos/ Permalink 2:40 PM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “If powerful assholes don’t find you arrogant, you are doing something wrong.” (B. of Proc.) (Henry Miller is a shill for Monsanto & oth.) pic.twitter.com/GT4tEpJzUb Permalink 2:32 PM – 3 Jul 2017

@_aleferres @nntaleb antique roman concrete is a great example of antifragility and lindy effecthttp://www.nature.com/news/seawater-is-the-secret-to-long-lasting-roman-concrete-1.22231 Permalink 2:01 PM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb techne vs epistemehttps://twitter.com/iMetaldog/status/881901916929773573 Permalink 8:53 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb And there is conflation between eating “too much” meat and “too often” (i.e. lack of fasting). https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/RWRI%205/medicine.pdf Permalink 8:22 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I block fools at the first such remark as “excuse to disenfranchise & persecute ppl”. Permalink 7:36 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb So the problem could be nitrate, not meat. Kapish? Permalink 7:27 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb If we’ve been eating animals for > 300 million years & some “study” says it’s “unhealthy”, odds study is wrong/misspecified. #LindyEffect Permalink 7:17 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Rather, We’re eating too much sugar and it’s making us sickhttps://twitter.com/careygillam/status/881863793571229697 Permalink 6:35 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@Protect_Wldlife What senseless waste. Why would you kill such a gentle creature? For ‘sport’?!? Please RT if you want a global ban on ALL trophy hunting. pic.twitter.com/kdFUNjentf Permalink 4:17 AM – 3 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A marker for a charlatan: someone who uses arguments type”this is the best model we have”. Skin in the game pple use ONLY reliable models. Permalink 5:34 PM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A marker for a charlatan: someone who uses arguments type”this is the best model we have”. Skin in the game pple use ONLY reliable models. Permalink 5:34 PM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb All models are wrong. Some are lethal.https://twitter.com/2qaz1wsx/status/881620673596186624 Permalink 2:18 PM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Do you use the map of Tokyo in Rome? Or better nothing? Why is it that people don’t get that nothing beats BS. Permalink 2:04 PM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Gawker’s predatorial voyeurism (>20yo college girls) has NOTHING to do w/free-speech Tort laws protect citizens Journos are self-serving.https://twitter.com/nobodyspeakfilm/status/878231698470719489 Permalink 11:20 AM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb To the freq. question, “which book to learn probability?” DO NOT start w/books. Do zillions of Monte Carlo, play & play until you get it. Permalink 7:48 AM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Where I explain why if some psychology results is not BS, your grandmother already knows about ithttps://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf Permalink 7:14 AM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Socialscience trying to look like science is like an aged man w/dyed hair & excessive facial surgery; ends up looking both v. old & v. fake. Permalink 7:08 AM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The core of the problem: 1) social scientists want to “learn statistics” w/o understanding probability. 2) social science is NOT science.https://twitter.com/yzilber/status/881404277612101632 Permalink 6:10 AM – 2 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A sign of development for a country is in the lack of prestige for government officials. Permalink 5:26 PM – 1 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The Roman army did not employ slaves (except during one Punic war). Only the free can fight. Permalink 1:52 PM – 1 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Marion Nestle @marionnestle needs to have Ukrainian hacker friends who block the low-IQ Monsanto trolls.http://www.alternet.org/food/my-blog-no-longer-accepts-comments-thanks-gmo-trolls#.WVgJPGlbW8E.twitter Permalink 1:44 PM – 