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Monthly Archives: November 2014

The GMO plot thickens, in a funny way…

The GMO plot thickens, in a funny way. I thought that the GMO “experts” are making errors in logic and risk but I realize they do not understand their own claims in their research and contradict them. Many are critical on our focus on “absence of evidence” as “nonscientific” yet their own work is based […]

Heuristic: when I get unsollicited advice, I do the opposite.

Heuristic: when I get unsollicited advice, I do the opposite. via Heuristic: when I get unsollicited advice, I do… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

We have decided to answer one review of our Precautionary Principle paper…

We have decided to answer one review of our Precautionary Principle paper with respect to GMOs, written as a continuation of the original paper, and in a way to make our idea of tail risk accessible to biologists so they can connect to their discipline. — “For GMOs, all contexts are foreign in this sense […]

Response to review by Trevor Charles re: Precautionary Principle | NECSI

A few days ago, Trevor Charles posted a review of our paper entitled “The Precautionary Principle (with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms)”. Here we provide a response. Thank you for the review of our paper. We will provide a point by point response below to your comments. Since you have focused on biological […]

Mapping Payoffs (pdf)

This is a mathematical-legal attempt at formally mapping payoffs and assessing their memberships in precisely defined classes. By legal we mean as expressed explicitly in a codified term sheet, legal contract, or formal legal code, which naturally converge to the mathematical definitions. The aims is showing the impossibility of verbalistic discussion of risk and exposures […]