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Monthly Archives: October 2014

Finally, our Precautionary Principle (with Application to GMOs) Is on ArXiv (without the math)

Finally, our Precautionary Principle (with Application to GMOs) Is on ArXiv (without the math). We thank all the people here who helped with the development and refinement of the idea. http://arxiv.org/abs/1410.5787 [1410.5787] The Precautionary Principle (with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms) via Finally, our Precautionary Principle (with… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect of uncertainty

EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect of uncertainty, & why should ignore the “empiricism of the idiot”. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIdlJNSXo1dkMzOVU/view?pli=1 Ebola.pdf – Google Drive via EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

EBOLA. You need to focus on growth rate, not number of victims

EBOLA. You need to focus on growth rate, not number of victims –in other words the 2nd order, not first order effect, the nonlinearity. — [Added: Something that doubles every 24 days multiplies by 37,000 every year. The doubing period is 15-20 days in Libera. So the idea proposed by Yaneer Bar Yam is to […]

RELIGION vs ATHEISM: Religious people are largely atheists…

RELIGION vs ATHEISM: Religious people are largely atheists, depending on the domain & why the discussion is largely flawed. — Some philosophy now. One brilliant contribution by economists is the concept of “cheap talk”, or the difference between “stated preferences” (what you say) and “revealed preferences” (from actions). Actions are louder than words: what people […]

Let us go through some deep & rigorous logical thinking…

Let us go through some deep & rigorous logical thinking which would lead us to a clear policy in dealing with terrorism/fundamentalism. TWO QUESTIONS, one easy one hard (the second –more uncomfortable– one should come next post). So step 1 (the easy one). QUESTION ” Would you agree to deny the freedom of speech to […]