1 Jul 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb Found an old gem from rereading #FooledByRandomness. Great, great book indeed. pic.twitter.com/pUe8XiBaKM Permalink 9:55 AM – 1 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The problem with psychology & other BS sciences: they are highly convincing, but only temporarily so. Permalink 7:11 AM – 1 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles (Revised )”https://medium.com/p/why-each-one-should-eat-his-own-turtles-revised-8a4be2f11e61 Permalink 5:47 AM – 1 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) It is hard to define “fairness”, “justice” & other terms by SJW; never hard to define freedom. Libertarians put liberty over all else. Permalink 11:21 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Liberty prevails over other concerns s.a. “fairness”, “democracy”: It is analytically & legally much more robust.https://www.aspeninstitute.org/aspen-journal-of-ideas/eight-misconceptions-free-speech-campus/ Permalink 11:19 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb BTW here is the main distinction between AntiFragility & Robustness https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/finaltalebdouady%20QUANTITATIVE%20FINANCE.pdf.pdf Permalink 11:07 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Cans someone educate that idiot?https://twitter.com/NielsPflaeging/status/880805101518106625 Permalink 10:29 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Western Syria: mostly J2 haplogroup, w/some R1b from Neolithic settlements. Eastern Syria: mostly J1. Just a comment.https://twitter.com/BBassem7/status/880431308010213377 Permalink 8:13 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Solution, a bit of work. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/bogomolnyJune302017.tex ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/toMUSQwF25″> pic.twitter.com/toMUSQwF25 Permalink 4:47 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@gazmills14 @mrjamesob Mr @nntaleb has an excellent solution to ensure corners are not cut & risky practices are not hidden – apply skin in the game pic.twitter.com/V8Fwg8KHC0 Permalink 3:02 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Riemann Surfaces, sort of. Below is the Abr. & Stig. now used for 50 years! pic.twitter.com/vDJoDNrAv8 Permalink 2:55 AM – 30 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Not enough. As we saw with Gawker, they can increase ratings by predation over individuals. Permalink 12:19 PM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb It’s a bad idea to NOT sue CNN, @Scaramucci. Unless CNN has skin in the game, they will continue harming citizens. http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/340005-scaramucci-reports-on-threats-of-legal-action-against-cnn-overblown#.WVVRfmY5ALk.twitter Permalink 12:15 PM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Usually, if I insult someone, it is that 1) I have written him off as a bullshitter (Pinker), 2) I find him dangerous somewhere… Permalink 11:53 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Regulation vs Legal Systems pic.twitter.com/6LH7wbdS30 Permalink 11:52 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb You remember the insults you received far more than those you gave. Permalink 11:13 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb MSM media is pro-AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/Souria4Syrians/status/880133359086776320 Permalink 8:02 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb QUIZ duJour: Find 2 variables X and Y with 0 correlation, yet are 100% “dependent”,( if you know what a realization of X, you guess Y.) Permalink 6:14 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb The map misses J2 in Italy (South, Estrusca) “una una faccia una razza”, Corsica, & Western Spain, & R1a in Anatolia/Levant. @fadyasly Permalink 6:00 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Simplifies everything.https://twitter.com/fadyasly/status/880399623843663879 Permalink 5:39 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@nntaleb If you were Greek in 1901, the place to be would have been Alexandria, Constantinople, Smyrna,.., perhaps Beirut. Not Athens. Nation States!https://twitter.com/CCavafy/status/880332402165501958 Permalink 1:19 AM – 29 Jun 2017

