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Wusses, UK IYIs, Pickard, Mary Beard, Scaramucci, Monsanto, JK Rowling, a Tesla, DNA, Calabrese Barbers, CNN | Twitter

@nntaleb Imbecile, these are the people from the Hama area that UK “scholars” want you to believe are “Africans” (J2 haplogroup is the Med gene). Permalink 6:28 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Did Hama (Emesa) people have the SubSaharan phenotype? Do you know how they look? Have you seen their DNA? Hahahaha. Only in the UK Permalink 6:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Trying to figure out using @PZalloua ‘s database if Venitians left much imprint… Permalink 2:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@GeorgeJNasr   Permalink 12:32 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Writing shd be a form of risk taking. Permalink 12:23 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Aramaic du Jour: Qornet as-Sawda is not “Black Corner” from Arabic, but from Aramaic “Mount of Martyrs” Qarno d’Sohdeh.   Permalink 12:03 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I bet you the Facebook “Fake News” marker will be interpreted as “true uncensored news”. #Antifragile   Permalink 11:52 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Quand les chrétiens du Liban ont-ils commencé à parler français ?”   Permalink 10:26 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb (this is fun… a lot of fun) Permalink 10:15 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@ektrit Taleb is the ultimate practitioner of Fuckoffism. Two parameters needed: 1) Be empirically knowledgeable. 2) Be financially independent   Permalink 10:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb About the wusses in UK (and other) universities. Permalink 9:57 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@emiliodib J’ai pu l’améliorer un peu grâce à quelques commentaires. Êtes-vous à l’origine de la remarque concernant François 1er ? Permalink 8:17 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Wusses in UK intelligentsia who hate the Pol.Cor.Gestapo yet are afraid to speak. They study in detail Ceasar, Hanbl, but they are wusses. Permalink 6:31 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@amyalkon What was done to Tim Hunt was terrible, & people (inc me) defended. @BoraZ never guilty of still-ruinous accusation   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 6:10 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb UK pol. cor. Gestapo managed to destroy EVERY researcher they went after, including Tim Hunt (Nobel) They can’t do NOTHING to me Actually… Permalink 6:04 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You don’t fucking understand that “looking good” and *what people think of me* has NEVER been part of my agenda? Permalink 5:51 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I got >1000 insults hurled at me by the Brit IYI mob, posts on hist newsletters, etc. I am still around (haha) What wd break me? 10^5? 10^6? Permalink 5:49 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@heyjohnnyross keep up the great work NNT, their superficial walls are beginning to crumble Permalink 5:23 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The general kills the particular! Permalink 5:11 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Chers amis, quelqu’un peut etre interesse a traduire en francais?   Permalink 5:03 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From the Bed of Procrustes. (Why the Brits don’t like my calling Mary Beard who is a bullshitter, bullshitter):   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 5:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “When did Lebanese Christians Start Speaking French?”   Permalink 1:55 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Thought experiment: If the child does not have his father’s DNA, who will you trust, the social narrative, i.e., “history”, or the DNA? Permalink 1:03 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@BlackSwanReport #Monsanto Secret Documents @nntaleb   Permalink 11:02 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Is it lying when getting a TLS forum to report a twitter spat while distorting the tweets? @nntaleb @wmarybeard   Permalink 10:38 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb These UK IYIs think that just picking random insults from “manual of platitutes for low IQ historians” will stop the spread of my argument.   Permalink 9:37 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Hmm, swapping the chron. order and hiding the clear cause of the citation retort seems pretty dodgy from a historian @nntaleb @wmarybeard Permalink 8:25 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You can shout “injustice” if someone is taller than you, require compensation for hurt feelings. Freedom of expression is ROBUST. Kapish? Permalink 7:57 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Between Trump’s directness & leaks the Trump admin is the most transparent in living memory–despite its policies. Good or bad? Permalink 7:41 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@christophermah3 We’ve only had troops in Afghanistan for 16 years. Give the strategy time to work.   Permalink 7:08 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You need to do something about Grand Inquisitors such as @david_colquhoun   Permalink 6:53 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Something is Broken in the UK Intellectual Sphere.”   Permalink 6:01 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Why WikiLeaks is the best friend of the American people   Permalink 4:49 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Mr. Jim Pickard @PickardJE, I understand you like fake news… but why are you proud of being unethical?   