Skip to content

Monthly Archives: January 2015

So what is the Black Swan about?

So what is the Black Swan about? https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIRGRNUzN6RXRaZk0/view?pli=1 via Nassim NicholنTaleb on Twitter: “So what is the Black Swan about? https://t.co/Kepws8ulit”.

Another problem of inverse causation…

Another problem of inverse causation. We are trained to think that civilization is the fruit of the state, when historically, it is the state that came from civilization. Further, to a specific civilization, a specific type of state. via Another problem of inverse causation. We… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Another problem of averaging under convexity…

Another problem of averaging under convexity. Traditionally we have had *on average* slightly more than 2 children per woman (net of child mortality), which is the rate people converge to today. Except that in the past ~2 out of 10 children survived, today 2 out of 2. It means that we no longer have selection […]

One lesson I’ve learned from writing and observation of survival of books…

One lesson I’ve learned from writing and observation of survival of books. As I am writing “Skin in the Game”: I keep being asked “what is it about?’ it should not be about what one expects “skin in the game” to be about, otherwise fughedaboudit. It should have more texture. The book is (vaguely) about […]

As promised in Jaipur, the additional aphorisms are here…

As promised in Jaipur, the additional aphorisms are here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIeTV2dkFoTWZqQTg/view?pli=1 via Nassim NicholنTaleb on Twitter: “As promised in Jaipur, the additional aphorisms are here: https://t.co/DwyAyb4wH7”.