@EvaKerner .@CBinsights asking @nntaleb of #blackswans his take on cryptocurrencies: alternative currencies not signed by Larry Summers is paramount. pic.twitter.com/8UsGfDniG9 Permalink 2:18 PM – 28 Jun 2017

@hazelmulhare ‘we are not made for comfort’ Wow. @nntaleb unbelievably excellent talk on ‘anti fragile’ at #futurefintech pic.twitter.com/iT54IdfyQY Permalink 2:14 PM – 28 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Gettinghttps://twitter.com/lcdavis1225/status/880150871241367552 Permalink 1:03 PM – 28 Jun 2017

@investingidiocy To recap: Rule #1: We don’t talk about Fight Club Rule #2: …. or The Wolf of Wall Street And Rule #3: We don’t troll @nntaleb Permalink 2:08 AM – 28 Jun 2017

@vxschmid @nntaleb says this is when the ketchup blasts out of the bottle #igwt17 @RonStoeferle pic.twitter.com/mp0NJUgVFj Permalink 8:25 AM – 27 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Self assessment. Like economics. pic.twitter.com/WD1W9WKVpf Permalink 7:40 AM – 27 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Is fragile what wants minimum variation around the average. Definition.https://twitter.com/jaipresto/status/879603544986353665 Permalink 3:05 AM – 27 Jun 2017

CNN, Fatty Lamb, Easter, Minsk, UAL, Palm Sunday, Donaldo, Facta Non Verba, Peter Hitchens | Twitter