Permalink 4:20 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This confirms our genetic distance based on mitocondria between Leb & further north w/@PZalloua Canaanites were not “Semitic”   Permalink 4:13 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb OK, finalized the subtitle: Skin in the Game The Underlying Matrix of Daily Life Permalink 3:47 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The exercise allows us to understand Fat Tails. From my book with @DrCirillo (my class notes at NYU) Permalink 2:33 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 1) Heuristic to get fat tails: Conditional of an event killing 1 billion in 2018, what is most likely? Pandemic Cancer Nuclear accident? Permalink 2:25 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Once I catch someone like Mary Beard in the act of bullshitting, I cease to read additional comments/posts by her & her friends. Kapish? Permalink 1:52 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Indeed, nuclear is thin-tailed & not under Precautionary P, just vigilance. Very dangerous but no systemic effects, unlike GMOs/epidemics Permalink 1:39 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Ad Hominem was started by Mary Beard. I turned it on her. She subsequently misrepresented the exchange. 1 designation: bullshitter. Kapish? Permalink 7:49 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If that’s how Mary Beard bullshits about her exchange with me, how can anyone trust her historical reports? No more use for her. Permalink 7:29 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Evidence that Ms Beard is a bullshitter. She tried to degrade me to “pop risk” until I compated the “pop” to HERs. Her report. Bullshitter! Permalink 7:27 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Deeper problem in the UK: the PolCorrect police terrorizes academics wusses & few dare speak up ag. the BS. UK Academics are too insecure. Permalink 7:18 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Kate Cooper and Kaitlin Green are taking the scholarly approach; it is a matter of S Med phenotype & worth engagin.Beard is useless; ignore Permalink 6:53 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The royal way is to quietly study quizzes on @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 6:37 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Some ignorance on the part of Ms Beard: classifying Pple of Tiddis, Roman times “nonwhite” equiv. to classifying London Italians as such Permalink 6:13 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb For those interested in our program w/ @DrCirillo to introduce statistical/probabilistic rigor into historiography.   Permalink 5:33 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I am sure that you agree: history shd be accurate representation of past empirical reality not cherry-picked saliency/ availability biases. Permalink 5:16 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@careygillam After release of dox showing ghostwriting, paying of scientists, @MonsantoCo seeks harsh sanctions on plaintiffs’ attorneys. Gloves are off.   Permalink 6:25 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This time I am off the hook! Figured out a proof for this case by brute force rather than thinking. Permalink 4:31 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@CutTheKnotMath The nature’s greatest artist: pufferfish   #math #mathphoto HT Lyonya Medvedovsky ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:57 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 9:03 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A potential explanation is that Aliens abducted all of them. Hey, I am not an expert on Alien history. Permalink 7:09 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry the answer is NOT there. Try again: where did the genes evaporate? Permalink 6:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb There is ONE & only ONE question that @wmarybeard needs to answer, & it is: “Where did the diversity genes evaporate?” All the rest is tawk. Permalink 6:34 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So,”Astrology fails to work on data”. @wmarybeard “How many books on Astrology have you read? You don’t see the nuances” This is 2017! Permalink 6:25 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Pbm vastly more general than @wmarybeard: there is this absence of intellectual rigor in humanities, ANECDOTAL is mistaken for STATISTICAL. Permalink 5:44 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This is what people say when the data contradicts all their beliefs.   Permalink 5:17 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Friends, can you find antecedents to the “availability heuristic” in the literature? Permalink 5:14 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Genetic data =>Ms Beard:”dont think you have many qualifications in nuanced historical analysis”. This is what is commonly known as bullshit Permalink 4:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I apologize if you perceived it as an “insult” (and BTW I’ve offered your last book as Xmas present), but I need to compress. Permalink 4:41 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The term “unsurprising” is now used as a substitute for *representative* population and “diversity”? Who are you fooling? “Scholarship?” Permalink 4:37 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry Ms Beard if you are insulted by data, but here is some more. BTW Mr Morley’s blog is not “evidence”, just anecdotal reasoning. Permalink 4:06 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The ONLY other possible explanation is that ALL the “diversity” women had no girls, ALL “diversity” men had no boys, proba ~ 1 in trillions. Permalink 3:58 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Well, Ms Beard… Scientific evidence IS available. Where did the Subsaharan genes evaporate? (w/interMed trading for 25 C.) Stop the BS. Permalink 3:31 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb When @wmarybeard says “firm evidence”, god knows what this means. In science evidence is statistical, != backed up historical anecdote. Permalink 7:32 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb We have a clear idea of genetic distributions hence backward composition; genes better statisticians than historian hearsay bullshit. Permalink 7:09 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Historians believe their own BS. Where did the subsaharan genes evaporate? NorthAfricans were lightskinned. Only “Aethiopians”, even then   Permalink 7:08 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Answer in here with real world application. I did a bootstrap for variance reasons. Permalink 6:12 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A probability Quiz. Permalink 5:57 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Courage is the only virtue you can’t fake. Permalink 9:20 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Using quotes by modern psychologists is the bullshitter’s imitation of depth. #LindyEffect   Permalink 8:56 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So how many of the articles by @HenryiMiller on @ProSyn are written by Monsanto? Or those he wrote against our PP   ?   