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Category Archives: Facebook

IYI, Minority Rule, Tawk, Lindy Effect, 21, Academia, Dumb Enemies, Salafism | Facebook

[New Version] 9/16/16 The Intellectual Yet Idiot ———————————————————————  It is as irrational to reject all conspiracy theories as it is to accept them. 9/13/16 ——————————————————————— The classical idea is to build mental capacity, physical strength, and moral fortitude to face the world (Antifragile). The modern one is to technologically change the world. 9/12/16 ———————————————————————…/where-you-cannot-generalize-from-knowl… […]

‘My Friend’, Turkey, STALIN, GMOs, Arguing, Scale Dependent Properties, SKIN IN THE GAME | Facebook

Nothing can be both boring and truly important. 7/29/16 To perpetuate a lie, you must whisper it, not shout it. 7/27/16 _______________________________________________________ The expression “my friend”: for a name dropper, it is anyone important; for a politician, anyone who does not vote against him/her; for regular people, a friend; in the mob, “a friend of […]

Macrobullshit, Monsanto, IYI, Metrification, VIOLENCE, GAWKER, The New Artisan | Facebook

The rebellion against the “experts” that we are witnessing can be simplified: experts in some domains like economics, political science, policymaking are not experts. But we know why: PRINCIPLE: it is easier to macrobullshit than microbullshit. So your car mechanic, sushi chef, house painter, espresso machine repairperson, plumber, barber, dentist, Apple genius bar attendant, sanitation […]

Antifragile Medicine, Las Vegas, Real World Risk, Status, Beirut Madinati, Commons, Ethics | Facebook

Friends, this is technical but it maps the ideas of Antifragile to medicine in a formal way. : It is still a draft 5/22/16 —————————————- In Las Vegas at a conference, I explained fragility as nonlinearity: mix a $2,000 bottle of wine with a $10 one. The 2 bottles will be worth less than […]

Tail Probabilities, Ahiqar the Aramaean | Facebook

Finally put my finger on what is wrong with the common belief in psychological findings that people “irrationally” overestimate tail probabilities, calling it a “bias”. Simply, these experimenters assume that people make a single decision in their lifetime! The entire field of psychology of decisions missed the point.* If you take the risk –any risk […]