@nntaleb I speculate that no gym machine can raise one’s BPM (beats per minute) more than sprinting outside, particularly uphill. True? Permalink 6:31 AM – 18 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb My humble attempt of conveying the concepts “iatrogenics” and “negative convexity effect” from #Antifragile in one strip. pic.twitter.com/hBXeESTlvI Permalink 10:40 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Today, The Black Swan turns 10 years old. (Fooled by Randomness is ~16 y.o., Procrustes ~7, and Antifragile ~5) Permalink 9:11 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms Trump only cares about Sunni, not Shiite children (I’d expand that claim beyond Trump to most media & think tanks).http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-suicide-attack-refugee-buses-trump-only-cares-sunni-children-a7687066.html Permalink 5:44 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@nntaleb We need to help CNN go out of business. I involuntarily get their propaganda in lounges as they blast the #fakenewshttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 Permalink 5:36 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Was this week in 4 airline lounges” Warsaw, Vienna, Minsk, NY. ALL were blasting CNN How do we get airport lounges to stop having #fakenews?https://twitter.com/dancohen3000/status/853352680336523265 Permalink 5:27 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Rule I’ve learned today. After 47 vegan days (with v. few exceptions), do not overeat fatty lamb. Permalink 5:15 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@JulianAssange After the massacre of shiite refugee families in Syria yesterday let’s recall the Western media’s original CIA backed “moderate rebel” pic.twitter.com/K8ZiF1Fjmn Permalink 3:53 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Lamb after 47 days pic.twitter.com/JW7FzETLqA Permalink 12:14 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb #LindyEffecthttps://twitter.com/litteracarolina/status/852950922196131841 Permalink 8:28 AM – 16 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms Do a thought experiment: Imagine how much more & intense media coverage would be if Assad had massacred all those civilians yesterday. Permalink 6:13 AM – 16 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms That’s totally nuts if you’ve at all been following the media coverage disparity. Shia lives simply don’t matter.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/853450526834511872 Permalink 8:33 PM – 15 Apr 2017

@since33 Christ is Risen! Khristós Anésti! Hristos voskrese! لمسيح قام! حقا قام! ܫܪܝܪܐܝܬ ܩܡ! Photo: Holy Sepulchre #Easter pic.twitter.com/AbZ8NaYXM7 Permalink 12:12 PM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Intellectual elite”= people selected ability to get: 1 statics, not dynamics 2 actions, not interactions 3 low, not high dimensionality. Permalink 11:34 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The main result of “improvement” by US regime changists (Obama/Hillary) & backing rebels is depletion of original Christians in Syria.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/853285539981787137 Permalink 10:31 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb IYIs are good at “removing” w/o grasping 2nd step/complex systems Removing “dictators” & replacing w… Removing “religion” & replacing w…https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/853292130252582912 Permalink 10:29 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@BrankoMilan This is a good news!https://twitter.com/DeanBaker13/status/853295617787006976 Permalink 10:20 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@thogge Very good. as you elude to, nothing angered Jesus more than virtue-signaling empty-sepulcher Pharisees. saved his toughest rebukes for them Permalink 8:58 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb You cannot truly celebrate Easter if you didn’t pay a price for it: lent & fasting.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/no-worship-without-skin-in-the-game-70b4aa341092 Permalink 5:02 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Borin Johnson has all the shortcomings attributed to Trump by his detractors & none of the qualities assumed by his followers. Permalink 3:59 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@sahouraxo Hundreds of Syrian Christians attended their very first #GoodFriday mass in #Aleppo’s St. Elijah Cathedral in nearly five years. #Syria pic.twitter.com/wVkYT1WysE Permalink 5:18 PM – 14 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb #Antifragile’s chapter 21 provides the framework for today’s @Offshorecomic (books V & VI are just marvelous) #IYI #Academics pic.twitter.com/hyqN5QYla8 Permalink 10:30 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Donald coverging on Isocrates Golden Rule for Foreign Affairs: Treat other nations the way you want yours to be treated #SkinIntheGamehttps://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/852510810287075329 Permalink 6:57 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@KenMcCarthy The idiot news media is STILL confusing denying boarding w VIOLENTLY removing a BOARDED passenger. The latter is literally a criminal act Permalink 6:51 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Question: one has two thin green horizontal stripes, the other a thick longitudinal smear. Permalink 2:19 PM – 13 Apr 2017

