Monday, November 30, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Probably it was more surprising that NNT became as public as he did. I’ll miss him in the public eye, but it’s a small price to pay if it means the next book gets here sooner.
What I am seeing and hearing on the news — the reappoint…
Monday, November 30, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Very cool! Scienceblogs.com has summary of the recent debate. I still hope there is an audio version at some point, but this saves me the trouble of watching.
Don’t want to listen? Here’s a quick summary.Shmuley Boteach: Yeesh. What …
Monday, November 30, 2009
Maps matter.Especially in cognitive psychology (thanks to Dave Lull).In practice, cognitive maps for decision making don’t tell you where to go or how to navigate in every specific case or at every point in time; instead, they provide sign posts, indic…
Monday, November 30, 2009
Moved to WordPress! Please let me know in the comments if you find any bugs!
Friday, November 27, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Thought you Taleb fans might enjoy this. Personally, I can’t get enough Danny Kahneman. See also: http://www.useriscontent.com/blog/2008/05/03/daniel-kahneman-a-bat-and-a-ball-cost-110/
What we’re saying is that there is a technology…
Friday, November 27, 2009
Shared by JohnH
An older clip but fun to recap from 2005.Nassim Nicholas Taleb is not afraid to say “I don’t know.” In fact, he’s proud of his ignorance. A mathematician, philosopher and hedge-fund manager all in one iconoclastic package, Ta…
Thursday, November 26, 2009
From the turkey's perspective, this was unexpected. Sometimes you just can't use past observed data – even a lot of it – to project future events:I obviously can't take credit for this brilliant chart: the idea comes from Nicholas Nassim …
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Links above to full post.
Being the day before Thanksgiving here in America, I thought I would recount a wonderful story from Nassim Taleb’s outstanding book, The Black Swan: "Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every s…
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Tucked away on NNT’s website, you might not have noticed these.
Technical Papers & Commentary Written about The Black Swan and TheFourth Quadrant(Theseare not book Reviews, but research using the ideas as a starting point). …
Monday, November 16, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Debate – Christopher Hitchens, Sam Harris, Daniel I don’t know if I’m going to have the stomach to watch it. Hope someone posts an mp3 at some point…Dennett vs Dinesh D’Souza, Shmuley Boteach, Robert Wright. La Ciudad de las Ideas …
Friday, November 13, 2009
Shared by JohnH
From 1997! Links above to full interview.
DS: What’s going to happen if everybody in the financial system starts using VAR?NT: VAR players are all dynamic hedgers and need to revise their portfolios at different levels. As such the…
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Shared by JohnH
From April, 2002 Fun read.
There was just one problem, however, and it is the key to understanding the strange path that Nassim Taleb has chosen, and the position he now holds as Wall Street’s principal dissident. Despite his envy an…
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Links to download site.
The Risk Externalities of Too Big to FailNassim Nicholas Taleb NYU-Poly InstituteCharles S. Tapiero NYU Poly – Department of Finance and Risk EngineeringNovember 1, 2009Abstract: This paper examines…
Taleb: "会議でIMFの加藤氏の講演を聴いた。2010年の予想。11年の予想。14年までには怒りを覚えた。彼らの予想は占星術と変わらない。でも彼らを除去はできないから、予想が役に立たな…
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Links above to full article.
Companies that become too big,complicated and debt-ridden should be allowed to “creativelydestruct,” said Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of “The BlackSwan.” Governments shouldn’t rescu…
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Nice recap of the HBR (paywall) article. From the Globe and Mail… Single comment is negative, uninformed and offensive.
With risk management under fire after the recent economic meltdown its adherents failed to prepare for, corpora…
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Links above to full artcle.
Regulators are going after the wrong target by trying to impose stricter rules on hedge funds, according to Nassim Nicholas Taleb, high-profile author of credit crisis hit The Black Swan.Taking a decidedly…
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Shared by JohnH
They want $6.50 for the pdf.
by Nassim N. Taleb, Daniel G. Goldstein, Mark W. Spitznagel …
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Shared by JohnH
Links above to full article.
Nov. 3 (Bloomberg) — Nassim Taleb, author of “The BlackSwan,” said “fuzzy” regulations are better than clear-cutrules in preventing future financial…
Shared by JohnH
Audio only highlights of previously mentioned Conversation with David Cameron. Australian radio intro.
Highlights of Nassim Taleb in conversation with UK Conservative party leader David Cameron. They discuss how Black Swan thinking c…