Permalink 7:12 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Why cursing signals independence, even aristocracy (same chapter in Skin in the Game) Permalink 6:03 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The tragedy of Anthony @Scaramucci is that one cannot be both alpha, free, direct and … have a supervisor.   Permalink 5:36 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:   Permalink 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:   Permalink 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The problem is IYIs not understanding inequality   Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 11) For the Tesla, the put option embedded in lease ~ %15 of initial price. Breakeven is a 35% drop in used-car mkt. Price for uncertainty! Permalink 7:50 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@JasonL3d Yeah something snapped inside of me the other day when I finally understood this idea I got from Nassim Taleb’s book   Permalink 6:30 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 10) On the optimality of buying vs leasing (& optionality of lease), how much does a Tesla currently lose in % after 3 y &/or 36000 miles? Permalink 3:34 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath My apologies and appreciation to every one who noticed and point out the typo Permalink 1:11 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Time to refresh the smear artists   Permalink 12:29 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb People want to buy the argument by Pinker, via shoddy statistics, that the state LOWERED violence. It did not.   Permalink 9:35 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: The SP500 negative extremes follow the standard Extreme Value Distribution, not the positive extremes Permalink 8:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb JK Rowling should write fiction in her books not in her tweets using Virtue Signaling with children. The liar did not remove tweet. Liar. Permalink 7:51 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From genetics w @Zalloua, Church founders in Levant & AsiaMinor looked as Lebanese,same they did 3800 years ago, SAME as Southern Europeans. Permalink 7:18 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Attempt to make church leaders look nonEuropean is a fraud. Genes show they looked like S. Europeans/Meds @PZalloua   Permalink 6:57 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From #SkinintheGame You get more results, more peace reducing the State Dept staff & interventionistas. Permalink 4:59 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 9) It remains that the most subsidized industries (via taxpayer stop) have been Auto & Banking. Turned both into living carcasses. #Tesla Permalink 4:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.   Permalink 6:38 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 8) I understand the EV costs energy to make. How about other cars: do they grow on trees? Permalink 4:03 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 7) +Battery depletion [V. small for 50k miles] +Fragility of car [have WARRANTY] I plug at home… I fail to see a compelling arg. ag Tesla. Permalink 2:08 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 6) Rational arguments ag. electric: +Electric =fossil [NOT in NY] +Range anxiety [99% of my driving<80m] +Refill [Plug v.convenient for me] Permalink 2:04 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: Extremes for SP500 are independent for negative, dependent for >0. Gumbel test @DrCirillo Permalink 1:45 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In SiculoCalabrese, “Capisci” not quite pronounced “Kapish”, more like “Gabish”, w/the G almost a Semitic Qof. What shd I use in my books? Permalink 10:12 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Then why don’t you use petrol/diesel cell phones and laptops? Permalink 8:30 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb (cont) Honor is necessary, but not sufficient. Tired of the sophistry w/ counterexamples from Mafia, etc. Permalink 7:51 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Honor and Soul in the Game Permalink 5:49 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@primalpoly Which journalists should we trust? Whoever risks assassination or ostracism by reporting on civilization’s real enemies. #skininthegame Permalink 12:27 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 5) Skin in the game: I waited to buy a Tesla before commenting… Permalink 11:32 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4) Yesterday, I replaced my lemon MiniCooper Flaneurmobile with a Tesla, wondering why I didn’t do it before. Permalink 11:28 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 3) We wasted 120 years not focusing on the battery… Permalink 11:22 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) The Tesla needs no oil change, no regular visits to the dealer so he could overcharge you for maintenance, no nothing. Permalink 11:21 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Is it me or is it that when you see a Tesla you realize there has been a conspiracy to make us drive complicated crap for 50 years? Permalink 11:15 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is true. I have been unfollowing/blocking every p who spread & did not retract. @jk_rowling is personally & intellectually despicable.   