Skip to content

Monthly Archives: June 2013

“If you take risks and face your fate with dignity, there is nothing you can do that makes you small…

“If you take risks and face your fate with dignity, there is nothing you can do that makes you small; if you don’t take risks, there is nothing you can do that makes you grand, nothing.” FINALLY a journalist who gets it: Nassim Taleb: ‘The Black Swan’ author in praise of the risk-takers Nassim Nicholas […]

Nassim Taleb: ‘The Black Swan’ author in praise of the risk-takers – The Independent

┬áNassim Nicholas Taleb has a dream. It’s this: he wants us to celebrate the restaurant owners, the taxi drivers, the market traders and carpenters and all the other risk-takers who put their skin in the game and who drive the economy for the rest of us. “Let’s call it a National Entrepreneur Day,” declares the […]

New paper with Phil Tetlock on the difference between the Thalesian and the Aristotelian…

New paper with Phil Tetlock on the difference between the Thalesian and the Aristotelian: On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure, With Implications For Forecasting Tournaments and Prediction Markets. On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure, with Implications for Forecasting…There are serious differences between predictions, bets, and exposures that have a […]

On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure, with Implications for Forecasting Tournaments and Prediction Markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Philip E. Tetlock :: SSRN

On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure, with Implications for Forecasting Tournaments and Prediction Markets Nassim Nicholas Taleb NYU-Poly Philip E. Tetlock University of California, Berkeley – Organizational Behavior & Industrial Relations Group; University of Pennsylvania – Management Department June 25, 2013 Abstract: There are serious differences between predictions, bets, and exposures that […]

I trust those who trust me and distrust…

I trust those who trust me and distrust those who are suspicious of others. via I trust those who trust me and distrust… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.