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HatTip to Dave Lull!
I spoke to best-selling author Nassim Taleb on the phone who wrote the famous business book the “Black Swan,” which identifies situations that have mathematical multiplier effect due to their unforeseen power. In…
More people died today (from nonstandard trauma) in Germany (where I am) than in Egypt. http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2011/01/30/dix-morts-dans-une-collision-ferroviaire-en-allemagne_1472700_3214.htmlDix morts dans une collision ferroviaire en A…
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HatTip to Dave Lull – Thanks Dave!
The Bed of Procrustes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Random House
The Bed of Procrustes is the latest book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, but it diverges wildly from his other philosophical works.
…
His two lay books, Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, are only samples of his work. If you want to judge him, read his technical book Dynamic Hedging, and his published papers, starting at SSRN.com:http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_d… (There…
Anyone here from Egypt? I am trying to get sponsored by a U.S./U.K. newspaper to go to Cairo with some press card (at the cost of writing some article about Fragility/AntiFragility that would confuse the editors & hopefully be rejected). I have no …
How to Become a Prophethttp://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/AntiFragilityJan27.pdfhttp://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/AntiFragilityJan27.pdfwww.fooledbyrandomness.com
Sorry for confusion; Berlin this weekend (walks, long walks), then Moscva Next Tuesday-Friday to defy both weather & terror.
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To find these investments, Khosla explained some of his operating principles: Don’t trust forecasts. Don’t believe the experts. And invest in companies that have a 90% probability of failure.
Khosla is working on a paper called t…
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This is from November 2010.
Nassim Taleb explains why we should expect “unexpected” economic events
Nassim Taleb, the former Wall Street trader who published a book called The Black Swan back in 2007 speaks out on the economic crisi…
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Russia Forum, Moscow, Feb 2-5, 2011 NNT has this on his talks and seminars page: http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/scheduledseminars.htm
Going to Moscow this week-end. The only problem is the weather preventing slow walks.
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Don’t you love a great book review? HatTip to Dave Lull
It’s been roughly 20 years since I’ve purchased a book with the intention of gaining insight into life lived wisely. Like nearly everyone else, nearly all of the time, I ha…
I’m going with a Black Swan inspired ETF portfolio, where I put the portion of my money I’m not prepared to lose (in this case, 55%) in a safe ETF, and the rest I spread over a bunch of opportunities with a high return potential, as follows:
5…
Drawing on unprecedented access to these four number-crunching titans, Wall Street Journal reporter Patterson tells the inside story of what they thought and felt in the days and weeks when they helplessly watched much of their net worth vaporize
Unbending narcissism of ideas: With rare, very rare exceptions, what people call a “good book” is anything that confirms their beliefs, exposes ideas they thought they had.
September 10, NYC was the most dangerous place in the world; September 12, the safest. Today, I walked around a nervous & deserted Beirut trying to mentally replay events: anxiety is the mother of safety; I feel so much safer when people stop me t…
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NNT on his way to Saudi Arabia
boukra bimshe bi-bayrut (shwayy). N’shallah.
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Walking in Athens.
περπάτημα στην Αθήνα
Note 2- I prefer to trade calm persistence for agitation; I prefer trying long over trying hard.
Brel, Brel, avec intensité et tristesse.http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=za_6A0XnMyw&translated=1Jacques Brel-Ne me quitte pas (Eng. Subtitles)www.youtube.comJacques Brel-Ne me quitte pas (Eng. Subtitles) ALL RIGHTS FOR ALL JACQUES BREL SONGS: AME…
Flanerie a Bruxelles en pensant a Jacques Brelhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMzAmrNS164Jacques Brel – “Amsterdam” livewww.youtube.comThis is an incredible performance of “Amsterdam” by singer Jacques Brel. Try not to get chills watching this.
FINAL SUMMARY http://www.edge.org/q2011/q11_3.html#talebTHE WORLD QUESTION CENTER 2011 — Page 3www.edge.orgOur very brains revolt at the idea of randomness. We have evolved as a species to become exquisite pattern-finders — long before the advent o…
ROUSSEAU citing Machiavelli on the ANTIFRAGILITY of WAR Note 64: "It seemed, wrote Machiavelli, that in the midst of murders, civil wars (…) our republic became stronger (…) its citizens infused with virtues… A little bit of agitation gives …
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Another! HatTip to Dave
The Bed of Procrustes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb – Random House
The Bed of Procrustes is the latest book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, but it diverges wildly from his other philosophical works.
I ca…
Shared by JohnH
HatTip to Dave Lull
Taleb has been criticized, but he tells it as he sees it, whether or not everyone agrees. He is taken seriously by everyone from the UK’s David Cameron to politician Ralph Nader. Not to mention NYU Polytechnic I…
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HatTip to Dave Lull
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Editor’s Note: On December 2, 2010, Mr. Taleb gave a talk …
@nntaleb