HOW OUR MINDS FIGHT THE LAST WAR, OUR BODIES THE NEXT WARI discovered this overshooting mechanism in the human body thanks to some interesting course of events. In the aftermath of the banking crisis, I received all manner of threats and the Wall Street Journal got wind of it as an article suggested that I [...]
ANTIFRAGILE (rather than Antifragility). Plus of course a subtitle. via ANTIFRAGILE… | Facebook.
Friends, let’s put it to the vote. Who votes in favor of, or against ANTIFRAGILITY as the title?Thanks! via Friends, let’s put… | Facebook.
Just to remind you that NNT’s professional papers are also hosted at SSRN and are frequently revised. How to Prevent Other Financial Crises | Show Abstract | Download | School of Advanced International Studies Review, Forthcoming Accepted Paper Series Nassim Nicholas Taleb NYU-Poly George A. Martin affiliation not provided to SSRN [...]
Wednesday, March 28, 2012
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/sais.pdf via Naming Names:… | Facebook.
From NNT’s Home Page. I’m pretty sure this is new. How to Avoid Other Crises (Forthcoming, SAIS Review) (NEW) Nassim Nicholas Taleb and George A. Martin via Nassim N. Taleb Home & Professional Page.
Three violations of ethics: beliefs without action, religion without tolerance, and earnings without risk. via Three violations of… | Facebook.
Three violations of nature: houses without neighborhood; power without courage; and friendship without sacrifice. via Three violations of… | Facebook.
THE MANY HEADS OF HYDRA :Antifragility and the Energy of Disorderfinally converging… Easy to explain AF with a simple explanation. They cut one head, two grow back Also from earlier today: The Many-Headed HydraAntifragility and the Energy of Disorder via THE MANY HEADS OF… | Facebook.
correction:The Wind and The Fire——————————————New Title WIND and FIRE: Antifragility and the Energy of Disorder As in the first sentence: Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire. Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them, not hide from them. You want to be the fire and wish for the wind. This summarizes this [...]
Wednesday, March 21, 2012
The more people and institutions present themselves as indispensable the more you can dispense with them. And vice versa. via The more people… | Facebook.
Intellectuals and academics (except for Hayekians) tend to treat the rest of the population as total idiots. So it is very hard for them to swallow the statement that, statistically, an intellectual is much, much more likely to be the total idiot … via Intellectuals and… | Facebook.
Changed the title to UPSIDE DOWNSIDE, with antifragility somewhere in the subtitle…The real theme is the Fundamental Asymmetry: “antifragility fragility equals more less to gain than to lose equals moreless upside than downside equals favorable unfavorable asymmetry “ via Changed the title… | Facebook.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Downing Street guru Downing Street’s favourite intellectual is Nassim Nicolas Taleb, author of the best selling book The Black Swan. Janan Ganesh of The Economist investigates his appeal.Mon, 12 Mar 12Download: http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/radio4/analysis/analysis_20120312-2100a.mp3Podcast home: http://www.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/series/analysis
Get it while it’s hot folks! You know how this goes, and I don’t make availableanything from my site that NNT doesn’t also have currently available. How Fat Tony became prosperoushttp://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTony-oil.pdf via How Fat Tony became… | Facebook.
Don’t cross a river if it is four feet deep on average. Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making. The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely [...]
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The U.S. economic situation is so bad, the author of “The Black Swan” said he has “no choice but to own stocks” to “preserve my financial situation.” Jonathan Fickles | Bloomberg | Getty Images Nassim Taleb, New York University professor and author of ‘The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.’ “I own stocks,” [...]
What is Black Swan theory? “The problem of induction” – that any theory based on observations could be wrong – has long preoccupied philosophy. 20th Century British philosopher Sir Karl Popper also considered how new observations affected knowledge – such as spotting a black swan when it was thought all swans were white. Nassim Nicholas [...]
A dozen witticisms followed by a platitude turn into a platitude. via A dozen witticisms… | Facebook.
I guess that counts me out. What do you serve a libertarian for dinner? Hedge fund manager Mark Spitznagel has until March 20th to figure it out—that’s when he’ll host a $2,500-per-plate fundraising dinner for U.S. presidential candidate Ron Paul. Spitznagel, the founder and CIO of Universa Investments, will host the dinner at his Los [...]
Starting to campaign in support of Ron Paul: fundraiser March 20 in LA., TV next Tuesday 11 am. Out of duty. Two events, then back to the silence of the library. via Starting to… | Facebook.
Friends, finished the first draft (only copyediting left)! Prologue now has a summary the idea. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/prologue.pdf www.fooledbyrandomness.com via Friends, finished… | Facebook.
There is a way to treat everyone in the same manner, while pleasing the righteous and upsetting the wicked. via There is a way to… | Facebook.
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