Skip to content

Monthly Archives: February 2018

Explaining both the XIV trade and why forecasting is BS | Youtube

N N Taleb’s Probability Moocs Published on Feb 10, 2018 Antifragile explains why understanding x is different from f(x) the payoff or exposure from x. Most of the harm/gains come from f(x) being convex or concave not understanding x. Forecasting is off an average, and average is for academics and other morons. This video illustrates […]

Harris, Shermer, Reviews, SKIN IN THE GAME, John Gray, Gini Estimation, Nate Silver, Alexander Bogomolny, Tetlock, Thaler | Twitter

The TIMES has a real review, first one in which the journalist doesn't try to take revenge against author for dissing his profession. — Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) February 24, 2018 @nntaleb Squid Ink Permalink 4:46 PM – 25 Feb 2018 @nntaleb 3) For some background, BS Vendor Sam Harris called me “insufferable”, […]

Jouer sa peau | How to write Lebanese (in Lebanese) | Weak and Strong Non-Ergodicities – Youtube

Jordan Peterson, Hoover Institute, Monsanto, Pinker, Fat Tails, Sam Harris, Jouer sa peau, Bitcoin, Tetlock, Thaler, Palestinians – Twitter

@BadgerPundit   Permalink 8:25 AM – 6 Feb 2018 @nntaleb Any news if $XIV is trading now & what price? Permalink 8:00 AM – 6 Feb 2018 @nntaleb 2) Ancient Egyptians DNA. Please not another Mary Beard BS.   Permalink 2:59 AM – 6 Feb 2018 @nntaleb The discovery that Ancient Egyptians were likely […]