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Category Archives: Video

Concentration In Equality Monstrously Increased In Obama Regime: Nassim Taleb | CNBC-TV18

Of Black Swans and Intellectual Fallacies | ZEE Jaipur Literature Festival 2017

Published on Jan 22, 2017 Nassim Nicholas Taleb introduced by David McWilliams

Continuous Time Election Forecasting | Youtube

Published on Feb 27, 2017 Uses a continuous time process to price an election; we end up with an option-stule pricing. The martigale approach optimizes the Brier score. The corresponding paper is here: How to Predict an Election (pdf)

Naive empiricism, terrorism & Ebola

Published on Feb 14, 2017 How “evidence” about the risk of terrorism as shown in the NYT and by BS vending journos makes no sense statistically. Explains the difference between classes using principles of Extreme Value Theory EVT without any math.

The Bed of Procrustes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Animated By illacertus