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Monthly Archives: August 2011

No cheese no desert and no manmade cuisine on the planet will be able to surpass…

No cheese no desert and no manmade cuisine on the planet will be able to surpass in taste the simplest food we get after an episode of hunger; and no liquid will ever improve on the taste of water after a prolonged period of thirst. [Chapter 1]

Modernism: The nation-state, top-down invasive governments (indeed this is recen…

Modernism: The nation-state, top-down invasive governments (indeed this is recent), metastatic bureaucracies, compounded iatrogenics, social-science & social engineering (Man playing God), media power, the NYT (yach!), the ludic fallacy, nerd andtl…

This "hurricane" was all marketing.

This “hurricane” was all marketing.

Le texte intégral (en Français). Les commentaires sont bienvenus. Merci a tous!…

Le texte intégral (en Français). Les commentaires sont bienvenus. Merci a tous!www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Procruste.pdf

Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier Than You Think – Harvard Business Review

Shared by JohnH

NNT mentions Bent Flyvbjerg as a colleague in a recent sample chapter from his new book.
Avoiding Black Swans Any company that is contemplating a large technology project should take a stress test designed to assess its readiness. L…

When the exact same crime is committed twice, only the victim is blameful.

When the exact same crime is committed twice, only the victim is blameful.

Nassim Taleb on BBC Newsnight

BBC Newsnight Friday 19th Aug 2011 Audio only NNT interview starts at 4:57  

Bill Gross’ Bet Pays Off as PIMCO Profits From Black Swans

“Black-swan funds run by Universa Investments LP and Pacific Investment Management Co., designed to protect against financial cataclysms, paid off this month as stocks took their steepest dive in almost three years,” Bloomberg reports.
A so-called bl…

Lecturing Birds on How to Fly:http://fooledbyrandomness.com/birds.pdf

Lecturing Birds on How to Fly:http://fooledbyrandomness.com/birds.pdfhttp://fooledbyrandomness.com/birds.pdffooledbyrandomness.com

Qu’est ce que ça donne en français?

Qu’est ce que ça donne en français?http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Aphorismes.pdfhttp://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Aphorismes.pdfwww.fooledbyrandomness.com

Did You End Up Like the Turkey? – Scala Volpe Capital

Many people went into July 22 thinking they had a "conservative" or "moderate risk" portfolio.  After 12.5% (or higher) losses, many of those same individuals now realize they had high risk portfolios all along.  The problem is, n…

Help, friends. How do we translate nerd into French? "pollard" seems archaic, "b…

Help, friends. How do we translate nerd into French? “pollard” seems archaic, “bachotteur” and “livresque” inadequate. (I am translating the aphorisms of The Bed of Procrustes). Mille mercis.

Only he who is free with his time will be free with his opinion.

Only he who is free with his time will be free with his opinion.

Nassim N. Taleb Home & Professional Page

Shared by JohnH

From NNT’s home page. Certainly hope all is well, health-wise. I would imagine he’s inundated with requests from the media to speak about the meltdown etc. I do see some speaking engagements coming up in September, http://www.fooledb…

Life has to be an acquired taste; people lose their heroism and get more and mor…

Life has to be an acquired taste; people lose their heroism and get more and more scared of death as they age.

Debt, Deficits, And The Demise Of The American Economy: An Interview With Peter Tanous

John Nyaradi: In your book, you discuss risk management; you talk about “fat tails” and people like Friedrich Gauss and Augustin Cauchy. What do “fat tails” mean to us in this new world?
Peter Tanous: Jeff and I have done a lot of interviews si…

The Souk and the Office Buildingwww.fooledbyrandomness.com/souk.pdf

The Souk and the Office Buildingwww.fooledbyrandomness.com/souk.pdf