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Anybody read The Big Short? Would love to understand the details of making the kind of trades NNT talks about. I wish someone would write a ‘How To’ with specifics built around NNT’s Moscow Forum strategy outlined here: http://www.bl…
Dave at neuromeme.com wrote to say that NNT’s talk at the Hard Problems symposium were up (Thanks Dave!). The two together are about 15min. You can watch the entire collection of videos (if you have the Real Video player installed) here.
“The happiness you can expect from anything you do is a function of two things: the odds of getting a gain, and; the value of that gain. You multiply these two things together and you know exactly how good your decision or action is going to be.”
Note that you can find posts that have audio or video in them by clicking on their Category in the right side bar.Using a site I found that extracts audio from YouTube videos (this one actually works) FetchMP3.com I’m able to add some more audio files. I attached them to their individual video posts but [...]
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NNT will be a keynote speaker at this event.
Contingent commissions, climate change, crisis management, global risk, and pending legislation — dubbed the “Shareholder Bill of Rights” — will be just a few of the many top…
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NNT will be speaking at the Hay Festival in Wales. http://www.hayfestival.com/wales/index.aspxHatTip to Dave Lull
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Event 63 • Saturday 29 May 2010, 5.30p…
(Borrowing this post from another blog I collect my favorites into. Danny is just such a big part of the picture when it comes to the paradigm shift implied in NNT’s philosophy, plus, they’re good friends!) … the bat costs $1 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost? Daniel Kahneman KNOWS that [...]
Filed in Audio, John, Start Here, Video
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Tagged awareness expansion, cognitive bias, cognitive liberty, Daniel Gilbert, danny kahneman, heuristics, McLuhan, mind hacks, narrative fallacy, prospect theory, rationality, Taleb, the riddle of experience, Video
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HatTip to Dave Lull.
Someone has come up with a nice parable that illustrates what reading Taleb did for me. Imagine the human mind as a house full of windows to the outside. As long as you are in the house, your understanding of…
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
All of the above are examples given to us by The Black Swan author during a recent night out in Manhattan.
That came about due to some interactions we had over Twitter, which Taleb is using to publish a hundreds of aphorisms that many find to be brilli…
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Cool!
Taleb decried Academia, and Finance, the two being intimately connected. The former he rebuked because it was teaching all of the wrong things in the vulgar act of moneymaking—business; the latter for obvious reasons, being t…
This title was released on May 11, 2010. Order Here. I’m on my third reading, not to mention having listened to the audio book twice, so I wasn’t sure about getting the second edition. But in his Hard Problems talk, NNT mentions having become obsessed with robustness, and that accounting for the additional 100 pages… [...]
Don’t know how I missed having this in here. NNT lists this as one of his favorite interviews as well.From the highly addictive and always excellent EconTalk.org. (iTunes subsrciption link here. 2007 2008) Nassim Taleb talks about the challenges of coping with uncertainty, predicting events, and understanding history. This wide-ranging conversation looks at investment, health, [...]
218 of you took our calibration quiz, not counting the 10% of submissions that had to be thrown out for not being complete or giving ranges with the min greater than the max or other sanity check failures. (Here’s the raw data.)
The bad news is that …
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Take the test here: http://messymatters.com/2010/02/28/calibration/ If you’ve been reading/listening, you’ll probably do very well ;-) [My score was 100%]
So simply put, providing confidence bands around a guess which is out of my a…
India Today ConclaveEvent CoverageDAY 1 March 12, ’10Story
Banking system still weak: Taleb
Nivedita Mukherjee
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Taleb先生のおっしゃっているepistemic Infinity (@nntaleb) というのは日本語で何と言うんであろうか？ 認識無限性？ 認識済みの無限性？そもそもepistemicの意味がよう分からん。。。
Daniel Kahneman: The riddle of experience vs. memory Update March 2010. From the February 2010 Ted talks. Audio Only. This is such a great talk. I’m now being able to apply Danny’s insights. I don’t trust my remembering selfand so don’t bias future experience, i.e. when the thought of a specific task, chore or other [...]
“Randomness” by philosopher and scholar of randomness Nassim Nicholas Taleb at the 2008 IdeaFestival – proudly sponsored by the University of Kentucky a Presenting Sponsor of the international IdeaFestival. Part one. Part two. Founded in 2000, the IdeaFestival is a world-class event that attracts diverse and leading thinkers from across the nation and around the [...]
Filed in Audio, John
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Tagged audio lecture, black swans, extremistan, ideafestival, mediocristan, mp3, nassim taleb, randomness, turkeys, university of kentucky
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NNT’s prior and upcoming speaking engagements. Links to full list, some of which have associated media files.
Oxford University, July
14, 2010
Hay Festival of Literature, Wales, May
29, 2010
Harvard, Social Science Symposium,
Boston,…
@nntaleb