Permalink 10:00 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Centrally, unlike genetics-based medicine (huge dimensionality problems), DNA is very robust to parentage. You know your origin at ~10^-10 Permalink 8:47 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Volatility clustering, roughly seen. If we dig, we can see that: 1) It is NOT self-exciting Poisson 2) It is NOT stochastic vol. “Rough Vol” Permalink 8:24 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb #somethingIlearnedtoday People on the “left” have higher school scores People on the “left” can’t figure out complex systems Problem=school Permalink 8:05 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Something I learned today: The SP500 is Fat Tailed because of serial dependence. Permalink 6:56 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Uncomfortable for some that, in spite of claims by some of “Arab descent”, no imprint in the genes/culture. “Arab nationalism” is dead. Permalink 6:17 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb We need to rewrite history. History belongs to scientists, not historians.   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 6:10 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This 99% chimp theory is TOTAL BS. DNA is based on genetic distance or rigorous divergence metrics, not raw comparisons. Permalink 5:51 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Canaanite discovery by @PZalloua et al supports the idea that history was LESS VIOLENT than reported by historians   Permalink 5:25 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bravo. This is the paper to read.   Permalink 4:10 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Both Lister and his boss shd be in Guantanamo   Permalink 3:13 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 2 from the 2017 IMO   #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 10:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Calabrese barbers, my friends for 25 y Permalink 8:14 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are from the minorities that the “rebels” want to ethnically cleanse. Permalink 6:35 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb An interesting style math problem from the 2017 Olympiad. (2nd most difficult) Also #FF @CutTheKnotMath who keeps us sharp with these. Permalink 6:32 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Incidentally, 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are minorities.   Permalink 6:28 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The problem is never the problem. It is how @ForeignPolicy deals with it that is the main problem. Permalink 6:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Tried to portray son of Syria’s Assad as a loser who “flucked” math test. Turned out math test was Olympiad & he got Honor. Men. DESPICABLE. Permalink 6:12 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The editor of @ForeignPolicy doesn’t know what a mathematics Olympiad is. Worse: he doesn’t want to know.   Permalink 5:53 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I mean right under the bronze. Permalink 5:41 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “Never trust a journalist, except if she is your mother”, Bed of Procrustes   Permalink 5:20 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This needs a retraction, @benpauker. Young Hafez got an Honorable Mention, 1 rank under the silver medal. Is @ForeignPolicy so bad?   Permalink 4:45 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@GreenRupertRead Watch/share, on climate/precaution:   & See also my jt piece on exactly this with @nntaleb:   Permalink 11:45 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A diagnosis for a mental disease that is 100% nonimaginary is working for CNN   Permalink 6:46 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There are fit-all words such as ‘narcissistic’ that God created for idiots without a precise argument. Permalink 6:38 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci is being direct, natural, and nononsense. Get used to people who say it the way it is.   Permalink 5:25 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally, someone is using my language.   Permalink 3:54 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb No self respecting Squid Ink eater will EVER put cheese on a fish pasta. Kapish? Permalink 3:23 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink with farro grain, Tbone steak and a lot of probability with statistician @philipbstark Permalink 3:19 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is actually true. Women under “rebel” areas are treated like 2nd hand furniture.   Permalink 2:33 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Confirmation of the theory that populations, once they settle in an empty spot, stay there.   via @physorg_com Permalink 2:10 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “malignant alliance betw powerful bureaucracies & MidEast allies” agst Amer interests, => terrorism”   via @amconmag Permalink 6:37 AM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci understands health care is centrally a scaling problem! Grrrrrrrrreat news.   Permalink 3:02 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@ScottAdamsSays Show me a person who has followed this sort of reading path and I’ll show you someone I want to work with.   Permalink 2:54 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The minority rule failed to work! Why? It imposes too much costs on others.   Permalink 10:05 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb CAN YOU TAKE MY NAME OFF THAT CRAP? Permalink 9:38 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb One day.   Permalink 8:13 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A Copt (Egyptian Christian, pre-Arab invasion) moves to France, away from persecution, & vows to preserve France from the same invasion.   Permalink 8:11 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@DShaywitz Also – those noting serendipity relevant to drug discovery – I discussed this in @FT in 2008 w/@nntaleb   Permalink 7:59 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Some pple criticizing economists because they “use math”. But they can’t even use math: they VIOLATE elementary probability theory. Permalink 4:32 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A lesson for SaudiBarbaria Tsar Alexsndr II who freed the serfs,made reforms was assassinated You suddenly give rights, they want much more Permalink 3:44 PM – 25 Jul 2017

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