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Category Archives: John

First Lecture in the Philosophy of Probability

As mentioned in an earlier Tweet from NNT, here’s the link to his recent Princeton philosophy dept. lecture. Title suggests there will be more. Certainly hope so, although for the more general ‘reader’ such as myself, I do wish someone would create a ‘Fat Tony’ version notes page.
http://fooledbyrandomness.com/philo-lecture.htm
For some reason the audio file (direct download [...]

Traveling

I’ll be work-related traveling through Europe until the end of March and won’t be able to spend as much time on the blog. Hopefully nothing major will slip by me, but I might not be as ‘on it’ as I have been the last few months. If you see a Taleb related story breaking you [...]

The Russian Forum Debate: Marc Faber, Hugh Hendry, Nassim Taleb

Aha! Made it to YouTube.Nassim Taleb (Synopsis): Go no-risk with a small percent and high-risk with the rest. For the speculative component, short the S&P and be long in precious metals; bet on hyperinflation with OTM calls on gold and puts on bonds; short USTs as long as Bernanke and Summers are in office; trade [...]

Converting Debt to Equity: Nassim Taleb at The New Yorker Summit

From May 20 2009. Pretty sure I saw this before but somehow it didn’t make it to the site.

nntaleb: Connection with the Cavemen diet (the NYT article) www.fooledbyrandomness.com/whyIwalk.pdf

Shared by JohnH

From the new book? NNT Twitter posts link to 7 pg. chapter entitled “Why I Do All This Walking, or How Systems Become Fragile”
nntaleb: Connection with the Cavemen diet (the NYT article) www.fooledbyrandomness.com/whyIwalk.pdf

The New Cavemen Lifestyle Has Found a Home in the City – NYTimes.com

Shared by JohnH

HatTip to Dave Lull.Context is the Paleo Diet.I first read about Taleb’s approach to health and fitness in this interview he did with Tim Penn. http://knackeredhack.com/2007/05/15/caveman-lunch-with-taleb/
“New York is the only cit…

George Soros: Open Society, the Financial Crisis, and the Way Ahead

Did you know that Soros studied with Popper? I’m half way through this 5 part series where George Soros discusses his philosophy and it’s applications. Here’s the introduction:

You can find the entire video series at the Financial Times site. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/668e074a-bf24-11de-a696-00144feab49a.html?_i_referralObject=11135588&fromSearch=nYou can also subscribe to the Open Society Institute podcast in iTunes. (Link will open [...]

A Skill Game With Random Elements – Poker, Life, You Name It!

 
Jason Calacanis (Jason and NNT actually met at Edge Master Class 2009) is a serial entrepreneur currently the founder of Mahalo.com.  He also hosts ThisWeekInStartups.com, a weekly online tv show featuring interviews with web entrepreneurs. But he also plays poker. So he invited professional poker player Annie Duke onto the show for a special poker-centric [...]

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Dance With Chance – Making Luck Work For You

In a nutshell, Dance with Chance is all about knowing what you can and cannot predict and, therefore, what you can and cannot control.
Think about it. Every day human beings make decisions. Some are important: should you invest your life savings in t…