@Alexa__Bella The lack of journalistic integrity here is astounding @EliLake~2nd story in 2wks you’ve stolen frm @Cernovich & claimed it as your own~C’mon Permalink 2:07 PM – 13 Apr 2017

@schmittpaula “Washington Post Doesn’t Disclose Writer Supporting Syria Strike Is a Lobbyist for Tomahawk Missile Manufacturer”http://www.alternet.org/grayzone-project/wash-post-writer-supporting-syria-strike-lobbyist#.WO69XR4sew8.twitter Permalink 8:55 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Minsk pic.twitter.com/fPKrpowi97 Permalink 5:50 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Max has a thread on how “Aleppo” side casualties were much less than Mosul; Salafi PR/think tanks promoted “butcher of Aleppo”.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/852469578080956416 Permalink 4:24 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb If someone pays you for anything other than a specific transaction, you are a slave.https://medium.com/incerto/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6 Permalink 3:54 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@wikileaks “[al-Quada] is on our side in Syria”–email from policy advisor to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (Feb 2012) https://wikileaks.org/clinton-emails/emailid/23225#efmAGIAHu ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/k6hIk68nvC”> pic.twitter.com/k6hIk68nvC Permalink 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Paula have you seen many children without… mothers? And that was Nusra. Permalink 11:49 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb She is good. Very good. That’s how statisticians and detectives think.https://twitter.com/partisangirl/status/852219568818802688 Permalink 11:26 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The world is a better place today than it was over the weekend. Now I can go back to working on my Fat Tails papers.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/852183092420857856 Permalink 8:39 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@EHSANI22 Leading CW expert Theodor Postol of MIT just published a 14-page document questioning WH claims that Sarin was dropped from #Syrian AF plane pic.twitter.com/kMJgxwsN8Z Permalink 8:36 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@0ma6e lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/UTuKZGujX3 Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@13125x lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/UTuKZGujX3 Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The NYT is for and by IYIs like Haberman, insecure philistines & fake intellectuals. The Post is to the point & vastly less pretentious.https://twitter.com/maggienyt/status/852028786358984705 Permalink 10:38 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Great news; looks like we have the answerhttp://nypost.com/2017/04/11/trump-were-not-going-into-syria/ Permalink 9:58 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The worst part of the story is the ongoing smear campaign against the UAL victim, to attenuate their mistreatment. Permalink 8:30 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Think tankers & journos are usually low IQ, intell. insecure & living in financial insecurity. They only attack those who cannot harm them. Permalink 6:08 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My idea of writing essays is to make sure the reader has ABSOLUTELY no idea what will be discussed on the next page. Otherwise textbookish.https://twitter.com/Maximilian_H1/status/851806211179675648 Permalink 5:28 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb To those who aren’t traders YET discuss UAL’s “billions in losses” in valuation. The market move today is TOTALLY within noise. pic.twitter.com/LUZXX7KnQ9 Permalink 2:49 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb God bless you if true, @Cernovichhttps://twitter.com/cernovich/status/851897652711104512 Permalink 1:52 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb So this fellow speaks for a group claiming an evidence-based study of the Syrian problem?https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/851861056385417219 Permalink 11:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) To those IYI idiots w/cost-free virtue signaling, I have 6 Syrian refugees on my property in Lebanon. Without #Skininthegame, shut up. Permalink 9:23 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Assad family blew up my house. But I forcefully OPPOSE his removal. Better have a Franco than Gadhafi transitionhttps://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d Permalink 8:52 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@EHSANI22 This type of media-induced policy shift — once called the CNN effect — is not newhttps://www.google.ca/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/04/10/did-media-images-just-change-u-s-policy-in-syria-three-lessons-from-kosovo/ Permalink 7:21 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@DanielLMcAdams With no shame…https://twitter.com/JustinRaimondo/status/851801487285952512 Permalink 7:20 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb At a Seder last night was asked to read a fragment in Aramaic in the original accent.Unprepared for the diacriticals https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/Seder.m4a Permalink 6:57 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Did @realDonaldTrump betray his constituency by taking a neocon fragilista interventionist approach to regime change, or is it just noise? Permalink 5:44 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Real Life is Risk Taking”https://medium.com/p/real-life-is-risk-taking-ac424efd5fcc Permalink 4:58 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Without #skininthegame people keep repeating the same mistakes.https://twitter.com/adamjohnsonNYC/status/851217595957211137 Permalink 4:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Sawiris (a Copt, Severus) is saying that states are attacking terrorists, but ignoring the Sheikhs preaching terror, real source.https://twitter.com/NaguibSawiris/status/851005866165895168 Permalink 4:10 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Instead of increasing the $$, United opted to forcibly remove a passenger. They fughotaboud markets. Do they deserve punishment by markets? Permalink 3:56 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My best profile except that, to retaliate [see story], the angry photographer whom I insulted made my face swell.https://twitter.com/lucknow_leopard/status/851449213028364288 Permalink 8:32 AM – 10 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists in the opposite direction: I will transit in Warsaw instead. Note: you need a Russian visa to transit in Moscow-> Minskhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/850389220241924099 Permalink 7:11 AM – 10 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Scott Ritter’s account is very rational. Something in this CW story seems strange: forensic evidence coming from …AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/851190584752656386 Permalink 2:55 PM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I was actually stuck in ATL for 7 hours. Benefit: Started model of tail risk from flights scheduled too close to one another.https://twitter.com/mikephillips1/status/850842831774154753 Permalink 12:21 PM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Unlike Copts: Shiites, Leb Christians, Alawites & Druze are armed to the teeth They know NO Sunni gov can really protect them #SkinintheGame Permalink 8:53 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@dkbissinger @nntaleb how reading news reduces one’s knowledgehttps://twitter.com/rypauley/status/851034975717687296 Permalink 7:48 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Adding a section to The Intellectual Yet Idiot https://medium.com/incerto/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/cLdJyKhakf”> pic.twitter.com/cLdJyKhakf Permalink 7:23 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@GennadySimanovs since now every economist tried to convince me that opposite is true and 1% of Top doesw not pay taxes at all cc @stevesi @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/5MsFhMdVD0 Permalink 7:21 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Happy Palm Sunday to all. Permalink 6:06 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Now, a strike against the originating Saudi Arabian airfield is needed for consistency. I am certain that pics of children are on the way.https://twitter.com/YemenPostNews/status/850700849424855041 Permalink 2:23 PM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb From reactions of “libertarians” to Syrian strikes: they view + The state as the main agent of war + War as main pretense for state powers. Permalink 1:02 PM – 8 Apr 2017

@Cernovich Entire air strike may be been kayfabe, which was predicted by @ScottAdamsSays, deemed likely by @nntaleb.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4390942/Syria-claims-KNEW-launch-airstrikes.html Permalink 9:51 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb So I too fell for the Tophet baby-killermsmear campaign ag Phoenicians! Children cemeteries were because of … simple children mortality pic.twitter.com/jRzSC1RxfR Permalink 8:35 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@catoletters Nikki Haley begins each UN speech with the Used Car Salesman pitch “Let tell you the truth”, “Let me be honest with you” Permalink 7:17 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) Note: Social media: a) distributes images of children b) unlike MSM doesn’t filter WHICH children to show. This may help peace. Maybe. Permalink 7:16 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2nd order effects: Once you make policy based on PICTURES of children victims, ALL parties will now produce pictures of children. Kapish? Permalink 6:40 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@CamilleOtrakji When the US+UK were working on toppling Iran’s popular prime minister in 1953, the lovely BBC was part of regime change, just like today pic.twitter.com/OMqlfBOQKl Permalink 4:34 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Convexity effect # Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/fermatslibrary/status/850448409777520640 Permalink 7:00 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Not so fast… Something to consider. Egyptians are saying 4 children,5 adults died. Retaliate for death of children by…killing children? pic.twitter.com/dVBLqhpqZ7 Permalink 6:38 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Apparently they spared the runway (2 fighter jets took off today). “Drole de guerre” (phony war). Donaldo playing MSM & libs like a violin. pic.twitter.com/SfvD819J6p Permalink 6:06 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@tlhote A french teacher at the officer academy of St Cyr is explaining in more details in your direction.http://conscientia.fr/2017/04/07/frappe-us-en-syrie-la-nuit-des-dupes-masquait-un-joli-de-coup-de-billard/#more-838 Permalink 2:28 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink in a diluted sauce w/ tomato pic.twitter.com/HrFotSMdGd Permalink 9:47 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists: For the record, I will transit in Moscow airport new week on way to a conference in a neighboring country. Permalink 9:46 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@gt_carter Hey @nntaleb how does it feel to always be right? ;-) Permalink 7:30 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The strike has ~0 military impact. Russians were informed & Syrians could clear area. All it says: no Chem Weapons even if it wasn’t you. Permalink 6:42 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Did Prez Trump do a “Facta Non Verba” on Assad? So he could control him? Yes, he did on Assad, N Korea, China…https://medium.com/incerto/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49 Permalink 5:39 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Media pple of 2017 In Hammurabi’s code, ~3750 y. ago, a false accusation was punished as if the accuser committed the crime. Be careful. Permalink 2:39 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 5) Bravo! While MSM & policymakers are childlishly driven by images, this man is starting a v. rigorous process!!!https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-syria-on-april-4-2017-18448 Permalink 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) Historically blood libels against Jews have taken same shape: generalized hysteria on stories of children kidnapped & drained of blood Permalink 11:06 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He pronounced “Kabish?”https://twitter.com/udaberg/status/850016348268843008 Permalink 9:15 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Investigate, don’t be blinded by emo-pictures. Can be true but 3750 years of justice system shouldn’t be wiped out by Qatari PR !https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/849797885357109249 Permalink 7:50 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Very very unorthodox but it works pic.twitter.com/QVrRhxCTom Permalink 7:26 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am not yet certain that it’s a lie, but I am not certain it is truth. We need more rigorous investigation BEFORE policy statements.https://twitter.com/DanielLMcAdams/status/849871224494804992 Permalink 6:36 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Susan Rice Affair: 1) Today, unlike in 1970, EVERYTHING government officials do leaves indelible traces 2) They are likely to forget it Permalink 6:05 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Slight mistake thta dpesn’t matter for m=0: mad should be \int \sqrt{(x-m)^2} dx Permalink 8:27 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb How BS vendors BS, a sample.https://twitter.com/quinnovator/status/849801913755353088 Permalink 8:19 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@Darius1296 One should do the opposite. A good heuristic would be: the more potent the pictures, the more you question the evidence. Permalink 2:25 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Syria: Are people reacting to the pictures of children or from EVIDENCE? The more potent the pictures, the less you question the evidence. Permalink 2:20 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As you can see, I got this from HIS feed. pic.twitter.com/s7lvHNE638 Permalink 12:14 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Note that 2/4 is 4/2 in US. Kapish? Permalink 12:11 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The plot thickens.https://twitter.com/HKX07/status/849460664376709120 Permalink 11:43 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Probability Du Jour: The border between thin tails & fat tails resides in exponential distribution. Maximum entropy under MAD constraint. pic.twitter.com/cAXWRqVzS9 Permalink 11:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Peter Hitchens, the smart brother http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2017/04/its-wmd-all-over-again-why-dont-you-see-it-.html Permalink 9:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This is how the Fat Tails book looks like pic.twitter.com/7ybHj56YFX Permalink 8:24 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Interesting.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/849635794994286592 Permalink 8:08 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb These MBA charts are repelling, they stand ag. everything classical & rigorous.https://twitter.com/hjarche/status/849626971269189632 Permalink 7:21 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Wildcard criticism: sentences that can apply to anything, s.a. “narcissistic”, “he thinks he knows everything”,… https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154746535088375 Permalink 6:30 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) I understand Tillerson was not a risk-taking entrepreneur, but executive is better, much better than bureaucrat. Kapish? Permalink 5:54 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Paranoia has a statistical analog: Akaike & similar, the ratio of complexity/overparametrization of the fitted function to # data points. Permalink 5:29 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb BS vendors are not used to people like Tillerson who don’t like to spend their lives crafting statements, talk, talk and talk.https://twitter.com/kjhealy/status/849420383753261060 Permalink 3:56 AM – 5 Apr 2017